Alert archive / Louisiana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Lake Charles, LA

October 29, 2002Jefferson Davis Parish, Louisiana

NWS Lake Charles, LA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 29, 2002, 1:57 AM CST for Jefferson Davis Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 63 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 29, 2002, 1:57 AM CST (07:57 UTC)
Expired
Oct 29, 2002, 3:00 AM CST
In force
63 min
Issued by
NWS Lake Charles, LA
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Jefferson Davis Parish, LA

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Oct 28, 8:15 PM CSTTornado WatchSPC6 hr
Oct 29, 1:25 AM CSTTornado WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 00:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 41 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2002-10-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 51 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2002-10-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 102 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
51 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-148 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1502 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

825 
WUUS54 KLCH 290757
SVRLCH
LAC053-290900-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
156 AM CST TUE OCT 29 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA

* UNTIL 300 AM CST

* AT 156 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FENTON...MOVING EAST AT 35
  MPH.

* THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WELSH BY 220 AM CST
  ROANOKE BY 225 AM CST
  HATHAWAY BY 235 AM CST
  JENNINGS BY 240 AM CST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL RAIN.

A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CST TUESDAY 
MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA.

CALL 337-477-5285 TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3042 9302 3020 9297 3017 9263 3045 9262

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 28, 8:40 PM CST, 5 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 28, 8:40 PM CST, 5 hours 17 minutes before
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
840 PM CST MON OCT 28 2002

...HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...

STRONG SUPPORT FOR TSTMS TONIGHT AS INDC IN WATER VAPOR AND IR SAT.
BEST SUPPORT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA OVR THE NEXT SVRL
HOURS. CAPES AREA LOOKING A BIT BETTER AND HELICITY IS RUNNING ABOUT
82 (M/S)2... BUT THIS IS EXPECTED TO INCR. SHV SOUNDING HAD HEL ABT
183 (M/S)2. TOR WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF SE TX AND PORTIONS
OF SW AND CNTRL LA THIS EVE.

HAVE UPDATED ZONES.

.LCH...
TORNADO WATCH TIL 2 AM...LAZ027>033-041>043-051-052-
                         TXZ180>182-201-215-216-
FLOOD WATCH...LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-
              TXZ180>182-201-215-216.

.PRELIM NUMBERS...
    TN  TUE   WED   THU  TN  TU WE TH
AEX 65 77/60 76/55 70/49  8  52 11 00
BPT 70 79/66 80/60 73/52  +  62 11 00
LCH 70 79/65 80/60 73/52  +  62 11 00
LFT 71 78/66 79/62 73/52  8  63 11 00

K. KUYPER
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 28, 5:17 AM CST, 20 hours 40 minutes before
LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-291200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
517 AM CST MON OCT 28 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...CENTRAL...
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA.

...FLOOD WATCH THIS AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND FOR SOUTHWEST
AND WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

.TODAY AND TONIGHT...
SYNOPSIS...
FOR TODAY...A WARM FRONT WILL EXTEND SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE LAKES REGION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND THROUGH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.
FRESHENING GULF BREEZES WILL UPGLIDE OVER THIS FRONTAL SURFACE. BY
THE AFTERNOON...DISTURBANCES ALOFT WILL PASS OVER THE UPGLIDING GULF
AIR. FURTHER LIFTING OF THIS GULF AIR WILL CAUSE OVERRUNNING RAINS.
ANY RAIN WILL QUICKLY RUN OFF IN THE ALREADY SATURATED SOILS.

FOR TONIGHT...THE WARM FRONT WILL EXIT TO THE NORTH. AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT WILL SET UP A WARM SECTOR WEDGE ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA. FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THIS WARM
SECTOR WEDGE. THUNDERSTORMS ORGANIZING IN LINES ARE POSSIBLE.

FLOODING...
BASIN AVERAGED RAIN WATER AMOUNTS BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES...WITH
LOCAL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE. SEE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE.

RIVER FLOODING...
MODERATE FLOODING WILL PERSIST OVER THE RIVER BASINS OF THE LOWER
NECHES AND LOWER SABINE...AND OVER THE RIVER BASINS OF THE
CALCASIEU AND MERMENTAU. SEE RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS
ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE. SPECIAL ATTENTION WILL BE NEEDED FOR FLASHY
RIVERS SUCH AS BAYOU ANACOCO AND THE VERMILION RIVER IN LAFAYETTE.

CONVECTIVE WEATHER...
THUNDERSTORMS ORGANIZING IN LINES ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS. ISOLATED TORNADOES
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING.

................................................................
.TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
POST FRONTAL SHOWERS WILL BE ENDING TUESDAY MORNING. A CANADIAN HIGH
WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE EXITING FRONT. A MORE SEASONABLE AIR MASS
WILL PREVAIL. ON SUNDAY...A MUCH STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE
ACROSS THE AREA...USHERING IN AN UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR MASS.
OVERNIGHT MINIMUMS IN THE MID 30S WILL BE FELT ACROSS THE LAKES
REGION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

Trares

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 28, 11:04 PM CST, 2 hours 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES, LA
1104 PM CST MON OCT 28 2002

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1030 PM    BATSON                    TX   60 MPH TSTM WIND GUST
10/28/02   HARDIN                         TREES REPORTED DOWN

KGK
Local storm report, Oct 29, 12:03 AM CST, 1 hour 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES, LA
1203 AM CST TUE OCT 29 2002

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1155 PM    VIDOR                     TX   FLOOD
10/29/02   ORANGE                         MAJOR FLOODING OF STREETS
                                          IN VIDOR. WATER COMING INTO
                                          HOMES ON ST. CHARLES ST. IN
                                          VIDOR
Local storm report, Oct 29, 12:16 AM CST, 1 hour 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES, LA
1216 AM CST TUE OCT 29 2002

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1130 PM    LUMBERTON                 TX   TORNADO
10/28/02   HARDIN                         *** SEVERAL INJ ***
                                          LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED -
                                          TX DPS. BLDG DAMAGED, GAS
                                          LEAK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lake Charles, LA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 29, 12:07 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHCalcasieu58 min
Oct 29, 12:25 AM CSTTornado WarningLCHCalcasieu35 min
Oct 29, 12:54 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLCHCalcasieu3 hr
Oct 29, 1:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHCalcasieu56 min
Oct 29, 1:33 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAllen, Beauregard57 min
Oct 29, 1:35 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAllen, Beauregard55 min
Oct 29, 2:16 AM CSTTornado WarningLCHAllen29 min
Oct 29, 2:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAcadia65 min
Oct 29, 2:32 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHEvangeline58 min
Oct 29, 2:38 AM CSTTornado WarningLCHAcadia, Evangeline, Saint Landry37 min
Oct 29, 2:59 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLCHCameron3 hr
Oct 29, 3:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHLafayette55 min
Oct 29, 3:13 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLCHLafayette3 hr
Oct 29, 3:20 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHSaint Landry55 min
Oct 29, 3:29 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLCHBeauregard3 hr
Oct 29, 3:32 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningLCH58 min
Oct 29, 3:32 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningLCH58 min
Oct 29, 3:32 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHSaint Martin58 min
Oct 29, 3:42 AM CSTTornado WarningLCHSaint Martin33 min
Oct 29, 4:02 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLCHCalcasieu2 hr
Oct 29, 4:58 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLCHVermilion2 hr
Oct 29, 6:02 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLCHIberia118 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Louisiana, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.