Flash Flood Warning 65, NWS Springfield, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
220 AM CST FRI MAR 20 1998

07Z SFC LOW ANALYZED OVER CNTRL KY WITH CDFNT STRETCHING S THROUGH
AL.  TIGHT GRADIENT ACROSS THE OZARKS CAUSING BLOWING SNOW AND
REDUCING VISIBILITIES UNDER A MILE AT TIMES.  CURRENTLY SNOW ADVISORY
FOR PORTION OF SW MO WITH GENERAL 1-3 INCH AMOUNTS THERE SO FAR.
REGIONAL RADAR LOOP SHOWS SNOW HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS EXTREME W MO AND
WAS BEGINNING TO DIMINISH TOWARDS SGF.  IR SATELLITE SHOWS EXTENSIVE
CLOUD SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH LOW INTO CNTRL KS.

WV IMAGERY SHOWS UPR LVL LOW SPINNING ACROSS NE AR/W TN WHICH IS IN
LINE WITH MODEL PROJECTIONS BY 06Z.  MAIN MODEL DIFFERENCES ARE WITH
THE TEMPERATURES BY 48 HRS AS ETA KEEPS COLDER AIR IN LONGER THAN
NGM.  AGREE WITH THIS SINCE WIND PROFILE THROUGH 48 HRS KEEPS N TO NW
FLOW THROUGH ALL LEVELS.

MAIN FOCUS WILL BE ON WHEN TO CLEAR CLOUDS AND RESULTANT TEMPS.
BELIEVE SN WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AND SNOW ADVISORY WILL
NOT NEED TO BE EXTENDED WITH THE 4 AM PACKAGE.  LOW WILL CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY LIFT OUT OF THE AREA HOWEVER CLOUDS WILL LIKELY LINGER
UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS ABUNDANT UNTIL
THEN.  DRIER AIR LOOKS TO MOVE INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND SHOULD SEE
A CLEARING.  WOULD BE WORRIED ABOUT FOG DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAIN AND
ABUNDANT BOUNDARY LEVEL MOISTURE...HOWEVER N WIND LOOKS TO STAY
STRONG ENOUGH OVERNIGHT TO KEEP THINGS STIRRED UP ENOUGH TO PREVENT
DENSE FOG.

WITH CLOUDS TDA...WOULD NOT EXPECT A LARGE DIURNAL RANGE.  FAN MAY BE
A BIT TOO LOW AND HAVE GONE CLOSER TO FWC NUMBERS.  M0S LOWS LOOK
GOOD TONIGHT...(ETA 2M OF 30 LOOKS A BIT WARM IF WE CLEAR OUT) AND
HAVE TRIMMED LOWS ON SATURDAY SOMEWHAT.

RECOMMENDATIONS FOR TDA...PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE FOR COORDINATION
SGF...CLOUDY AND COLD WITH A FEW SNOW SHOWERS.  HIGH 35 TO 40.
NORTHWEST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTY.  CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30
PERCENT.
JLN...CLOUDY AND COLD WITH A FEW FLURRIES.  HIGH 35 TO 40.  NORTHWEST
WIND 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTY.
UNO...CLOUDY AND COLD WITH SEVERAL PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS.  HIGH 35
TO 40.  NORTHWEST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTY.  CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
AIZ/VIH...CLOUDY AND COLD WITH SEVERAL PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS.  HIGH
IN THE MID 30S.  NORTHWEST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTY.  CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.

CCF
SGF JB 038/024 046/028 050 053--
JLN MB 039/025 048/030 052 052--

LINDENBERG

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-201330-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
235 AM CST FRI MAR 20 1998

...FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSOURI...
...SNOW ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND PART OF
SOUTHEAST KANSAS...

A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WHICH HAS BEEN RESPONSIBLE FOR A
VARIETY OF WEATHER ACROSS THE OZARKS IS NOW CENTERED OVER KENTUCKY.
MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE OZARKS HAS NOW CHANGED OVER TO
SNOW.  DUE TO THE HEAVY RAIN EARLIER...MOST OF THE ROADS ARE SLUSHY
WHERE IT HAS BEEN SNOWING AND MANY OF THE SECONDARY ROADS ARE SLICK
AND CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WHEN TRAVELLING OVERNIGHT.  A STRONG
NORTHWEST WIND AT 15 TO 30 MPH WAS CREATING BLOWING SNOW AND HELPING
TO REDUCE FORWARD VISIBILITIES TO UNDER A MILE IN MANY INSTANCES.

