Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 37, NWS Kansas City, MO

April 18, 2002Holt County, Missouri; Doniphan County, Kansas

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 18, 2002, 8:08 PM CDT for Holt County, Missouri; Doniphan County, Kansas. It was in force for 37 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 18, 2002, 8:08 PM CDT (01:08 UTC)
Expired: Apr 18, 2002, 8:45 PM CDT
In force: 37 min
Issued by: NWS Kansas City, MO
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Doniphan County, KS, Holt County, MO

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 18, 8:30 PM CDT	Hail 0.75	Iowa Pt, KS

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 18, 4:00 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 159 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -124 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2584 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KEAX 190108
SVRMCI
KSC043-MOC087-190145-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
807 PM CDT THU APR 18 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  DONIPHAN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS
  HOLT COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSOURI

* UNTIL 845 PM CDT

* AT 804 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL
  SIZE...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
  LOCATED NEAR ROBINSON...OR NEAR HIAWATHA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
   WHITE CLOUD...HIGHLAND...SEVERANCE BY 815 PM CDT.
   SPARKS...FANNING...FORTESCUE BY 820 PM CDT.
   FOREST CITY...TROY...MOUND CITY BY 825 PM CDT.
   OREGON...FORBES BY 830 PM CDT.
   NEW POINT BY 835 PM CDT.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...
ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE...
SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4011 9537 4002 9534 3965 9533 3977 9495
          4013 9508 4026 9511

PB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 18, 3:10 PM CDT, 4 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 18, 3:10 PM CDT, 4 hours 58 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
310 PM CDT THU APR 18 2002

THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL TONIGHT AND THEN TIMING PRECIP CHANCES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND ARE THE BIG FORECAST CONCERNS FOR THIS PACKAGE.

WE ARE WATCHING TWO AREAS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEAR
TERM. THE FIRST IS A COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM CONCORDIA KANSAS TO
NEAR FORT DODGE IOWA.  THE FRONT SHOWS UP WELL ON OMAHAS RADAR.
LIS FROM MSAS INDICATE A CORRIDOR OF -10C IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT
WHERE BROKEN SUNSHINE BROUGHT TEMPS INTO THE UPPER 80S.  CONVERGENCE
IS SHARPENING ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND SCATTERED STORMS SHOULD LIGHT
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TRACK INTO NERN KS AND NWRN MO BY EARLY
EVENING.  SCATTERED OCCURRENCES OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
ARE EXPECTED WITH STORMS ALONG THE FRONT EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE
INSTABILITY WANES.  WE DONT EXPECT STORMS ALONG THE FRONT TO MOVE
SOUTH OF SAINT JOSEPH BEFORE WEAKENING WITH A LOSS OF SURFACE BASED
INSTABILITY.

A BIGGER MORE ORGANIZED CLUSTER OF CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO FIRE
ALONG THE DRYLINE COLD FRONT INTERSECTION IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
THIS EVENING.  AN MCS BORN OUT OF THESE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
THROUGH EASTERN KANSAS AND THEN MISSOURI AFTER MIDNIGHT. ETA MODEL
FORECASTS FOR SHEAR AND INSTABILITY DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS...SO WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED WITH
TONIGHTS MCS.

THE TRACK OF CONVECTION OVERNIGHT WILL PLAY A BIG ROLE IN WHERE THE
COLD FRONT WILL END UP TOMORROW.  THE FRONT WILL LIKELY BE DRIVEN
FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE ETA SUGGESTS.  PRECIPITATION TOMORROW
AFTERNOON SHOULD BE LIMITED TO THE INSTABILITY ALONG AND SOUTH OF
THE FRONT...FROM MOUND CITY KANSAS...TO AROUND MACON.  IF REMNANTS
FROM STORMS EARLIER IN THE DAY LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON...STORMS
MAY MISS OUR FORECAST AREA ALL TOGETHER.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WILL BE WITH THE
EJECTION OF THE MAIN TROUGH ON SATURDAY.  OVER RUNNING RAINS SHOULD
SPREAD OVER ALL OF NE KS AND NRN MO DURING THE DAY.
KOCH

DAYS 4-7 SUN-WED
INTRODUCED CHC TRW/RW SUN AS MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGEST MORE NOTHERN
TRACK FOR SURFACE LOW ALONG WITH SOME UPR SUPRT.  ALSO INSERTED CHC
TRW/RW TUE AS MRF SHOWS UPR SUPRT AND PASSAGE OF CDFNT AS LOW MOVES
THROUGH N OF CWA. TUE PRECIP SHOULD START AFTN AMD END BY WED. NO
CHGS TO TEMPS. WED TEMPS WRMR THAN MOS GUID AS HIR THCKNS SEEMS LKLY.
MAXIMUK

1150 AM

UPDATED TEMPERATURE FORECASTS FOR THIS AFTERNOON TO BETTER REFLECT
EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS.  CURRENT SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW CLOUDINESS
BREAKING UP OVER NORTHWEST CORNER REGION WHILE A LOONG FETCH OF
MIDDLE AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL CONTINUE TO POUR INTO CENTRAL
MISSOURI.  HAVE LOWER HIGHS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS SOUTH OF I-70.

