Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 46, NWS Brownsville, TX
NWS Brownsville, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 22, 2002, 3:46 PM CDT for Kenedy County, Texas. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 22, 2002, 3:46 PM CDT (20:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 22, 2002, 8:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Brownsville, TX
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Kenedy County, TX
The radar
The Corpus Christi radar (KCRP), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 60 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1927 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 615 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 85 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 124 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.8
- Supercell composite
- 5.8
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
873 WUUS54 KBRO 222046 SVRBRO TXC261-222115- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 345 PM CDT TUE OCT 22 2002 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN KENEDY COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS * UNTIL 415 PM CDT * AT 340 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF RAYMONDVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL LIKELY PRODUCE DIME SIZE HAIL... AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF... SOUTHEAST KENEDY COUNTY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE ADVANCE WARNING. PREPARE TO MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY STRUCTURE SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED. LAT...LON 2662 9780 2661 9763 2674 9750 2697 9754 VANSPEYBROECK
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 22, 3:10 PM CDT, 36 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 22, 3:10 PM CDT, 36 minutes before
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 310 PM CDT TUE OCT 22 2002 TONIGHT THRU FRI...CONVECTION OVER NW GULF ASSOC WITH H5 SHORT WAVE WILL CONTINUE MOVG EAST. EARLY THIS AFTN...IR/WV SAT IMAGERY ALSO REVEALS DRIER AIR BEING ADVECTED OVER NW MEX BY UPSTREAM SHORT WAVE LOCATED OVER CHIHUAHUA. THIS WAVE...NOW TAPPING TROPICAL MOISTURE AND TRIGGERING TSRA OVER THE SIERRA MADRE OCCIDENTAL...IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS S TX OVER NIGHT...SO WILL LEAVE SLGT CHC POPS FOR TONIGHT AND WED...AND ADD 10 PERCENT FOR WED NIGHT OUT WEST. DPSOTEX REMAINS UNDER SW FLOW AT H5 DUE TO TROUGHING OVER BAJA WITH ETA PROGGING 110 KT JET MAX CROSSING N MEX AND NOSING INTO CNTRL TX BY THU 12Z...SO WILL ADD 10 PERCENT POPS INLAND FOR THU AS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN AVN AND ETA. AVN KEEPS CWA DRY...LIKELY DUE TO STRONGER SFC WINDS FROM DEEPER LOW OVER NRN MEX CREATING TIGHTER SPG OVER DPSOTEX. BY EARLY FRI...AVN AND MRF HAVE COLD FRONT OVER CNTRL TX WITH NE WINDS OVER JUST N OF CWA BY FRI EVENING...AS FRONT STALLS. SAT THRU TUE...EARLY IN PERIOD...SHORT WAVE MOVES OUT N MEX ACRS DPSOTEX IN DOWNSTREAM FLOW ASSOC W/H5 LOW OVER SOCAL. THIS SHORT WAVE KICKS OUT SFC LOW FROM NE MEX ACRS CWA...SHIFTING SFC WINDS TO NW LATE SAT. ON SUN...SOCAL LOW MOVES E ACRS NW MEX AND OPENS AS IT CROSSES THE SRN PLAINS AND COMES INTO PHASE WITH SHORT WAVE OVER NRN PLAINS. RESULTANT H5 LONG WAVE PULLS WEAK COLD FRONT THRU DPSOTEX ON MON WITH N WINDS INCRG MON NIGHT. TUE LOOKS CLEAR AND COOL. .MARINE...EXPECT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DRIFT ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO ZIP BY TO THE NORTH AS A SURFACE FRONT WORKS INTO TEXAS DURING THE MIDWEEK. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE 10 TO 20 KNOT RANGE THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH INCREASING VELOCITIES TOWARD THE WEEKEND. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY...THEN AGAIN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS THE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO INCREASE THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND WINDS INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO THE PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCE. PRELIMINARY NUMBERS FOR COORDINATION PURPOSES ONLY... BRO BB 073/088 074/089 075 10/10/00/00/00 HRL BB 073/089 074/090 075 10/10/00/00/00 MFE BB 072/091 073/092 074 10/10/10/10/00 RGC BB 071/091 071/092 073 10/10/10/10/00 SPI BB 074/086 075/087 076 10/10/00/00/00 PUBLIC...59 AVIATION/MESO/MARINE...57 INTERNET ADDRESS...WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BRO .BRO...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 22, 6:08 AM CDT, 9 hours 38 minutes before
TXZ248>257-231100- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 608 AM CDT TUE OCT 22 2002 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS MORNING OVER MUCH OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE INTERACTS WITH ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN COUNTIES THIS MORNING...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED COVERAGE EXPECTED OVER THE REMAINING COUNTIES. SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS... REDUCING VISIBILITY AND PRODUCING PONDING ON ROADWAYS. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT NEEDED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY...WHILE TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. AREAS THAT HAVE BEEN RECENTLY AFFECTED BY HEAVY RAINS WILL BE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Oct 22, 3:24 PM CDT, 22 minutes before
TXZ251-222100- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 324 PM CDT TUE OCT 22 2002 ...BRIEF TORNADO SPOTTED OVER CENTRAL KENEDY COUNTY... A WEATHER SPOTTER TRAVELING SOUTH ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 77 REPORTED A TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN AT 3:04 PM CDT...APPROXIMATELY 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SARITA BORDER PATROL CHECKPOINT. THE TORNADO TOUCH DOWN IN OPEN RANGE LAND. THE THUNDERSTORM THAT PRODUCED THIS TORNADO IS DISSIPATING...HOWEVER ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL DEVELOPING NEAR A WEAK SEA BREEZE FRONT AND ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM EARLIER THUNDERSTORMS. MOTORIST ARE URGED TO USED EXTRA CAUTION ALONG HIGHWAY 77...THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IF YOU SPOT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE AT 1-800-303-3822. SPOTTER REPORTS CAN BE GIVEN TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OR TELL THE AGENTS AT THE BORDER PATROL CHECK POINT AND THEY WILL RELAY THE INFORMATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. VANSPEYBROECK
The office that day
Everything else NWS Brownsville, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 8:30 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | BRO | 3 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.