Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Albany, NY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
115 PM EDT THU MAY 18 2000

.DISC...INIT SFC LO PRES MOVG RAPIDLY ENE ACRS NRN NY/NRN NEW ENG
THIS AFT WITH CDFNT TRAILG SW TO LK ERI. WARM FNT ACRS SRN TIER OF
NY...THEN SE TO S NJ. TOUNGUE OF VRY MOIIST (TD MID-UPR 60S) PUSHG
NNE ALG MID ATLC CST.  LOW 60S TD/S POOLED BACK ALG CDFNT.  INIT N-S
BAND SHRA/TSRA MOVD ACR CWA AT MID MRNG. WHILE MOST OF THIS PCPN DID
NOT LAST LONG ACTVTY ACRS NRN PTNS OF FA HAS BEEN REGENERATING AND
BCMG ORIENTED MORE WSW-ENE ALG FNT.  WHILE PCPN HERE HAS NOT BEEN
EXCESSIVE...IT WL HAVE TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY. NEW ETA/NGM BOTH
HIGHLIGHT THIS AREA FOR HEAVIEST RA. FFA WL CONT.

SVR WX THREAT...STG  LOW LVL WIND FLOW WL KEEP US UNDER THE GUN FOR
SVR WX THIS AFTN AND ERLYTNGT WITH DEGREE OF INSTABILITY REMAINING
BIG QUESTION.  COOL STABLE LOW LYRS HAS SO FAR PROTECTED US FM
MIXING DOWN MUCH OF THE STG WINDS.  TO W A BAND OF CONVECTION DVLPD
NR LK MI AT 12Z AND THIS HAS RACED E AND BCM ORIENTED MORE ALG CDFNT
DROPPING S.  THIS ACTVTY WL CONT TO RACE E AND AT THE SAME TIME DVLP
E ALG CDFNT.  CLDS PCPN LKLY TO BE TOO WDSPRD FOR SIG
DESTABILIZATION ACRS N PTN OF FA. CLOUDS BRKG ACRS CNTRL PA NWD INTO
SRN TIER. IF THE BREAKS WORK EWD ENUF AND AT THE SAME TIME MID ATLC
MOISTR FLOW FEEDS NWD...SRN PTN OF FA WL HAVE TO BE MONITORED.

FNT SLIDES SLOWLY SWD NXT 30S HRS. AFT A PD OF DRYG MOISTR MAKES
EFFORT TO RETURN NWD FRI NGT AND ERLY SAT. MODELS HAV A LOT OF
VARIATION WITH RESPECT TO NWD EXTENT AND TIMING OF BEST PCPN THREAT.
AVN POPS LOWERED AND FCST WL TEND TO BE AN FWC/FAN COMPROMISE.

.ALY...FLOOD WATCH THRU TODAY NIGHT
       N2YZ032-033-038>043-048-050

NEW YORK STATEWIDE POLICE INFORMATION NETWORK
TROOP K
1108AM     THU MAY 18 2000
1 0000001 000
KPEE WLSR AP30
02841    FILE 28   SP CORTLANDT  NY1590200                   MAY 18-00
TO       APB

ROAD CLOSURE/ TACONIC STATE PARKWAY NORTHBOUND AT SR 132 WILL BE CLOSED
BEGINNING 1105AM FOR APPROXIMATELY 20-30 MINUTES.

AUTH Z/SGT MARK D ROBILLARD
OPER - MACKEY,WILLIAM E               1107

NEW YORK STATEWIDE POLICE INFORMATION NETWORK
TROOP K
1140AM     THU MAY 18 2000
1 0000001 000
KPEE WLSR AP30
02842    FILE 28   SP CORTLANDT  NY1590200                   MAY 18-00
TO       APB

REF TT 02841   05/18/00 AT 1105AM

TACONIC STATE PARKWAY NORTHBOUND AT SR 132 HAS REOPENED.  ALL LANES CLEAR.