BROWNING

522 AM
REMOVED THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTHWESTERN ONE
THIRD OF CWA THIS MORNING AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DISSIPATED ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI. MAY STILL
SEE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERTORM ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI OR
EASTERN KANSAS THIS MORNING...BUT NOT ENOUGH COVERAGE TO WARRANT ANY
MENTION OF POPS

DB

355 AM...

MAIN CONCERN IS THREAT OF CONVECTION THROUGH FRIDAY WITH AN
ADDITIONAL CONCERN BEING THE AMOUNT OF COOLING BEHIND FRONT. IN THE
SHORT TERM...PATCHES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING IN
EXTREME NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
THIS AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS IN 850 THETEA RIDGE WHICH IS EXPECTED
TO TRANSLATE EAST AND SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT ENTERS NORTHWESTERN CWA
THIS MORNING. MAY STILL SEE A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP
THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHWEST HALF OF CWA WITH THE AID OF MODERATE
ELEVATED INSTABILITY.

BIGGEST THREAT OF CONVECTION...WILL BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT AHEAD OF STRONG COLD FRONT. COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
EXTREME NORTHWEST MISSOURI LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE ETA/AVN
PLACEMENT OF FRONT PREFERRED. WEAKENING CAP SHOULD ALLOW FOR RAPID
DEVELOPMENT IN AREA OF STRONG INSTABILITY WITH CAPE VALUES FROM
2500-3500 J/KG. EXPECT SQUALL LINE TO DEVELOP BY MID-EVENING AND
MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS CWA. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE HIGH WINDS
AND HAIL. VEERED LOW LEVEL WINDS AND LINEAR FORCING SHOULD PRECLUDE
ANY DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS.

FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHERN CWA FRIDAY
MORNING AND WILL MAINTAIN FAIRLY HIGH POPS ACROSS THAT AREA. TO THE
NORTH...WILL MAINTAIN LOW POPS FOR FRIDAY MORNING EXCEPT FOR
NORTHWEST CORNER.

COLD AIR TO CONTINUE TO DRIVE SOUTH ON FRIDAY WITH ETA APPEARING
REASONABLE WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A POST FRONTAL STRATUS DECK.
EXPECT LITTLE RISE IN TEMPERATURE DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY AS A
RESULT. PREFER COOL MAV GUID FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY BUT MAV APPEARS
TOO COLD FOR FRIDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...GUIDANCE LOOKING TOO COLD
TODAY GIVEN PREFRONTAL COMPRESSIONAL HEATING AND WARM H8 TEMPS.

DB

.EAX...
KS...NONE
MO...NONE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 18, 3:34 PM CDT, 4 hours 34 minutes before

KSZ025-057-102>105-MOZ001>007-011>015-020>022-028-029-037-190200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
334 PM CDT THU APR 18 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 112...IN
EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING. THIS TORNADO WATCH INCLUDES
THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN MISSOURI:

ANDREW...ATCHISON...BUCHANAN...CALDWELL...CLAY...CLINTON...DAVIESS...
DE KALB...GENTRY...GRUNDY...HARRISON...HOLT...JACKSON...MERCER...
NODAWAY...PLATTE...PUTNAM AND WORTH.

IN KANSAS:

ATCHISON...DONIPHAN...JOHNSON...LEAVENWORTH...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE.

SOME CITIES IN THIS TORNADO WATCH INCLUDE ATCHISON...BETHANY...KANSAS
CITY...MARYVILLE...OLATHE...PAOLA...ROCKPORT...ST JOSEPH AND TRENTON.

BROWNING

Local storm report, Apr 18, 5:31 PM CDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
531 PM CDT THU APR 18 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0450 PM    3 E WATSON                MO   1 INCH HAIL
04/18/02   ATCHISON                       REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

Local storm report, Apr 18, 6:02 PM CDT, 2 hours 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
602 PM CDT THU APR 18 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0555 PM    HOPKINS                   MO   1.25 INCH HAIL
04/18/02   NODAWAY                        REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

Local storm report, Apr 18, 7:28 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
728 PM CDT THU APR 18 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0707 PM    3 NW GRANT CITY           MO   1.25 INCH HAIL
04/18/02   WORTH                          REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

0708 PM    MARYVILLE                 MO   .75 INCH HAIL
04/18/02   NODAWAY                        REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

0720 PM    RAVENWOOD                 MO   1 INCH HAIL
04/18/02   NODAWAY                        REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

0723 PM    2 N RAVENWOOD             MO   1.75 INCH HAIL
04/18/02   NODAWAY                        REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 18, 7:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Nodaway	28 min
Apr 18, 7:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Gentry	65 min
Apr 18, 7:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Harrison	53 min
Apr 18, 7:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Worth	57 min
Apr 18, 8:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Nodaway	45 min
Apr 18, 8:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Harrison	58 min
Apr 18, 9:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Mercer	60 min
Apr 18, 9:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Gentry	37 min
Apr 18, 9:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Harrison	60 min
Apr 18, 9:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Grundy	65 min
Apr 19, 4:52 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Platte	38 min
Apr 19, 5:30 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Jackson	45 min
Apr 19, 5:48 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Cass	57 min
Apr 19, 6:17 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Johnson	43 min
Apr 19, 6:22 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Lafayette	38 min
Apr 19, 6:52 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Saline	53 min
Apr 19, 7:46 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Howard, Saline	59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2002 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2002 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.