Flash Flood Warning 36, NWS Blacksburg, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG, VA
1012 AM EDT SUN JUL 8 2001

BUSY START THIS MORN WITH EMBEDDED BOW ECHOES ZIPPING THRU MCS
CLUSTER AND TRAINING ECHOES OVER SE WVA/WRN VA ATTM. SATELLITE
FINALLY SHOWING MCS STARTING TO SHIFT SOUTH WITH ONLY ISOLD
REDEVELOPMENT UPSTREAM OVER WVA. LATEST SHORT RANGE GUID INDICATES
THIS TREND TO CONT WITH BEST UVV SHIFTING OFF TO THE SW AS WELL AS
SOUTH INTO NC THIS AFTN. MAIN QUEST IS AMOUNT OF RESIDUAL COVERAGE
OVER THE AREA BY EARLY AFTN AND WHETHER OR NOT WE WILL SEE MUCH NEW
TSRA GIVEN LACK OF MUCH INSOLATION TIL MID/LATE AFTN OVER THE
REGION. THINK CLDNS TO HOLD FOR THE MOST PART EXCEPT PSBLY NE
SECTIONS WHERE MCS WILL EXIT EARLIER SO WILL CALL IT MSTLY CLDY.
BASED ON RAIN COVERAGE AT RELEASE PLAN TO INIT WITH CAT POPS WHERE
ONGOING AND THEN TAPER BACK TO CHCY ELSW AS MAY SEE ENOUGH HEATING
TO REFIRE THINGS A BIT LATE. TEMPS MOVING LITTLE UNDER SHRA SO WILL
NEED TO CUT A COUPLE CATS MOST SPOTS AND PSBLY EVEN MORE SW VA/SE
WVA.

.RNK...
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

JH

VAZ011-018>020-WVZ042>045-081100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
535 AM EDT SUN JUL 8 2001

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...

AT 535 AM...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING RAPIDLY INTO
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE STORMS WAS NEAR
WESTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY...AND WILL PASS THROUGH THE RUPERT...
CLINTONVILLE AND QUINWOOD AREAS BETWEEN 540 AM AND 600 AM. THE STORMS
SHOULD THEN PASS THROUGH THE HINTON AREA AFTER 600 AM...AND REACH
THE LEWISBURG AND UNION AREAS BETWEEN 600 AM AND 630 AM. THE
BLUEFIELD AREA WILL BE AFFECTED BY 700 AM. AS THE STORMS CONTINUE
MOVING SOUTHEAST...THEY WILL ALSO REACH VIRGINIA COUNTIES BORDERING
WEST VIRGINIA BY 700 AM.

THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES...
AND WILL HAVE HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF UP TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES IN
LESS THAN AN HOUR.  THIS WILL CAUSE SOME MINOR FLOOD PROBLEMS OF
WATER ON THE ROADS IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. IN ADDITION...BECAUSE OF
THEIR FAST MOVEMENT...THEY MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH.

IF YOU ARE OUTSIDE AND THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES...SEEK SAFE
INDOOR SHELTER. MOTORISTS SHOULD WATCH FOR FLOODED ROADWAYS AND
REDUCED VISIBILITIES DUE TO THE HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

JJ

NCZ001>006-019-VAZ009>018-022-032-033-043-044-058-059-WVZ042>044-
081600-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
955 AM EDT SUN JUL 8 2001

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES IN SOUTHEAST WEST
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...

THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...AND INTO SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL WILL FALL FROM HINTON...SOUTHEAST TO NEAR FLOYD...AND FROM
TAZEWELL TO NEAR GALAX. THESE AREAS CAN EXPECT RAINFALL RATES UP TO
TWO INCHES IN ONE HOUR. RAINFALL OF THIS INTENSITY CAN CAUSE PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND LOW SPOTS. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED IN
THE STRONGER STORMS.

RMG