AUTH Z/SGT MARK D ROBILLARD
OPER - MACKEY,WILLIAM E               1139

NEW YORK STATEWIDE POLICE INFORMATION NETWORK
TROOP E
0355PM     THU MAY 18 2000

EYSD WLSR QHQT QTRF WAPT APTS
00498    FILE 28   YATES CO SO NY0610001                     MAY 18-00
TO       NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
         ATTENTION SEMO DUTY OFFICER

                   THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN AND HIGH WINDS

DETAILS CONCERNING EVENT: POLES, TREES, AND WIRES DOWN IN 7 LOCATIONS

COUNTY(S) AFFECTED: YATES COUNTY

LOCATION (INCLUDING TOWN AND NEAREST ROAD): 5 LOCATIONS WERE STREETS IN THE
VILLAGE OF DUNDEE IN SE YATES COUNTY

DATE AND TIME CONDITION STARTED: 1440 HOURS
DATE AND TIME CONDITION ENDED: STILL RECEIVING REPORTS
EXTENT OF DAMAGE OR AREAS IN DANGER: TREES, WIRES, AND POLES DOWN ONE TREE ON
HOUSE AND ONE ON A CAR

NUMBER KILLED:          NUMBER INJURED:
REMARKS: STARTED PRIOR TO OUR RECEIVING THE STORM WARNING

AUTH PHONE #: 315 536-4438

AUTH SPIKE, RONALD G SHERIFF

OPER - TOBER,FAYE A                   1554

NEW YORK STATEWIDE POLICE INFORMATION NETWORK
TROOP E
0356PM     THU MAY 18 2000
1 0000001 000
EBAT WLSR QHQT QTRF APTS WAPT EHQT EPPT EWAY
01395    FILE 28   SP BATH NY1500100                         MAY 18-00
TO       NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
         COPY SEMO DUTY OFFICER
                   THUNDERSTORM/HIGH WIND REPORT

COUNTY(S) AFFECTED: STEUBEN

LOCATION (INCLUDING TOWN AND NEAREST ROAD): SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY

DATE AND TIME CONDITION STARTED: 05/18/00 2:30PM
EXTENT OF DAMAGE OR AREAS IN DANGER: FALLEN TREES AND HIGH POWER WIRES DOWN

CHECK ONE:
HAIL SIZE REPORTED
(X) - NO HAIL REPORTED    ( ) - LESS THAN 1/2 (PEA)
( ) - 1/2 (MARBLE)       ( ) - 1/2 TO 3/4 (PENNY)
( ) - 3/4 TO 1 (DIME)   ( ) - 1.25 (HALF DOLLAR)
( ) - 1.50 (WALNUT)      ( ) - 1.75 (GOLFBALL)
( ) - 2.00 (HENS EGG)    ( ) - 2.50 (TENNISBALL)
( ) - 2.75 (BASEBALL)    ( ) - 3.00 (TEA CUP)
( ) - 4.00 (GRAPEFRUIT)  ( ) - 4.50 (SOFTBALL)
NUMBER KILLED: 0        NUMBER INJURED: UNK

CHECK ONE OR MORE AS APPLICABLE:
LIGHTNING REPORTED AS ( ) - CLOUD TO CLOUD  ( ) - CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING DAMAGE TO:            ( ) - TREES
( ) - POWER/TELCO POLES   ( ) - POWER/TELCO LINES
( ) - COMM. BUILDINGS     ( ) - PRIVATE HOMES
( ) - OUT/FARM BUILDINGS  ( ) - CROPS
NUMBER KILLED:          NUMBER INJURED:

CHECK ONE OR MORE AS APPLICABLE:
HIGH WIND/TSTORM WIND DAMAGE   ( ) - CROPS
( ) - SMALL TREES/SHRUBS  (X) - LARGE TREES
( ) - COMM. BUILDINGS     ( ) - PRIVATE HOMES
(X) - OUT/FARM BUILDINGS  (X) - POWER/TELCO POLES
(X) - POWER/TELCO LINES

RELIABLE WIND SPEED REPORTS:     MPH OR    KNOTS
NUMBER KILLED: 0        NUMBER INJURED: UNK

FLOODING (IF EXTENSIVE, SEND SEPARATE FLOOD MESSAGE FROM MENU)
( ) - STORM SEWER OVERFLOWS, UNDERPASSES, STREET FLOODING
( ) - LOCAL SMALL CREEKS OVERFLOWING
( ) - STREAMS AND LARGE CREEKS FLOODING (COMPLETE REMARKS W/DAMAGE

