Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Topeka, KS

Issued

Apr 3, 2001, 4:51 AM CDT (09:51 UTC)

Expired

Apr 3, 2001, 5:30 AM CDT

In force

39 min

Issued by

NWS Topeka, KS

Area

Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Republic County, KS

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

404 
WUUS53 KTOP 030952
SVRTOP
KSC157-031030-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
451 AM CDT TUE APR 3 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  REPUBLIC COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS

* UNTIL 530 AM CDT

* AT 448 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES WEST OF BELLEVILLE...OR ABOUT 17 MILES
  NORTH OF CONCORDIA...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED...
  BELLEVILLE
  MUNDEN
  CUBA

LARGE HAIL IS LIKELY WITH THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE
PATH OF THE STORM...MOVE INDOORS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE
LATEST SEVERE WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3987 9771 3974 9780 3977 9739 3996 9741

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 3, 3:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
305 AM CDT TUE APR 3 2001

MAIN FORECAST QUESTION IS HOW FAST WILL THE WARM FRONT MOVE
NORTHWARD.

GENERALLY PREFER THE ETA FORECAST AS IT APPEARS TO BEST HANDLE THE
NORTHWARD MOVEMENT OF WARM FRONT.

WOULD EXPECT TODAY TO BE SIMILAR TO MONDAY WITH WARM FRONT LOCATED
ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS...AND MOIST FLOW OVERRUNNING THE BOUNDARY
INTO NORTHEAST KANSAS.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW LITTLE INSTABILITY
SO MAINLY EXPECT JUST SCATTERED SHOWERS TODAY.  CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
PRECIPITATION SHOULD HELP HOLD HIGHS IN THE 60S...PRETTY MUCH IN
LINE WITH GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES.

OVERRUNNING BECOMES STRONGER OVERNIGHT...AS 850 MB FLOW STRENGTHENS
AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE.  WILL MENTION THUNDER
OVERNIGHT AS LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO STEEPEN.

WARM FRONT SHOULD PUSH INTO EAST CENTRAL KANSAS WEDNESDAY...BUT WILL
NOT LIKELY MAKE IT THROUGH NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS UNTIL
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  THIS SHOULD LEAD TO A GOOD TEMPERATURE CONTRAST
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S ALONG THE NEBRASKA
BORDER TO AROUND 80 IN EMPORIA.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING CAPES OF
2000 TO 3000 J/KG DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM FRONT BY LATE
AFTERNOON.  GOOD DIRECTIONAL SHEAR ALONG THE WARM FRONT...BUT THE
WIND FIELDS ARE FAIRLY WEAK.  WILL CONTINUE CURRENT CHANCE POPS WITH
THE HIGHEST POPS NEAR THE WARM FRONT.

IN THE EXTENDED...MODELS ALL AGREE THURSDAY TO BE WINDY AND WARM AS
WARM FRONT PUSHES NORTH OF THE AREA.  A STRONG WAVE IS FORECAST TO
EJECT OUT ON FRIDAY...WITH QUIETER WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND.

.TOP...NONE.

58

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2001Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2001

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.