Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Wichita, KS

Issued

May 6, 2002, 7:03 PM CDT (00:03 UTC)

Expired

May 6, 2002, 8:00 PM CDT

In force

57 min

Issued by

NWS Wichita, KS

Area

Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Saline County, KS

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

000 
WUUS53 KICT 070003
SVRICT
KSC169-070100-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
703 PM CDT MON MAY 6 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SALINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS

* UNTIL 800 PM CDT.

* AT 703 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTH OF ASSARIA...OR ABOUT 6 MILES
  SOUTH OF SALINA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE
  NEAR SALINA AROUND 705 PM CDT...
  NEAR NEW CAMBRIA AROUND 725 PM CDT...
  NEAR SOLOMON AROUND 740 PM CDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...
  WINDS UP TO 60 MILES AN HOUR...

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE 
WARNING.

REPEATING...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SALINE
COUNTY UNTIL 800 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 3875 9774 3863 9758 3899 9703 3918 9727

/COX

NNNN

NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 6, 3:25 PM CDT, 3 hours 38 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
325 PM CDT MON MAY 6 2002

FCST HIGHLIGHT: SVR TSRA LIKELY TNGT, ESPECIALLY ALONG NE CORRIDOR.

TNGT:
TSRA CROSSING NE KS EARLY THIS MRNG UNLEASHED S-MOVG OUTFLOW BNDRY
ACRS SE KS. BNDRY FINDING AMPLE MSTR DOWNSTAIRS ACRS SE KS (SFC DWPTS
70F, 850MB DWPTS 15C). BNDRY TO SERVE AS PRIMARY FOCUS FOR SVR TSRA
WITH GREATEST PROBABLITIES ALONG NE CORRIDOR WHERE LWR-LVL HELICITIES
SURE TO BE GREATEST AS IT RETREATS AS WARM FRONT. FOR NOW, AIRMASS
MOST UNSTABLE OVER SC KS WHERE CAPES 3500-4000J & LIS -8 TO -10
RESIDE. BUT WITH WARM FRONT LIFTING, AIRMASS ALONG NE CORRIDOR WL
DESTABLIZE QUICKLY LATE THIS AFTN. AS SUCH 60-70% POPS DICTATED MOST
AREAS WITH HIGHEST OVER ERN 1/2 CNTRL & SE KS. MSTR-LADEN AIRMASS
DICTATES MINS OF FM NEAR 60F NW TO UPR 60S SE.

TUE:
VERY WARM & HUMID WX SLATED ALL AREAS AS WARM FRONT STALLS ACRS CNTRL
KS IN RESPONSE TO DEEP UPSTAIRS TROF CROSSING NRN ROCKIES. POP GRADI-
ENT REFLECTS FRONTAL POSITIONING (HIGHEST ALONG N & NE CORRIDOR WHERE
40% SHOULD SUFFICE.) MAXES OF 80-85F SUFFICE ALL AREAS WITH SC & SE
KS ON WARMER END OF SPECTRUM.

TUE NGT:
ANOTHER HIGH-SCORING GAME IN THE OFFING FOR CWA (ESPECIALLY SE KS)
AS PREV-MENTIONED DEEP UPR TROF CROSSES MT ALLOWING SFC-850MB DRYLINE
TO PUNCH ACRS CNTRL KS. POPS 40% WARRANTED ALL BUT NW SXN WITH SE KS
ON WETTER END OF SPECTRUM. MINS TO BE SIMILAR TO TNGTS (60F NW TO
UPR 60S SE).

WED:
FCST HEAVILY DEPENDANT UPON POSITIONING OF DRY LINE. ASSIGNED HIGHEST
POPS OVER SE KS (GENERIC 30%) WHERE CLOSEST TO DRY LINE & WHERE MSTR
RICHEST IN ADVANCE OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT. MAXES TO RUN FM UPR 70S
NW TO MID 80S SE.

THU-FRI:
QUIET WX SLATED ALL AREAS AS LARGE HIGH PRESSURE VENTURES INTO CNTRL
PLNS IN WAKE OF COLD FRONT.

FRI NGT-SAT:
NEXT SHOT FOR TSRA APRS FOR LATE FRI NGT/EARLY SAT MRNG AS DEEPENING
UPR TROF CROSSING PAC NW INDUCES DEVELOPMENT OF SFC LOW OVER NE CO
WHICH, IN TURN, ALLOWS GULF MSTR TO MIGRATE ACRS TX & OK ON INTO KS.
ES

FCSTID =
ICT   65  86  65  84 /  60  30  40  20
HUT   65  85  64  82 /  60  30  40  20
EWK   65  84  65  83 /  60  30  40  20
EQA   66  84  66  84 /  60  30  40  20
WLD   66  87  66  86 /  60  30  40  20
RSL   61  82  60  79 /  40  30  30  10
GBD   63  84  61  80 /  40  30  30  10
SLN   63  83  62  80 /  60  40  40  30
MPR   64  83  65  82 /  60  40  40  30
CFV   69  85  70  87 /  70  40  50  30
CNU   67  84  68  85 /  70  40  50  30
K88   67  84  68  85 /  70  40  50  30

.ICT...
KS...NONE.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.