Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2001

Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 8, 2001Coconino County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 8, 2001, 3:27 PM MST for Coconino County, Arizona. It was in force for 33 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Jul 8, 2001, 3:27 PM MST (22:27 UTC)
Expired
Jul 8, 2001, 4:00 PM MST
In force
33 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Coconino County, AZ

The radar

The Cedar City radar (KICX), 169 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 164 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2001-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 104 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2001-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -30 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
104 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-81 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1219 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-30 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
11 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS55 KFGZ 082228
FFWFGZ
AZC005-090000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
327 PM MST SUN JUL 8 2001

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTH CENTRAL COCONINO COUNTY IN ARIZONA

* UNTIL 500 PM MST

* AT 325 PM MST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY
  RAIN 25 MILE SOUTHEAST OF PAGE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 30 MPH.

* THE THUNDERSTORM WITH EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL PASS CLOSE TO...
  ANTELOPE CANYON BY 400 PM MST...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF CREEKS
AND CANYONS...ROADS AND ROADSIDE CULVERTS. THE HEAVY RAINS COULD
ALSO TRIGGER ROCK AND MUDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT. IT IS
IMPORTANT TO KNOW WHERE YOU ARE RELATIVE TO STREAMS...RIVERS...OR
CREEKS WHICH CAN BECOME KILLERS IN HEAVY RAINS. HIKERS SHOULD AVOID
AREAS IN CANYONS OR CREEKS DURING THREATENING RAINS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN
DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS, ABANDON IT
IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

LAT...LON 3650 11142 3657 11111 3694 11127 3678 11154

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 8, 2:20 PM MST, 1 hour 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 8, 2:20 PM MST, 1 hour 7 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
220 PM MST SUN JUL 08 2001

SYNOPSIS...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD MOISTURE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA. EXPECT THE PATTERN OF MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA INTO MIDWEEK.

DISCUSSION...DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTS TO SPREAD MOISTURE OVER THE
CWA THIS AFT. THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER NRN AZ HAS MAINLY BEEN
IN ASSOCIATION WITH WK EASTERLY WAVE EMBEDDED IN FLOW MVG ACROSS THE
EAST CENTRAL MTNS AT THIS TIME.  THIS FEATURE TO CONT TO PUSH ACROSS
THE CWA THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT IS NOW
OCCURRING OVER NE AZ AS THERE ARE SEVERAL CONVERGING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES THAT WERE NOTED ON VIS IMAGERY. WILL KEEP MENTION OF
FAIRLY WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY ACROSS THE RIM ZONES...AND AREAS TO THE
NORTH FOR TONIGHT. OTHERWISE DIURNAL CYCLE OF SHOWER DEVELOPMENT TO
BE EXPECTED AGAIN ON MONDAY...WITH POSSIBLE AN UPSWING IN ACTIVITY
ON TUESDAY AS ANOTHER FEATURE PROGGED TO MOVE ACROSS.

IN THE EXTENDED...AVN-MRF SOLUTION STARTS TO BREAK DOWN THE PATTERN
THAT WE HAVE BEEN IN BY DAY 5. FLOW TO BECOME A BIT MORE SWRLY DAY 5
THROUGH 7...WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME DRYING OF THE ATMOSPHERE.

MCGRATH
.FGZ...NONE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 8, 9:30 AM MST, 5 hours 57 minutes before
AZZ004>018-037>040-081930-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
930 AM MST SUN JUL 08 2001

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ACROSS
NORTHERN  ARIZONA TODAY...

A DEEP PLUME OF MONSOON MOISTURE WITH DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
REMAIN ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY. THE ATMOSPHERE OVER NORTHERN
ARIZONA HAS DESTABILIZED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. AS A
RESULT...MORE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY. THE
STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHERN ARIZONA WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
EASTERN AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS
THE AREA LATER TODAY. DUE TO THE ABUNDANT MOISTURE...SOME OF THESE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ALONG WITH
SMALL HAIL. EXPECT STREAMS AND WASHES IN THE VICINITY OF THESE
STORMS THAT ARE NORMALLY DRY TO FLOW WITH WATER.

SPOTTER REPORTS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND SEVERE WEATHER
SHOULD BE RELAYED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.   $$

MCGRATH
Local storm report, Jul 8, 2:02 PM MST, 1 hour 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF ARIZONA
0202 PM MST SUN JUL 8 2001

TIME (MST) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION...K.

1227 PM    METEOR CRATER             AZ   60 MPH TSTM GUST
07/08/01   COCONINO                       REPORTED BY NWS SPOTTER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 8, 12:11 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino34 min
Jul 8, 12:47 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino38 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2001Every flash flood warning in 2001

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.