Severe Thunderstorm Warning 122, NWS Columbia, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
403 AM EST SUN NOV 10 2002

IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR THIS MORNING. SQUALL
LINE CURRENTLY STRETCHED FROM MOUNTAINS SOUTHWEST INTO LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND COVERED BY TORNADO WATCH BOXES. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF IT ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA AND GEORGIA. APPEARS BEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS
MORNING WILL BE ACROSS OUR NORTH AND WEST...WITH STRONGER UPPER
JET/UPPER VORT ENERGY...AND AXIS OF STRONGEST LOW LEVEL JET. TORNADO
WATCH JUST ISSUED FOR OUR NORTHERN AND WESTERN COUNTIES. THOSE LOW
LEVEL WINDS APPEAR TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO MENTION BREEZY WITH LAKE
WIND ADVISORY THIS MORNING...DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE...APPEARS MAIN COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO REGION LATER THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH WEAKENING LOW LEVEL JET AND BETTER
INSTABILITIES ACROSS THE EAST AND SOUTH FA. FRONT APPEARS TO SLOWLY
MOVE SOUTH THROUGH FA OVERNIGHT AND STALL THERE OR NEAR COAST
TUESDAY. SURFACE LOW TO DEVELOP AND TRACK ALONG FRONT
TUESDAY...EASTERN/SOUTHERN FA CLOSE ENOUGH TO FRONT/WARM SECTOR TO
MENTION CHANCE THUNDER THERE. STRONG UPPER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT SHOWER CHANCES EARLY.

FIRE WX COORD (MIX HT/XPRT WND)...
TOD...3500/SW25
TUE...2000/NW10

CAE   79  61  64  49 /  80  80  80  80
AGS   79  61  64  49 /  80  80  80  80
SSC   80  61  67  49 /  70  80  80  80
OGB   81  63  68  49 /  70  80  80  80

.CAE...
GA...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 14Z GAC073-181-189-245
     LAKE WIND ADVISORY ALL ZONES THIS MORNING
SC...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 14Z SCC037-039-057-065-071-081
     LAKE WIND ADVISORY ALL ZONES THIS MORNING

GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-111400-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
600 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MIDLANDS OF SOUTH CAROLINA
AND THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA OF GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING.
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL LIKELY
REDEVELOP MAINLY OVER EASTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. SOME OF THESE COULD ALSO BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AT TIMES TODAY AND
EARLY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

SCATTERED FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY MORNING.

RCC

GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-111700-
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
610 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

THIS STATEMENT PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: AIKEN...BAMBERG...
BARNWELL...BURKE...CALHOUN...CHESTERFIELD...CLARENDON...COLUMBIA...
EDGEFIELD...FAIRFIELD...KERSHAW...LANCASTER...LEE...LEXINGTON...
LINCOLN...MCCORMICK...MCDUFFIE...NEWBERRY...ORANGEBURG...RICHLAND...
RICHMOND...SALUDA AND SUMTER.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST SLOWLY TODAY. THE FRONT
WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT. STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS
COMBINED WITH A TURNING OF WINDS ALOFT THIS MORNING WILL RESULT IN
SCATTERED SEVERE WEATHER WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES.
SURFACE INSTABILITY WILL BE WEAK TO MODERATE. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OCCASIONALLY IN SHORT LINES WILL MOVE EAST THIS
MORNING. SOME REGENERATION OF THUNDERSTORMS IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THE EARLY EVENING PRIMARILY OVER EASTERN COUNTIES. SOME OF
THESE COULD ALSO BE SEVERE.

ALL INTERESTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
WEATHER AND KEEP POSTED ON WEATHER STATEMENTS...WATCHES...
OR WARNINGS WHICH MAY BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
BE PREPARED TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF THREATENING WEATHER IS
SIGHTED OR A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.

EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS OFFICIALS ARE REQUESTED TO REMAIN ALERT AND
MAKE PRELIMINARY PLANS TO DEAL WITH SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD IT OCCUR.
SEVERE WEATHER SPOTTERS...INCLUDING AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS...
SHOULD MONITOR THIS WEATHER SITUATION AND RELAY REPORTS PROMPTLY
TO THE NEAREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. IN ADDITION...ALL
LOCAL AND STATE SLED TERMINAL OPERATORS ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO
UTILIZE THEIR PRELIMINARY STORM REPORTING SYSTEM TO RELAY WEATHER
REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. PROMPT RELAY OF REAL-TIME
REPORTS COULD SUBSTANTIALLY AID THE WARNING PROCESS AND SENSITIZE
OTHERS TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER.

RCC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA, SC
840 AM EST MON NOV 11 2002

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

838 AM     LUGOFF                    SC   WIND DAMAGE
11/11/02   KERSHAW                        SEVERAL TREES DOWN

CDL