Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 72, NWS Raleigh, NC
NWS Raleigh, NC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 6, 2002, 7:13 PM EDT for Davidson County, North Carolina. It was in force for 47 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 6, 2002, 7:13 PM EDT (23:13 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 6, 2002, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 47 min
- Issued by
- NWS Raleigh, NC
- Area
- Whole counties
County Davidson County, NC
The radar
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 7:45 PM EDT | Thunderstorm Wind 50 E | Jackson Hill, NC | Trees were blown down along Highway 8. |
NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 43 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1022 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -57 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 772 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 15 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 46 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 54 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS52 KRAH 062313 SVRRAH NCC057-070000- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 712 PM EDT THU JUN 6 2002 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOTUHERN DAVIDSON COUNTY IN NORTH CAROLINA * UNTIL 800 PM EDT * AT 712 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTH OF HIGH ROCK...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... DENTON AT 740 PM EDT DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. $$ PWB/DGS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 6, 1:55 PM EDT, 5 hours 18 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 6, 1:55 PM EDT, 5 hours 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
155 PM EDT THU JUN 06 2002
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS AND OBSERVED CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS SUGGEST
INSTABILITY AXIS STRETCHING FROM SOUTHERN FOOTHILLS NE INTO NORTHERN
PIEDMONT THEN INTO CENTRAL VA. THIS AXIS HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE
11Z. AT 1745Z...CONVECTION ALREADY FIRING ALONG THIS AXIS FROM
CASWELL COUNTY INTO VA. SCATTERED CONVECTION IN AVL VICINITY SHOULD
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS S/W CROSSES TN VALLEY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. THUS...APPEARS THAT WIDESPREAD CONVECTION COULD
OCCUR OVER FAR WESTERN COUNTIES BY 21-23Z WITH MAJORITY OF THE
CONVECTION ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AFTER 00Z.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS DEPICT BEST POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS
OVER THE SANDHILLS/NE PIEDMONT AND COASTAL PLAIN COUNTIES AS MID
LEVEL DRY AIR MORE PRONOUNCED OVER THIS REGION COMPARED TO WESTERN
COUNTIES. HAIL THREAT APPEARS TO BE MINIMAL DUE TO RELATIVELY HIGH
WET BULB ZEROS (11.5-12K FEET).
BEST DYNAMICS AND DEEPER MOISTURE OVER VA AND EXTREME NORTHERN NC.
THUS WILL CONTINUE LIKELY POPS TONIGHT OVER THE NORTH. IN THE
SOUTH...APPARENT TIMING OF DYNAMICS (AFTER SUNSET) AND SLIGHTLY
DRIER AIRMASS SUGGEST THAT CONVECTIVE COVERAGE MAY NOT WARRANT
LIKELY POPS. MAY DECREASE POPS TO 40-50% TONIGHT...MAINLY EASTERN
SANDHILLS AND SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN.
FRIDAY...LOW LEVEL NE FLOW MAY KEEP SKIES CLOUDY FOR GOOD PART OF
THE MORNING BEFORE SUBSIDENCE AND DRY AIR ADVECTION DISSIPATE LOW
CLOUDS. 850 THERMAL TROUGH OVER REGION FRI AND COOLER NE FLOW
SHOULD RESULT IN TEMPS CLOSE TO 20 DEGREES COOLER COMPARED TO RECENT
HOT SPELL. COLD FRONT EXITS SOUTHERN COUNTIES FRI AM. WILL LIKELY
REMOVE MENTION OF POP ACROSS THE NORTH FRI AM (WHERE MENTIONED) AND
KEEP POPS FRI IN THE SOUTH CONFINED TO EARLY MORNING (30-40%).
SATURDAY APPEARS TO BE ABOUT AS GOOD AS IT CAN GET WITH HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING AT SURFACE AND ALOFT. PLENTY OF SUN WITH LIGHT
NE-E SURFACE FLOW SUGGEST HIGHS AROUND 80/LOWER 80S.
EXTENDED...RIDGING NEAR SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN INFLUENCE
OVER WEATHER ACROSS CENTRAL NC THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED. AVN/GFS
HAS BEEN TRENDING TOWARD A SOLUTION THAT EXHIBITS STRONGER RIDGING
AND A DRIER AIRMASS. THUS...EXPECT TEMPS TO MODERATE DAYS 3-6 WITH
HIGH TEMPS SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL BY TUE. ECMWF AND AVN/GFS DISPLAY
LOWERING UPPER HEIGHTS BY MID WEEK AS NORTHERN STREAM S/W CROSSES
GREAT LAKES. TIMING OF THIS FEATURE IN QUESTION THIS FAR OUT AS
TREND HAS BEEN TO SLOW EASTWARD TRANSLATION OF UPPER LOW ACROSS
NORTHERN TIER OF U.S. ALSO...STILL SOME QUESTION OF RETURN FLOW
BEYOND TUE. ECMWF AND AVN/GFS SUGGEST THAT RETURN FLOW OVER CENTRAL
NC COULD BE DELAYED AT LEAST TILL LATE WED. THUS...DUE TO THE ABOVE
UNCERTAINTY AND THE MODEL TENDENCY TO BREAK RIDGING OVER SE U.S. TOO
QUICKLY THIS TIME OF YEAR...WILL NOT INTRODUCE POPS TO DAYS 5-7 AT
THIS TIME.
RDU 68/78/58/81 7100 GSO 66/78/58/79 7100
FAY 69/80/60/82 5310
.RAH...NONE.
WSSIn the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 6, 6:41 PM EDT, 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
641 PM EDT THU JUN 6 2002
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0616 PM GREENSBORO NC 59 MPH TSTM WIND GUST
06/06/02 GUILFORD A MICROBURST PRODUCED A 59
MPH WIND GUST OVER THE
PIEDMONT-TRIAD AIRPORT.
DGSSpecial weather statement, Jun 6, 7:00 PM EDT, 13 minutes before
ZCZC 000 TTAA00 KRAH 062257 NCZ007>009-022>025-039-040-070200- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 700 PM EDT THU JUN 6 2002 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IS APPROACHING ROXBORO AND BURLINGTON... AND HILLSBOROUGH... A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WIND AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL MOVE EAST AT 40 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF PERSON... ALAMANCE... EASTERN GUILFORD... ORANGE... AND NORTHERN RANDOLPH COUNTIES BETWEEN 700 AND 800 PM. CITIES AND TOWNS IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF STORMS INCLUDE... ROXBORO... ELON... HILLSBOROUGH... BURLINGTON... AND GRAHAM. STRONG GUSTY WIND TO 40 OR 50 MPH MAY OCCUR WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS LINE. TAKE SHELTER INDOORS WHEN THUNDER IS FIRST HEARD. IF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS ISSUED... MOVE INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER AWAY FROM WINDOWS. BADGETT
The office that day
Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 7:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Person | 54 min |
| Jun 6, 7:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Halifax | 52 min |
| Jun 6, 7:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Stanly | 25 min |
| Jun 6, 7:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Chatham | 21 min |
| Jun 6, 7:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Nash | 34 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.