Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Burlington, VT

000 
WGUS71 KBTV 060115
FFSBTV
NYC019-031-060600-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
915 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CLINTON AND ESSEX
COUNTIES IN NEW YORK UNTIL 2 AM...

AT 9 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS SHOWING AN
EXPENSIVE AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL FROM THE NORTHERN HUDSON RIVER
VALLEY NORTH TO THE CANADIAN BORDER. THIS AREA WAS MOVING NORTH
AT 20 MPH AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ACROSS THE WARNING AREA
THROUGH MIDNIGHT. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAIN WILL LIKELY FALL
ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARNING AREA BUT LOCALIZED AMOUNTS COULD
EXCEED 3 INCHES.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS ALREADY ESTIMATED WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 1
TO 2 INCHES BUT VERY LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 4 INCHES...
INCLUDING NEAR AUSABLE FORKS IN ESSEX COUNTY...WHERE WEVE
RECEIVED REPORTS OF FLOODING AND ROAD CLOSURES.

FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...ROADS AND BASEMENTS ARE
LIKELY AS WELL AS CREEKS...STREAMS...SMALL RIVERS. FLASH FLOODING...
WASH OUTS AND MUD SLIDES COULD OCCUR IN THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

IF FLOOD WATERS THREATEN...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. IF
WATER COVERS THE ROAD...DONT CROSS THE ROAD - TURN AROUND...DONT
DROWN.

AGAIN...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CLINTON AND ESSEX COUNTIES
REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM.. ALSO...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL
4 AM WEDNESDAY.

$$

WHITTIER

000 
WGUS71 KBTV 060600
FFSBTV
NYC019-031-060630-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
200 AM EDT WED AUG 6 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CLINTON AND ESSEX COUNTIES IN
NEW YORK HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED IN CLINTON AND ESSEX COUNTIES...ENDING
THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. ALTHOUGH STREAMS AND CREEKS WILL BEGIN TO
RECEDE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...SOME ROADWAYS MAY STILL BE
COVERED WITH WATER.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. OBEY ALL ROAD CLOSURE SIGNS...THEY ARE THERE FOR YOUR
SAFETY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
515 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2003

UPDATED ZONES SENT TO EXPAND WATCH TO INCLUDE W SLOPES OF GREENS.
88D MOSAIC SHWG SHWRS/TSTMS DVLPG AND TRAINING ALG W SLOPES SO
DECIDED TO INCLUDE THIS AREA IN WATCH.

KJC

PREV DISCUSSION...

CRNT/SHORT TERM...AMS IS CARBON COPY OF YDA WITH TMPS INTO 80S AND
DWPTS IN L70S WITH CAPES 1500-2500 J/KG.  SCT SHWRS/TSTMS MOVG NWD
THRU NNY AND W VT WITH MORE CONCENTRATED AREA OF CNVCTN ACRS ERN
PA/WNY ASSCD WITH STGR S/WV.  AS UPR TROF BCMS NEG TILTED S/WV
ENERGY WL ROTATE NWD ACRS FA LTR TNGT INTO WED.

XPCT SHWRS/TSTMS TO BCM MORE WDSPRD TNGT AS S/WV APCHS AND QG LIFT
INCRS.  BEST LIFT PROGGED ACRS W ZNS AND GIVEN CRNT SATL/RDR TRENDS
AND BACKING FLOW THIS LOOKS RSNBL.  PW/S ARND 1.75 SO CONCERNED ABT
HVY RAFL.  WL HOIST FFA FOR AREAS W OF GREEN MTNS WHERE HVIEST RAFL
XPCTD.  LCL RAFL AMTS 2-4 PSBL.

WED...S/WV AND ASSCD POCKET OF MID LVL COOLING MVS ACRS FA SO CONTD
WITH LKLY POPS ALL DAY.  WITH MORE CLD CVR XPCTD TRIMMED MAX TMPS TO
75 TO ARND 80.

WED NT/THU...S/WV LIFTS NWD WED NGT.  XPCT SCT RW/TRW WED EVNG...
THEN GENLY DRY OVRNGT AS S/WV MVS N OF FA.  NO SGFNT S/WVS NOTED
FOR THU BUT WITH TROF AXIS RMNG TO THE W AND CONTD WRM/HUMID AMS
SCT RW/TRW A GOOD BET.

XTNDD...WITH UPR TROF RMNG W OF RGN...BIGGEST CHALLENGE WL BE
TIMG/STRENGTH OF INDIVIDUAL S/WVS WHICH WL BE VRY DFCLT TO
DETERMINE. SO CONTD WITH CHC SHWRS.  GFS SHWG SIGNS OF UPR TROF BRKG
DOWN WITH FLOW BCMG MORE WLY ERLY NXT WEEK SO PCPN CHCS WL
DECREASE.

.BTV...FLOOD WATCH TNGT FOR NYZ026-027-029>031-034-035-087 AND
       VTZ001-002-005-006-009-011-016>019.

KJC

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-051145-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT TUE AUG 5 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT
AS WELL AS NORTHERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION...MAINLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY AGAIN ACROSS THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY...PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THERE WILL CONTINUE
TO BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR
HEAVY RAINFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BURLINGTON.