Tornado Warning 4, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
400 PM CST WED JAN 23 2002

WARM HUMID AND UNSTABLE AIR IS IN PLACE IN MOST OF THE CWA AT ISSUE
TIME WAITING FOR THE COLD FRONT AND A SHORT WAVE IN SOUTHWEST FLOW
TO ARRIVE. THUNDERSTORMS IN OKLAHOMA SHOULD REACH INTO ARKANSAS THIS
EVENING AND SHOULD SEE INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORMS EARLY TONIGHT WITH
SOME SEVERE WEATHER LIKELY. WILL HAVE LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS FOR
TONIGHT WITH MENTION OF SEVERE AND HEAVY RAIN. SEVERE AND HEAVY RAIN
THREAT SHOULD BE OUT OF THE CWA BY 12Z THURSDAY AS THE COLD FRONT
SHOULD BE MOSTLY OUT OF THE AREA. TEMPS WILL LIKELY STAY WELL INTO THE
60S THROUGH THE NIGHT UNTIL THE FRONT PASSES THEN TEMPS SHOULD DROP
TO NEAR FWC MINS. CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE REMAINS ON THURSDAY AS THE MAIN
UPPER TROF HANGS OUT TO THE WEST. WILL KEEP HIGH POPS GOING THROUGH
THURSDAY...BUT THE AIR SHOULD BE COOLER AND MORE STABLE...SO
PRECIPITATION  SHOULD BE MOSTLY RAIN. ENOUGH INSTABILITY REMAINS IN
THE SOUTHEAST IN THE MORNING TO CONTINUE A MENTION OF THUNDER THERE.
TEMPS SHOULD RISE LITTLE ON THURSDAY. WILL CONTINUE POPS INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT FOR LIGHT RAIN WITH CLOUDS HOLDING IN. WILL STAY NEAR
FWC MOS FOR MINS. UPPER TROF LOOKS LIKE IT WILL PASS OVER THE AREA ON
FRIDAY. WILL KEEP SOME CLOUDS IN THROUGH FRIDAY...BUT LOOKS LIKE MOISTURE
WILL BE TOO SCARCE FOR A MENTION OF PRECIPITATION. LOWER MOS MAXES
FOR FRIDAY IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S LOOK REASONABLE. DRY AND MILD
WEATHER SHOULD MOVE IN AFTER THAT INTO MONDAY. WILL INCREASE CLOUDS
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AND PUT IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN FOR MONDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY AS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS. ARCTIC FRONT
REACHES THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND WILL PUT IN A CHANCE OF RAIN FOR
THAT. LOOKS LIKE IMPACT OF ARCTIC AIR WILL REACH AREA AFTER NEXT
WEDNESDAY.

.LZK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT PARTS OF NORTHEAST
          ZONES 16-23>25-33-34

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-240400-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
525 PM CST WED JAN 23 2002

...TORNADO WATCH IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF ARKANSAS UNTIL 10 PM...

A WARM FRONT MOVED THROUGH ARKANSAS FROM THE SOUTH TODAY...WITH
VERY WARM AND UNSTABLE AIR SPREADING ACROSS THE STATE. MEANWHILE...
A STORM SYSTEM WAS FORMING IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...WITH AN
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SET TO BRING MUCH COOLER AIR INTO THE STATE
LATER TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALREADY DEVELOPING NORTH AND WEST OF LITTLE ROCK.

A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF
ARKANSAS THROUGH 10 PM. THE WATCH INCLUDES AREAS NORTH OF
MENA...LITTLE ROCK AND BRINKLEY.

IN THE WATCH AREA...STORMS THAT BECOME SEVERE WILL PRODUCE
DIME SIZE HAIL OR LARGER AND STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS...WITH
ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

LATER TONIGHT...THE STORM SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO ARKANSAS...WITH ADDITIONAL
SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED.

PEOPLE ACROSS ARKANSAS ARE ADVISED TO PREPARE FOR SEVERE WEATHER
TONIGHT. BE READY TO FIND A PLACE OF SAFETY IF A WARNING IS ISSUED
FOR YOUR AREA.

46