Severe Thunderstorm Warning 75, NWS Milwaukee, WI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
300 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2000

FCST FOCUS ON SVR WX/FLOODING THREAT IN THE IMMEDIATE FUTURE.

IN THE SHORT TERM...SVR WX INDICIES CONT TO DESTABLIZE...REVEALING
VERY UNSTABLE AMS OVR CWA. PROGRESSIVE CD FNT TO SWEEP THRU AREA ERLY
TNGT. RUC/NGM PROGS HOLD BACK A BIT ON FNTL PASSAGE...BUT ESSENTIALLY
EVERYTHING WINDS DOWN AFT 06Z. WITH RIVERS THAT ARE STILL BLO FLOOD
STAGE BUT RISING...WILL CONTINUE FFA INTO EARLY TNGT AS EXPECT
TORRENTIAL RAIN TO ACCOMPANY STRONGEST STORMS.

IN THE FAR TERM...WX NIL AS COOL HIGH PRES BUILDS INTO RGN. GUID
TEMPS LOOK OK ATTM.

.UWNMS...SIMILAR TO TREND OF PROGS...BUT CONCENTRATES BEST UVV ACRS
NRN WI.

.MKX...FLOOD WATCH ENTIRE CWA EARLY TNGT...WI ZNS
       46..47..51..52..56>60..62>72.

ZAJDEL

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-012300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT/HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1150 AM CDT THU JUN 1 2000

...HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...
...FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN...

THREAT...
MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
TONIGHT FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND
TORRENTIAL RAIN.

DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH SOUTHERN WISCONSIN WILL
PROVIDE A VERY WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS. THE ATMOSPHERE IS
FORECAST TO BECOME MORE UNSTABLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WILL INTERACT
WITH THIS VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION...IT IS LIKELY THAT STORM SPOTTER GROUPS WILL BE
NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ZAJDEL

WIZ046-047-012130-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE-SULLIVAN WI
353 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2000

..SEVERE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX HEADING FOR MARQUETTE AND GREEN LAKE
COUNTIES...

AT 4 PM CDT WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ENTERING WESTERN JUNEAU COUNTY.  THE STORMS ARE MOVING
EAST AT 35 MPH.  AT THE CURRENT MOVEMENT...THE STORMS COULD BE
AFFECTING MARQUETTE COUNTY BETWEEN 445 PM AND 500 PM...AND GREEN
LAKE COUNTY BETWEEN 530 PM AND 545 PM.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS COMPLEX OF STORMS CONTAINING LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES.  PERSONS IN MARQUETTE
AND GREEN LAKE COUNTIES SHOULD BE ALERT FOR THESE APPROACHING STORMS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WISCONSIN.

ZAJDEL

WIZ056-012130-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE-SULLIVAN WI
404 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2000

...INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR SAUK COUNTY...

AT 405 PM CDT WEATHER RADAR INDICATED AN INTENSE THUNDERSTORM NEAR
THE BORDER OF SAUK AND JUNEAU COUNTIES. THE STORM IS MOVING TO THE
EAST AT 35 MPH.

OTHER STRONG STORMS ARE OVER RICHLAND COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH
AND WILL BE AFFECTING THE TOWNS OF VALTON...LA VALLE...IRONTON AND
LIME RIDGE BETWEEN 415 PM AND 430 PM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

ZAJDEL

WIZ046-047-056-012200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE-SULLIVAN WI
429 PM CDT THU JUN 1 2000

LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HEADING FOR SAUK...MARQUETTE AND
GREEN LAKE COUNTIES...

AT 430 PM CDT WEATHER DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING SAUK...MARQUETTE AND GREEN LAKE COUNTIES.
THE LINE IS MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THE LINE OF STORMS HAS HAD A
HISTORY OF PRODUCING 70 TO 100 MPH WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. THE STORMS
WILL BE AFFECTING LA VALLE...IRONTON...REEDSBURG...WISCONSIN DELLS...
LAWRENCE AND WESTFIELD AREAS BETWEEN 440 PM AND 500 PM.

ALL PERSONS IN SAUK...MARQUETTE AND GREEN LAKE COUNTIES SHOULD
MAINTAIN A CLOSE ALERT TO THIS APPROACHING WEATHER.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN WISCONSIN.

ZAJDEL