REMARKS: HIGH WINDS CAUSED POWER OUTAGES AND TRAFFIC PROBLEMS THROUGHOUT THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF STEUBEN COUNTY AND AN UNKNOWN AMOUNT OF TREES ARE DOWN AND
BLOCKING ROADWAYS STATE, COUNTY AND TOWN HIGHWAY DEPTS HAVE BEEN NOTIFIED
AUTH PHONE : 607 776-3768

AUTH & SENT TROOPER THOMAS DORAN                    3-55PM

OPER - SAHRLE,JANICE S                1556

NEW YORK STATEWIDE POLICE INFORMATION NETWORK
TROOP A
0402PM     THU MAY 18 2000
AWLS WLSR QHQT QTRF APTS WAPT
00222    FILE 28   WELLSVILLE PD NY0022800                   MAY 18-00
TO       NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
         COPY SEMO DUTY OFFICER
                   THUNDERSTORM/HIGH WIND REPORT

COUNTY(S) AFFECTED: ALLEGANY

LOCATION (INCLUDING TOWN AND NEAREST ROAD): VILLAGE OF WELLSVILLE

DATE AND TIME CONDITION STARTED: 051800   1420 HRS
EXTENT OF DAMAGE OR AREAS IN DANGER: 24 TREES DOWN IN VILLAGE OF WELSVILLE
MULTIPLE STREETS BLOCKED UTILITIES AFFECTED  TREES ON HOUSES AND VEHICLES
STREET FLOODING

CHECK ONE:
HAIL SIZE REPORTED
(X) - NO HAIL REPORTED    ( ) - LESS THAN 1/2 (PEA)
( ) - 1/2 (MARBLE)       ( ) - 1/2 TO 3/4 (PENNY)
( ) - 3/4 TO 1 (DIME)   ( ) - 1.25 (HALF DOLLAR)
( ) - 1.50 (WALNUT)      ( ) - 1.75 (GOLFBALL)
( ) - 2.00 (HENS EGG)    ( ) - 2.50 (TENNISBALL)
( ) - 2.75 (BASEBALL)    ( ) - 3.00 (TEA CUP)
( ) - 4.00 (GRAPEFRUIT)  ( ) - 4.50 (SOFTBALL)
NUMBER KILLED:   0      NUMBER INJURED:   O

CHECK ONE OR MORE AS APPLICABLE:
LIGHTNING REPORTED AS ( ) - CLOUD TO CLOUD  (X) - CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING DAMAGE TO:            ( ) - TREES
( ) - POWER/TELCO POLES   ( ) - POWER/TELCO LINES
( ) - COMM. BUILDINGS     ( ) - PRIVATE HOMES
( ) - OUT/FARM BUILDINGS  ( ) - CROPS
NUMBER KILLED:   0      NUMBER INJURED:   0

CHECK ONE OR MORE AS APPLICABLE:
HIGH WIND/TSTORM WIND DAMAGE   ( ) - CROPS
(X) - SMALL TREES/SHRUBS  (X) - LARGE TREES
( ) - COMM. BUILDINGS     (X) - PRIVATE HOMES
( ) - OUT/FARM BUILDINGS  ( ) - POWER/TELCO POLES
(X) - POWER/TELCO LINES

RELIABLE WIND SPEED REPORTS: 60  MPH OR    KNOTS
NUMBER KILLED:   0      NUMBER INJURED:   0

FLOODING (IF EXTENSIVE, SEND SEPARATE FLOOD MESSAGE FROM MENU)
(X) - STORM SEWER OVERFLOWS, UNDERPASSES, STREET FLOODING
( ) - LOCAL SMALL CREEKS OVERFLOWING
( ) - STREAMS AND LARGE CREEKS FLOODING (COMPLETE REMARKS W/DAMAGE

REMARKS: ELECTRIC, FIRE, PUBLIC WORKS CREWS CLEARING ROADWAYS
POLICE HANDLING TRAFFIC

AUTH PHONE : 716 593-5600

AUTH LT NASH                         ELDRIDGE

OPER - ELDRIDGE,CHRISTOPHER D         1602