Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2000

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Tucson, AZ

June 17, 2000Pima County, Pinal County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 17, 2000, 2:35 PM MST for Pima County, Pinal County, Arizona. It was in force for 40 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Jun 17, 2000, 2:35 PM MST (21:35 UTC)
Expired
Jun 17, 2000, 3:15 PM MST
In force
40 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

Counties Pima County, AZ, Pinal County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tuscon, AZ (KTUS), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2000-06-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1958 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tuscon, AZ at 12:00Z on 2000-06-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -4 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1958 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-127 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1650 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-6 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

798 
WUUS55 KTWC 172136
SVRTUS
AZC019-021-172215-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
235 PM MST SAT JUN 17 2000

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TUCSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EXTREME NORTHEASTERN PIMA COUNTY IN ARIZONA
  SOUTHEASTERN PINAL COUNTY IN ARIZONA

* UNTIL 315 PM MST

* AT 225 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES EAST OF SAN MANUEL MOVING NORTH AT   
  15 MPH.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN TUCSON.

LAT...LON 3255 11081 3235 11049 3298 11046 3294 11069

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 17, 2:25 PM MST, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 2:25 PM MST, 10 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
225 PM MST SAT JUN 17 2000

SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN ACROSS THE REGION
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS COMBINED WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY
LEVELS WILL LEAD TO SLIGHTLY LOWER AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES. THE
COMBINATION OF THESE TWO FACTORS WILL ALSO RESULT IN THE CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS FROM TUCSON EAST THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

DISCUSSION...AGAIN...WHAT A DIFFERENCE A DAY MAKES ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA ATTM...
FROM THE MOUNTAINS SURROUNDING TUCSON...EAST TO THE NEW MEXICO
BORDER. THESE ARE IN RESPONSE TO THE GULF SURGE WHICH TOOK PLACE
OVERNIGHT RESULTING IN SURFACE DEW POINTS INCREASING ALMOST 20
DEGREES FROM THIS TIME YESTERDAY. IN ADDITION...GOES PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES INDICATE BETWEEN 1.25 AND 1.5 INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA ATTM...WHICH MATCHES UP WELL WITH THE MORNING TUS SOUNDING
VALUE OF 1.25 INCHES. THE CURRENT ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS AND INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS
TONIGHT BEFORE DAYTIME HEATING ABATES.

MODELS IN AGREEMENT THROUGH 36 HOURS WITH KEEPING MOISTURE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST ARIZONA...AND THEN THE ETA/NGM BEGIN TO DRY US OUT FROM
WEST TO EAST WHILE AVN KEEPS MOISTURE IN PLACE THROUGH 72 HOURS.
GIVEN THE TIME OF YEAR...ONCE THE MOISTURE IS IN PLACE IT WILL BE
VERY DIFFICULT TO SCOUR OUT. WILL GO WITH A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE
TWO SOLUTIONS AND DRY OUT WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...WITH A
CONTINUED THREAT OF ISOLATED DAYTIME AND EVENING STORMS FROM TUCSON
EAST INTO TUESDAY. THE INCREASED MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS WILL ALSO
HOLD DOWN DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND KEEP NIGHTTIME TEMPERATURES UP A
FEW DEGREES OVER GUIDANCE VALUES.

ON THE EXTENDED...MODEL RH CROSS SECTIONS AND WIND GUIDANCE INDICATE
SOME DRIER SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BEGIN TO OVERTAKE THE AREA LATE
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUS WILL GO WITH PARTLY CLOUDY AFTERNOONS FOR
THE LATTER HALF OF THE EXTENDED. ZELL

.TWC...NONE.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 17, 12:57 PM MST, 1 hour 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON ARIZONA
1257 PM MST SAT JUN 17 2000

TIME (MST) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1215 PM    SUNSITES                  AZ   1.00 INCH HAIL
06/17/00   Cochise

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 17, 12:19 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCCochise26 min
Jun 17, 1:49 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima41 min
Jun 17, 2:32 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima58 min
Jun 17, 3:24 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCCochise36 min
Jun 17, 3:52 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima53 min
Jun 17, 4:54 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWCPima, Pinal36 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2000Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2000

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.