Severe Thunderstorm Warning 29, NWS Charleston, WV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
345 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2002

FAIRLY ACTIVE WEATHER NIGHT ON GOING...RADAR INDICATES THAT LAST
ROUND OF TSTORMS SHOULD MOVE THROUGH IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.  WARM
FRONT HAS LIFTED NORTH OF CWA. 00Z SOUNDS ACROSS BNA SHOWED A SOLID
CAP.  THIS SEEMS TO BE ADVECTING NORTH AS SOME OF THE CONVECTION ON
THE SOUTHERN END IS WEAKEN.  THIS SHOULD PROVIDE A BREAK IN THE RAIN
UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON WHEN THE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO PASS.  THINGS
COULD GET VERY INTERESTING AS THE FRONT APPROACHES IF WE CAN GET
SOME HEATING FIRST.  HAVE GONE NEAR NGM MAXES AS MAV GUIDANCE MUCH
TOO COOL.

MODELS DIFFERING ON TIMING FOR TONIGHT.  THE ETA/NGM ARE SLOWER
MOVING THE FRONT THROUGH.  THIS KEEP RAIN SHOWERS IN THE FCST
LONGER.  THUS HAVE LEFT 30 POP FOR THE EVENING GENERALLY EAST OF THE
OHIO.  SKIES SHOULD CLEAR TOWARD MORNING AND WITH COLD AIR COMING IN
A BLEND IN THE GUIDANCE LOOKS GOOD.

AFTER A SUNNY FRIDAY...MODELS SHOW A WAVE ALONG THE FRONT GETTING
CLOSE TO THE AREA.  MODELS DIFFER ON HOW FAR NORTH THE PCPN GOES.
AT THIS POINT WILL LIMIT TO EXTREME SOUTHERN WV AND SOUTHWEST VA.
WITH FLOW ALOFT NOT REMAIN WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY...DO NOT EXPECT THE
COLD FRONT TO SLIDE ALL THE WAY INTO GA AS THE AVN SAYS.

HAVE PULLED THE POPS OUT FOR SUNDAY IN THE SOUTH AS A WEAK COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH.  HAVE LEFT 30 POP IN...BUT THIS
LOOKS SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY WEEK FRONT WITH WAS VIRTUALLY DRY ACROSS
THE REGION SO NOT EXPECTING MUCH.  OTHERWISE...REST OF EXTENDED
UNCHANGED.

.RLX...
WV...NONE.
VA...NONE.
KY...NONE.
OH...NONE.

.END/ ESS

OHZ066-067-075-076-083>085-WVZ009>011-017-019-020-031-032-040-021115-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
643 AM EDT THU MAY 2 2002

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH #204 HAS BEEN CANCELED...

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE LESSENED IN INTENSITY THIS MORNING...THEREFORE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 204 FOR SOUTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHERN WEST
VIRGINIA HAS BEEN CANCELED.

.END

ZCZC CRWLSRRLX DEF
TTAA00 KCRW DDHHMM
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA
1145 AM EDT THU MAY 02 2002

THE FOLLOWING REPORTS ARE UNOFFICIAL AND MAY HAVE BEEN COLLECTED
FROM UNTRAINED SOURCES

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1143 AM    LOGAN                     WV   .50 INCH HAIL
05/02/02   LOGAN                          EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN
                                          1128 AM  AND  1143 AM

1145 AM    CORA                      WV   .50 INCH HAIL
05/02/02   LOGAN                          EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN
                                          1130 AM  AND  1145 AM

1207 PM    LORADO                    WV   WIND DAMAGE
05/02/02   LOGAN                          STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.
                                          EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN
                                          1152 AM  AND  1207 PM