Severe Thunderstorm Warning 147, NWS Nashville, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
945 AM CDT MON JUL 1 2002

MIDDLE TENNESSEE REMAINED UNDER A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
THIS MORNING, WITH TEMPERATURES ALREADY AROUND 80 DEGREES AT
900 AM.

EXPECT VERY SIMILAR WEATHER TO THAT OF YESTERDAY. SO, BLV CU FIELD
WILL DEVELOP SHORTLY AND WILL BE FOLLOWED BY ISOLATED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS.

WILL UPDATE FORECAST TO TAKE OUT MENTION OF MORNING IN THE FIRST
PERIOD. OTHERWISE, EXPECT TO MAKE LITTLE OR NO CHANGE TO PREVIOUS
ZONE PACKAGE.

.BNA...NONE.

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TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075>080-093>097-021030-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
225 PM CDT MON JUL 1 2002

...HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100 TO 105 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS AREAS IN MIDDLE TN TO THE WEST OF THE PLATEAU...

...SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF MIDDLE
TN THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...

AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE LOWER 90S...DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOWER 70S WILL PRODUCE HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100 TO 105 DEGREES
ACROSS THE MID STATE THIS AFTERNOON.

BE SURE TO DRINK PLENTY OF NON ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES AND TAKE IT EASY
IF YOU MUST BE OUTSIDE IN THE HEAT.

CHECK ON THE ELDERLY AND PLEASE DO NOT LEAVE SMALL CHILDREN
UNATTENDED IN A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...ON DAYS LIKE TO DAY...IF
POSSIBLE...SUBSTITUTE A LAWN CHAIR IN THE SHADE FOR A LAWN MOWER IN
THE SUN.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAT...A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL COMBINE
TO PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF MIDDLE
TN THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING. AS THE DAYTIME HEATING
CONTINUES AND INSTABILITIES INCREASE...SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG AND PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 45 MPH.
ALSO...WITH STORMS MOVING SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHWEST...RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF AN INCH OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

THOUGH ONLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED...KEEP IN MIND THAT
WIND SPEEDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH CAN BLOW OVER SHALLOW ROOTED TREES AND
SNAP LARGE TREE LIMBS.

STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN THIS EVENING AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES
COOL DOWN FOLLOWING SUNSET.

THROUGH THIS EVENING...ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND SPOTTERS
IS UNLIKELY.

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