Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2003

Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

February 22, 2003Avery County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Feb 22, 2003, 8:55 PM EST for Avery County, North Carolina. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 22, 2003, 8:55 PM EST (01:55 UTC)
Expired
Feb 22, 2003, 11:45 PM EST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Whole counties

County Avery County, NC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2003-02-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 23 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2003-02-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 333 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
23 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-224 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
569 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
92 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
333 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
344 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS52 KGSP 230155
FFWGSP
NCC011-230445-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
855 PM EST SAT FEB 22 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  AVERY COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 1145 PM EST

* AT 845 PM...THE AVERY COUNTY COMMUNICATIONS CENTER REPORTED THAT 
SEVERAL CREEKS...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE 
COUNTY...WERE NEAR BANKFULL.  RADAR SHOWED RAIN CONTINUING ACROSS 
THE COUNTY...AND SOME HEAVY RAINFALL WAS INDICATED.

* SOME OF THE CREEKS AND RIVERS IN AVERY COUNTY WILL RISE ABOVE 
BANKFULL TONIGHT...POSSIBLY FLOODING ROADS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS
AND STREAMS...ROADS AND ROADSIDE CULVERTS. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD ALSO
TRIGGER ROCK AND MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT
QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY
IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

$$
JONES
1 follow-up statement
000 
WGUS72 KGSP 230509
FFSGSP
NCC011-230500-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1210 AM EST SUN FEB 23 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT FOR AVERY COUNTY HAS
EXPIRED AS OF 1145 PM EST...

NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED TO COUNTY OFFICIALS OR THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE TOE RIVER BASIN BY 1 AM. 
RAINFALL WITH THESE ADDITIONAL STORMS COULD EXCEED A QUARTER 
INCH...WHICH WOULD BE ENOUGH TO SEND THE RIVER BACK OUT OF ITS 
BANKS. OTHER SHALLOW STREAMS AND CREEKS COULD SURPASS BANKFULL IF 
CELLS TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS...BUT CURRENT DATA SUGGEST JUST A 
COUPLE OF MORE STORMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION.

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED OVER THE WARNED AREA. STREAMS AND CREEKS IN
THE WARNED AREA HAVE RECEDED OR WERE BEGINNING TO RECEDE...ENDING THE
FLASH FLOOD THREAT. EVEN THOUGH STREAMS AND CREEKS WERE RECEDING...
SOME ROADWAYS STILL MAY BE COVERED WITH WATER. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED
TO AVOID DRIVING THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. USE CAUTION IN OR NEAR ANY SMALL
CREEK TONIGHT...AND AVOID ROUTES THAT YOU KNOW ARE FLOOD PRONE.

DO NOT BECOME A FATALITY DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS...THE ROAD COULD
BE WASHED OUT FROM THE FLOW OF THE WATER...AND YOUR CAR COULD BE
SWEPT AWAY BY THE SWIFTLY MOVING WATER.

WHEN DRIVING ALONG ROADS WHERE THE TERRAIN IS STEEP OR ROCKY...REMAIN
ALERT FOR POSSIBLE ROCK OR MUD SLIDES DUE TO THE HEAVY RAIN.

$$
BURRUS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 22, 8:35 PM EST, 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 22, 8:35 PM EST, 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
835 PM EST SAT FEB 22 2003

UPDATED TO ISSUE FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL REMAINING COUNTIES IN THE
CWFA...INCREASED CHANCE OF RAIN...AND REMOVED DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR
ALL BUT THE NORTHERN FOOTHILLS. MORE WHEN UPPER AIR ANALYSIS IS
COMPLETE.

FCSTID =   44
GSP   43  57  37  60 /  80  10  20  20
AND   44  59  36  61 /  80   0  20  20
CLT   45  60  37  59 /  80   0  20  20
HKY   41  54  35  55 /  80  10  20  20
AVL   40  50  33  55 /  80  10  20  20

.GSP...
GA...FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES GAZ010...GAZ017>018...
GAZ026...GAZ028>029.
NC...FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES
NCZ033>037...NCZ048>059...NCZ062>072...NCZ082.
WIND ADVISORY FOR LATE TONIGHT FOR ZONES NCZ033...NCZ048>050.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR THIS EVENING FOR ZONES NCZ034>054-055.
SC...FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES SCZ001>014...SCZ019.

BURRUS
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 22, 6:19 AM EST, 14 hours 36 minutes before
GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-221300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
619 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL
LIKELY BE SEVERE...ESPECIALLY LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON.
HEAVY RAINFALL COULD ALSO PRODUCE ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING. WINDS
WILL REMAIN STRONG AFTER THE PRECIPIATION ENDS TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE CAESPSGSP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED BY EARLY AFTERNOON...
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE I-85 CORRIDOR.

LANE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 22, 5:12 PM EST, 3 hours 43 minutes before
GAZ010-017-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-SCZ001>003-230015-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
512 PM EST SAT FEB 22 2003

SCATTERED...STRONG...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS. THE STORMS WILL RACE NORTHEAST AT AROUND 50 MPH.
HAIL UP TO A HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...AND WINDS OF 40 TO 50
MPH...WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS.

MCAVOY
Special weather statement, Feb 22, 7:35 PM EST, 1 hour 20 minutes before
GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>050-052>057-064>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-230330-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
735 PM EST SAT FEB 22 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPING OVER THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...

A STATIONARY FRONT RUNNING ROUGHLY ALONG INTERSTATE 85 THROUGH THE
NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT...AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...WILL SERVE AS
THE FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. THESE STORMS WILL RACE TO THE NORTHEAST AT AROUND 50
MPH. HOWEVER...SEVERAL STORMS WILL AFFECT THE SAME AREA...IN AN
EFFECT KNOWN AS TRAINING. THIS WILL RESULT IN SOME AREAS SEEING 1 TO
2 INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

THE STRONGER STORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...40 TO 50 MPH WINDS AND HAIL UP TO A HALF INCH IN
DIAMETER.

IN THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAIN...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
AND SMALL HAIL ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM BREVARD TO BUNCOMBE AND
BAKERSVILLE.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

MCAVOY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 22, 7:06 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPMitchell, Yancey3 hr
Feb 22, 7:11 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPBuncombe3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2003Every flash flood warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.