Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS Pueblo, CO

SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO
222 PM MDT THU AUG 31 2000

...MAIN WX FEATURE WILL BE WEAK PAC FRONT MOVING ACROSS AREA LATE
FRIDAY/EARLY SAT...

CURRENTLY...FRONT WENT THROUGH THE AREA LAST NIGHT AND IS FARTHEST
SOUTH EXTENT IS CURRENTLY THE RATON MESA. A FEW STORMS HAVE FIRED UP
ON THE PALMER DIVIDE AND WEST AND ARE MOVING NORTHEAST. WAT VAP SHOWS
DRY SLOT MOVING IN TOWARDS THE SW MTNS AND THIS EXPLAINS LACK OF
STORMS THIS REGION. SHORT WAVE WHICH IS FIRING STORMS ON PALMER
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE N AND EXPECT TSRA ACTIVITY TO GRADUALLY
DECREASE AS DRIER AIR MOVES ACROSS PUB CWFA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING.

DISCUSSION...IT APPEARS THAT A WEAK PAC FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS MOST
OF THE CWA THIS FCST PERIOD. THIS SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN
GYRE CURRENTLY LOCATED OFFSHORT C CALIF. THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE
ACROSS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY. AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE
MTNS...UPPER LVL SUPPORT WILL WEAKEN WITH TIME AND ANTICIPATE FRONT
WILL WASH OUT AS IT MOVES ACROSS PLAINS EARLY SATURDAY.

FRIDAY ITSELF SHOULD BE A NICE DAY ACROSS THE REGION. WILL KEEP A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF POPS GOING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND PALMER
DIVIDE REGIONS...WITH DRY WX ELSEWHERE. FRIDAY NIGHT...I KEPT A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR THE MTNS AS THE PAC FRONT MOVES
ACROSS. I DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY SIGNIF PRECIP WITH THIS SYSTEM. I
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A LITTLE BIT OF SNOW HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS IN SJUS AND COLLEGIATES EARLY SAT AM...AND MENTIONED THIS
IN THE ZFP. MIGHT ALSO GET A BIT BREEZY TOMORROW IN THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY AND PLAINS...AND THIS ALSO IN ZFP PACKAGE.

ON SAT...ANTICIPATE DRY WX ALL REGIONS. SHOULD BE A MOSTY SUNNY TO
SUNNY DAY. THIS PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIOD ALL LOCATIONS...EXCEPT ON TUESDAY WHERE A CHANCE OF
POPS WAS INTRODUCED IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN WITH NEXT SHORT WAVE
MOVING OVER THE STATE.

.PUB...NONE.

HODANISH

COZ058>081-312000-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1202 PM MDT THU AUG 31 2000

...THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
COLORADO...

...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED OVER THE REGION LATE THIS
MORNING...AND WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON.
RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER
THE MOUNTAINS AND PALMER DIVIDE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. BY
SUNSET...THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD COME TO AN END.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM STORMS TODAY WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.