Severe Thunderstorm Warning 177, NWS Cleveland, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
300 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2003

SVR WX HAS RULED THE CWA TODAY AS AN MCS MOVED ACR THE REGION THIS
MORNING AND THEN NEW CONVECTION INTENSIFIED THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
MID-LEVEL ROTATION OF THE MCS PASSED ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH STG
DRYING INDICATED ON THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY.  THE NEXT STG SHORT
WAVE NOW OVER NRN LOWER MI WITH ATTENDANT CONVECTION IS GRADUALLY
ORGANIZING ACROSS LOWER MI ATTM AS INSTABILITY INCR.  THIS ACTIVITY
WILL LIKELY MOVE SE INTO NORTHERN OHIO FOR TNGT. IN ADDITION SCT
CONVECTIVE CELLS ARE SHOWN OVER W CENTRAL OHIO ATTM.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH LARGE SCALE TROFFING CONT OVER THE
ERN STATES THRU THE PD. THE ETA IS FASTER THAN THE GFS IN MOVING THE
UPPER LOW E OF THE REGION ON THU.  THE SLOWER GFS MAY BE THE BEST
SOLUTION. FWC GUIDANCE IS ACCEPTED WITH SOME MODIFICATION.

REL
.CLE...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-211115-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
520 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN OHIO
AND A PORTION OF NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF THE AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE TUESDAY BUT THE THREAT WILL
DIMINISH BY WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER STEADY AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THERE IS A RISK
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND,OH
225 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0918 AM    FINDLAY                   OHIO   WIND DAMAGE
07/21/03   HANCOCK                        LIMBS DOWN JUST SOUTH OF
                                          FINDLAY.

0915 AM    LARUE                     OH   WIND DAMAGE
07/21/03   MARION                         TWO LARGE TREES DOWN.

1000 AM    WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP       OH   WIND DAMAGE
07/21/03   RICHLAND                       LIMBS DOWN.

1240 PM    FREEDOM                   OH   FLOOD
07/21/03   PORTAGE                        DITCH FLOODING BACKING UP
                                          ON ROUTE 303 AND 700. WATER
                                          FLOWING DOWN ROAD.

1255 PM    FRANKLIN                  OH   FLOOD
07/21/03   PORTAGE                        WEST MAIN AND FRANKLIN
                                          STREETS FLOODING DUE TO
                                          WATER BACKING UP.

1259 PM    SILVER LAKE               OH   FLOOD
07/21/03   SUMMIT                         SEVERAL BASEMENTS FLOODED
                                          AND STORM SEWERS BACKED UP.

0100 PM    5 NW WARREN               OH   FLASH FLOODS
07/21/03   TRUMBULL                       ROUTE 422 AND 305 UNDER
                                          WATER. CARS UNDERWATER AND
                                          FLOATING DOWN RIVER WITH
                                          PEOPLE INSIDE.

0117 PM    8 SW AKRON CANTON AIRPORT OH   WIND DAMAGE
07/21/03   STARK                          SEVERAL WINDOWS BLOWN OUT,
                                          SEVERAL TREES BLOWN DOWN,
                                          ALFALFA FIELD FLATTENED.

0145 PM    YOUNGSTOWN                OH   WIND DAMAGE
07/21/03   MAHONING                       TWO STORY CINDER BLOCK
                                          BUILDING DESTROYED. ANOTHER
                                          BUILDING ROOF DAMAGED,
                                          SEVERAL TREES DOWNED AND
                                          TWO RAIL CARS BLOWN OVER.

LOMBARDY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND,OH
241 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0615 AM    WEST INDEPENDENCE         OH   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/20/03   HANCOCK

LOMBARDY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND,OH
306 PM EDT MON JUL 21 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0935 AM    GALLION                   OH   WIND DAMAGE
07/21/03   CRAWFORD                       SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS DOWN.

0925 AM    MOUNT GILEAD              OH   WIND DAMAGE
07/21/03   MORROW                         TREE DOWN.

0930 AM    CHESTERVILLE              OH   WIND DAMAGE
07/21/03   MORROW                         TREE AND WIRES DOWN.

1005 AM    5 N ASHLAND               OH   WIND DAMAGE
07/21/03   ASHLAND                        TREE AND LARGE LIMBS DOWN.

0930 AM    CENTERBURG                OH   60 MPH TSTM WIND GUST
07/21/03   KNOX