Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Jackson, KY

Issued

Mar 19, 2002, 7:39 AM EST (12:39 UTC)

Expired

Mar 19, 2002, 11:30 AM EST

In force

4 hr

Issued by

NWS Jackson, KY

Area

Whole counties

Counties Bath County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Rowan County, KY

000 
WGUS53 KJKL 191239
FFWJKL
KYC011-063-069-173-205-191630-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
735 AM EST TUE MAR 19 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  FLEMING COUNTY
  ROWAN COUNTY
  BATH COUNTY
  ELLIOTT COUNTY
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY

* UNTIL 1130 AM EST

* AT 730 AM EST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY 
HEAVY   RAIN...ON THE ORDER OF ONE INCH PER HOUR MOVING ACROSS PART 
OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY. A FEW SPOTS COULD RECEIVE BETWEEN ONE AND TWO 
INCHES OF RAIN BY 9 AM. DUE TO NEARLY SATURATED GROUND...MOST OF 
THIS RAIN WILL GO TO EXCESS RUNOFF.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. 
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.  
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE 
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY 
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN 
JACKSON KY.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Mar 19, 1:45 AM EST, 5 hours 54 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
145 AM EST TUE MAR 19 2002

THE SYNOPTIC SITUATION REMAINS SERIOUS. A TAP OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
CONTINUES FROM MEXICO INTO THE EASTERN CONUS...AHEAD OF A CUTOFF
UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES. AT THE SURFACE...AN INVERTED
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO KY. THIS REMAINS A
FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION AS A TRAIN OF VORTICITY MAXES MOVES OVER IT.
THE NEXT SURGE OF PRECIP WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF EASTERN KY BEFORE
DAYBREAK TODAY. THAT PATTERN PERSISTS IN THE MODELS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THEN THE SYSTEM IS SHOWN TO FINALLY MOVE OFF TO THE EAST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE LATEST QPF FROM THE HPC SHOWS AN AREAL AVERAGE
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAIN OVER MOST OF EASTERN KY BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL WORSEN THE FLOOD CONDITIONS THAT
ALREADY EXIST IN PARTS OF THE AREA. WITH CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL VARY LITTLE. THE NGM MOS LOOKS GOOD
COMPARED TO PERSISTENCE...EXCEPT A LITTLE TOO WARM FOR HIGHS ON
WEDNESDAY.

THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL BE TO INTRODUCE A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS MONDAY. THE LATEST MRF MODEL RUN SHOWS THAT
ANOTHER CUTOFF LOW DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES SUNDAY AND
DRIFTS EAST.

IFPS/GFE...ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE EXISTING DATABASE.

PRELIMINARY CCF...
JKL 57/52 59/48  +++8
LOZ 59/52 61/49  99+8

.JKL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MOST OF EASTERN KENTUCKY TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

SCHAUB

Flash Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2002Every flash flood warning in 2002

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.