Severe Thunderstorm Warning 97, NWS Charleston, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1105 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

DEEP SW FLOW HAS SET UP THIS MORNING. ERN EDGE OF LINE OF STORMS HAS
ACCELERATED EWRD TO OUR N. BUT WILL STILL SEE FAST MOVG STORMS
ACROSS CWA BEGINNING IN WRN ZONES AROUND NOON. WILL BE UPDATING
ZONES TO ADD HEADLINES FOR SVR WATCH. AS FAR AS ACTUAL WORDING IN
BODY OF FCST...EXPECT ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO BOTH POPS
AND WINDS. ERN ZONES IN S.C. WILL WARM AND POTENTIALLY COME CLOSE TO
RECORDS BEFORE CLOUDS AND RAINS PUSH IN. WILL PUT WORDING FOR THOSE
ZONES OF NEAR-REC TEMPS.

MARINE...41004 STILL IN THE 15-20 KT RANGE AND SEAS AROUND 5 FT.
SIMILAR CONDS ACROSS OFFSHORE GA WATERS BUT SLIGHTLY LESS NEAR
SHORE. LIKE ZONES...WILL BE UPDATING TO ADD WATCH HEADLINES WITH NOT
A LARGE CHG TO CURR FCST.

.CHS...
GA...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 22Z GAC029-031-043-051-103-
     109-165-179-183-191-251-267
SC...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 22Z SCC005-013-015-019-029-
     035-049-053

GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-042>045-047>050-111250-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1205 PM EST MON NOV 11 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA
AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...
.SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS A RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY AND TONIGHT.  SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL REGION DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A HISTORY OF WIND DAMAGE OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF
GEORGIA AND FOR CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA EARLIER TODAY. DAMAGING WINDS
ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS...HOWEVER ISOLATED TORNADO FORMATION IS
POSSIBLE.  PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED THROUGH THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
.SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.  AN APPROACHING COOL FRONT
WILL LIKELY TRIGGER STRONG/SEVERE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY
NIGHT.  THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PUSH OFFSHORE BY LATE TUESDAY
EVENING.   DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST CONVECTIVE OUTLOOKS FROM THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-042>045-047>050-112200-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1120 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

UPDATED FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AND TO REMOVE TORNADO WATCH

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM FOR ALL
OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...

...TORNADO WATCH FOR ALLENDALE COUNTY SOUTH CAROLINA...AND
BULLOCH...CANDLER...EVANS...JENKINS...SCREVEN AND TATTNALL COUNTIES
IN GEORGIA HAS ENDED...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TONIGHT.

AN APPROACHING COOL FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY WILL TRIGGER STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL CLIMB INTO THE 80S ACROSS MOST
AREAS...EVEN NEAR THE COAST. THAT ALONG WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY
AND PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL ALLOW FOR THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER.

THE MAIN WEATHER HAZARDS WILL BE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND HEAVY RAINS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. STORM MOVEMENT
WILL BE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 40 TO 50 MPH...SO STORMS COULD
QUICKLY DEVELOP OR MOVE INTO A PARTICULAR LOCATION. REMAIN
CONTINUOUSLY AWARE OF THE WEATHER SITUATION TODAY...ESPECIALLY IF
YOU HAVE OUTDOOR PLANS.

THE MOST LIKELY TIMING FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS ACROSS INLAND COUNTIES
OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND GEORGIA AT JUST ABOUT ANYTIME THIS
AFTERNOON...THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTH CAROLINA BY MID TO LATER
AFTERNOON...AND COASTAL GEORGIA BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS DEFINED AS ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT
PRODUCES WINDS OF 58 MPH OR HIGHER...AND OR HAIL OF THREE QUARTERS
OF AN INCH IN DIAMETER OR LARGER.

LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND SPOTTER
GROUPS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION.

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...TV OR YOUR LOCAL NEWS SOURCE FOR THE
LATEST STATEMENTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

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