Severe Thunderstorm Warning 38, NWS Lincoln, IL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
215 PM CDT WED APR 24 2002

MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT EXCEPT NOT HANDLING SFC LOW AT
TRIPLE POINT WELL. MODELS MOVING LOW EAST AND THEN SE THIS EVENING.
HOWEVER...LOW ACTUALLY MOVING NE AT THIS TIME INTO WCNTRL IL.
OTHERWISE MODELS SLOWLY WITH FRONT THAN PREVIOUS AND THIS LOOKS TO
BE RIGHT ON TARGET. THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE CRNT TREND OF FCST.

COLD FRONT JUST PAST MISS RVR WITH SFC LOW SW OF UIN AND WARM FRONT
EXTENDING INTO PARTS OF CNTRL AND SRN IL. AS THIS MOVES EAST THE
REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING...THUNDERSTORMS
ARE VERY LIKELY ACRS AREA...WITH SOME SEVERE. WILL KEEP CRNT
WORDING OF POSSIBLE SEVERE IN EAST AND SOUTHEAST FOR TONIGHT.

AFTER SYSTEM PASSES...DRIER AIR MOVES INTO CWA BRINGING IN CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHTER WINDS. HI PRSS RDG MOVES INTO PLAINS BUT REMAINS
WEST OF AREA. STATE WILL STILL HAVE BREEZY NWLY WINDS FROM NW...BUT
LESS CLOUDS THAN TODAY. RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER AREA THUR NIGHT...SO
AREA WILL EXPERIENCE LIGHT WINDS AND CONTINUED CLEAR SKIES.

ON FRIDAY...RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST OF AREA BRINGING RETURN OF SLY
WINDS AND WARMER TEMPS...AFTER TWO NIGHTS OF TEMPS JUST ABOVE
FREEZING. CLOUDS WILL ALSO BE ON INCREASE DURING AFTERNOON ACROSS
AREA WITH INCREASING WAA AND IN ADVANCE OF NEXT SYSTEM...THAT WILL
BEGIN TO EFFECT CWA SATURDAY. WILL HAVE TO ADD POPS FOR FRIDAY
NIGHT AS SOME WAA PCPN APPEARS TO BE MOVING INTO CWA FOR THAT TIME
PERIOD. MAIN PCPN WILL HOLD OFF TIL DURING DAY ON SAT AND INTO SAT
NIGHT. THEREFORE WILL ADD SAT EVE TO INDICATE CONTINUED PCPN INTO
EVENING HOURS.

EXTENDED: CURRENT EXTENDED LOOKS ON TRACK AND WILL HAVE CHC OF
RW/TRW FROM MON THROUGH WED. SFC FRONT SETS UP SOUTH OF CWA AND
GIVES CWA CONTINUED CHC OF OVERRUNNING PCPN THROUGH THAT TIME
PERIOD. SUNDAY WILL KEEP DRY AT THIS TIME.

...PRELIMINARY CCF FOR COORDINATION PURPOSES...

SPI B 035/058 035/059 046 77400
PIA B 034/056 034/058 045 77400
DEC B 035/057 034/059 046 77400
CMI B 036/057 034/058 045 77+00
MTO B 037/058 035/060 047 77+00
LWV B 038/059 038/061 048 77+00

.ILX...NONE.

AUTEN

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-241800-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR CENTRAL ILLINOIS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1100 AM CDT WED APR 24 2002

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE
MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL ILLINOIS LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS BETWEEN 2PM AND 7PM.

REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO...OR COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION FOR THE LATEST
WEATHER FORECASTS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN, IL
133 PM CDT WED APR 24 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0126 PM    GLASGOW                   IL   .88 INCH HAIL
04/24/02   SCOTT                          FROM COUNTY SHERIFF.