Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Binghamton, NY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
525 PM EST TUE MAR 26 2002

UPGRADED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO A WARNING FOR FREEZING RAIN
FOR PORTIONS OF THE SUSQ RGN AND WRN MOHAWK VLY. NUMEROUS RPTS OF
TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND
WORKSTATION ETA/RUC INDICATE SFC TEMPS WILL BE VERY SLOW TO RISE
OVER THESE AREAS AS MDT TO HEAVY PCPN CONTINUES INTO THE EVNG.

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RADARS CONTINUE TO SHOW PLENTY OF RAIN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
CONTINUING TO STREAM NORTHEAST AHEAD OF SFC LOW PRESSURE MOVING OUT
OF THE OHIO VALLEY. WESTERN AREAS CHANGED OVER TO RAIN LATE THIS
MORNING WHILE FAR NORTH AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS FROM BGM EAST CONTINUE
TO REMAIN AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING. TREES AND POWER LINES HERE ON
THE HILL HAVE ACCUMULATED QUITE A BIT OF ICE. EXPECT THAT THE TEMPS
WILL CONTINUE TO NUDGE UP SLOWLY REMAINDER OF THIS AFTN INTO EARLY
EVENING SO THAT JUST ABOUT ALL AREAS WILL BE SEEING JUST RAIN THIS
EVENING. AM LEANING TOWARD LETTING ADVISORIES GO THIS AFTN BUT
KEEPING FZRA ACROSS THE HILLTOPS IN EASTERN AREAS IN THE ZONES.

THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS NOW PROGGED TO CROSS THROUGH CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN PA TONIGHT. ETA JUST A TAD FURTHER SOUTHEAST THAN AVN BUT
BOTH SIMILAR. STRONG UPR LVL DIVERGENCE IN RR QUAD OF UPR LVL JET
TONIGHT. CONVECTION A SMALL POSSIBILITY THIS EVENING. LIGHTNING
STRIKES NOTED EARLIER ACROSS CENTRAL PA BUT THESE ARE GONE NOW. ABOUT
AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH OF QPF EXPECTED TONIGHT BRINGING THE TOTAL
TO 1.00-2.00 SOME ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. SOME OF THIS
QPF WILL BE LOCKED UP ACROSS THE HILLTOPS DUE TO THE PROLONGED
FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTN. ALSO, EVEN WITH THE RAIN, THE COOL TEMPS
ARE KEEPING THE SNOW FROM MELTING TOO MUCH. THUS, WE DO NOT
ANTICIPATE FLOODING PROBLEMS ATTM WITH RECENT DRY CONDITIONS.

WEDNESDAY...WESTERLY FLOW WILL FOLLOW IN WAKE OF LOW PRESSURE AS IT
MOVES ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. MODEL SOUNDINGS AND LOW LVL RH PROGS SHOW
LOW LVL MOISTURE REMAINING TRAPPED BENEATH SUB INVERSION. WILL
INDICATE SOME PARTIAL CLEARING DURING THE AFTERNOON.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MAINLY CLEAR OR PTCLDY IN ALL ZONES WITH SFC HIGH
OVR OHIO VLY.

THURSDAY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE BEFORE NEXT SYSTEM
THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL FORECAST MOSTLY SUNNY BUT INCREASE CLDS LATER
IN THE DAY FOR WESTERN AREAS.

.BGM...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR FREEZING RAIN FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SUSQ RGN AND WRN MOHAWK VLY.

BRADY