Severe Thunderstorm Warning 110, NWS Green Bay, WI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
330 PM CDT MON SEP 2 2002

SVR TSTM WATCH ISSUED FOR WESTERN TIER COUNTIES TIL 8PM.  COLD FRONT NOW
INTO WESTERN WI. LINE OF STORMS BEGINNING TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT
IN VERY UNSTABLE AIR. IN AN AREA WHERE CURRENT ANALYSES SHOWS AXIS OF
NEG 11 LIS. POTENT NEG TILTED TROF NOW LIFTING THROUGH MN. LOW CLOUDS
HAVE BEEN ABUNDANT...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTH CENTRAL. TEMPERATURES HAVE
BEEN HELD BACK. SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS STARTING TO WORK WAY INTO
NORTH CENTRAL. CURRENT WARNINGS HITTING LARGE HAIL OVER NORTHEAST MN...
WESTERN WI.

MAIN CONCERN WITH STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AS LINE DEVELOPS WITH
SIG MID LEVEL WINDS.  BUFFY SOUNDINGS SHOWING UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND
PROFILE...THOUGH SOME SPEED SHEER PRESENT TO PROVIDE THREAT FOR ROTATING
STORMS...ESPECIALLY ON THE SOUTHERN END OF LINE. LINE SHOULD BE OUT OF
OUR AREA BY MID EVENING AS FRONT EXITS THE AREA.  HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
IN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.  BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH
TIGHTER GRADIENT BEHIND DEPARTING LOW ON TUE.

NO CHANGES MADE TO LATER PERIODS...WITH LARGE RIDGE REMAINING IN PLACE
OVER CENTRAL US.

.GRB...NONE.

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WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GRB

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-022030-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1200 PM CDT MON SEP 2 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST AND PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
NORTH-CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. THE
THREAT WILL LINGER INTO THE EARLY EVENING...ESPECIALLY OVER EAST-CENTRAL
WISCONSIN.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS...
THOUGH LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. CONDITIONS ARE ALSO SOMEWHAT
FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES.

THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BEGIN IN NORTH-CENTRAL WISCONSIN BY MID
AFTERNOON...AND THEN SPREAD SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE LATER
AFTERNOON...REACHING THE LAKESHORE IN EAST-CENTRAL WISCONSIN BETWEEN
4:00 PM AND 5:00 PM. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EXIT NORTHEAST WISCONSIN
BY 9:00 PM THIS EVENING.

A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A LINE OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO FORM JUST
AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN. THIS LINE IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT PUSHES EAST INTO INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR
OVER WESTERN WISCONSIN.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AFTER 2:00 PM.

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WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
626 PM CDT MON SEP 02 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0625 PM    UNITY                     WI   1.00 IN HAIL
09/02/02   MARATHON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
701 PM CDT MON SEP 2 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0645 PM    WAUSAU                    WI   TORNADO
09/02/02   MARATHON                       ROOFS OFF HOUSES AND MANY
                                          TREES DOWN

PLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
706 PM CDT MON SEP 2 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0605 PM    5 W ATHENS                WI   TORNADO
09/02/02   MARATHON

PLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
734 PM CDT MON SEP 2 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0709 PM    2 W JUNCTION CITY         WI   .75 INCH HAIL
09/02/02   PORTAGE

PLH

WIZ005-010-011-018-019-030045-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
740 PM CDT MON SEP 2 2002

...TORNADO WATCH CANCELLED FOR PARTS OF NORTH-CENTRAL WISCONSIN

THE TORNADO WATCH WHICH WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10:00 PM CDT FOR VILAS...
ONEIDA...LINCOLN...FOREST...FLORENCE AND LANGLADE COUNTIES HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED THROUGH THESE COUNTIES AND
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO THREATEN AGAIN THIS EVENING.

THE TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MARATHON...WOOD...PORTAGE...
WAUSHARA... WAUPACA...SHAWANO...MENOMINEE...OCONTO AND MARINETTE
COUNTIES UNTIL 10:00PM. REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS
ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND NEAR THE
WATCH AREA.  STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR RADIO/TV FOR THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION.

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WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GRB