SNOW HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND EXTREME WESTERN
MISSOURI WHERE TWO TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW HAD OCCURRED EARLIER.
OTHER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST...CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI CAN
EXPECT A DUSTING UP TO AROUND TWO INCHES BEFORE THE SNOW DIMINISHES
IN THE MORNING.

YESTERDAYS HEAVY RAIN HAS CAUSED MANY LOW LYING AREAS TO FLOOD ONCE
AGAIN AND PORTIONS OF SOME ROADS HAVE BEEN CLOSED UNTIL THE WATER
SUBSIDES.  FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE THROUGH 715 AM FOR AREAS SOUTH AND
EAST OF A JOPLIN TO SPRINGFIELD AND WARSAW LINE DUE TO THE PERSISTENT
FLOODING.

RIVERS ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI HAVE DEVELOPED
STRONG RISES IN RESPONSE TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL. RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS
CONTINUED IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG PINEY...LITTLE
OSAGE...OSAGE...MARMATON ...SPRING AND SAC RIVERS. OTHER RIVERS SUCH
AS THE JAMES...JACKS FORK... CURRENT AND ELEVEN POINT ARE EXPECTED TO
RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE.

IF YOU ARE TRAVELLING OVERNIGHT...USE CAUTION. THE DANGERS OF
FLOODING ARE HARDER TO RECOGNIZE AT NIGHT. SLOW DOWN AND LEAVE EXTRA
DISTANCE BETWEEN YOUR CAR AND THE ONE IN FRONT OF YOU.

STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS.

LINDENBERG/SUTTON

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-201330-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
235 AM CST FRI MAR 20 1998

...FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSOURI...
...SNOW ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND PART OF
SOUTHEAST KANSAS...

A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WHICH HAS BEEN RESPONSIBLE FOR A
VARIETY OF WEATHER ACROSS THE OZARKS IS NOW CENTERED OVER KENTUCKY.
MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE OZARKS HAS NOW CHANGED OVER TO
SNOW.  DUE TO THE HEAVY RAIN EARLIER...MOST OF THE ROADS ARE SLUSHY
WHERE IT HAS BEEN SNOWING AND MANY OF THE SECONDARY ROADS ARE SLICK
AND CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WHEN TRAVELLING OVERNIGHT.  A STRONG
NORTHWEST WIND AT 15 TO 30 MPH WAS CREATING BLOWING SNOW AND HELPING
TO REDUCE FORWARD VISIBILITIES TO UNDER A MILE IN MANY INSTANCES.

SNOW HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND EXTREME WESTERN
MISSOURI WHERE TWO TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW HAD OCCURRED EARLIER.
OTHER PARTS OF SOUTHWEST...CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI CAN
EXPECT A DUSTING UP TO AROUND TWO INCHES BEFORE THE SNOW DIMINISHES
IN THE MORNING.

YESTERDAYS HEAVY RAIN HAS CAUSED MANY LOW LYING AREAS TO FLOOD ONCE
AGAIN AND PORTIONS OF SOME ROADS HAVE BEEN CLOSED UNTIL THE WATER
SUBSIDES.  FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE THROUGH 715 AM FOR AREAS SOUTH AND
EAST OF A JOPLIN TO SPRINGFIELD AND WARSAW LINE DUE TO THE PERSISTENT
FLOODING.

RIVERS ACROSS SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI HAVE DEVELOPED
STRONG RISES IN RESPONSE TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL. RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS
CONTINUED IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG PINEY...LITTLE
OSAGE...OSAGE...MARMATON ...SPRING AND SAC RIVERS. OTHER RIVERS SUCH
AS THE JAMES...JACKS FORK... CURRENT AND ELEVEN POINT ARE EXPECTED TO
RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE.

IF YOU ARE TRAVELLING OVERNIGHT...USE CAUTION. THE DANGERS OF
FLOODING ARE HARDER TO RECOGNIZE AT NIGHT. SLOW DOWN AND LEAVE EXTRA
DISTANCE BETWEEN YOUR CAR AND THE ONE IN FRONT OF YOU.

STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS.

LINDENBERG/SUTTON

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-201630-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
430 AM CST FRI MAR 20 1998

...THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT...
...FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE UNTIL 715 AM...

THE SNOW ADVISORY WHICH HAD BEEN IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

THE STORM SYSTEM WHICH BROUGHT RECORD RAINFALL TO THE OZARKS
YESTERDAY AND THEN SNOW OVERNIGHT WAS LOCATED ACROSS KENTUCKY THIS
MORNING.  LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW CONTINUES ACROSS A PORTION OF THE
OZARKS WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING.
THIS MAY MAKE MORNING RUSH HOUR TRAVEL SLOW GOING AS ROADS MAY HAVE
SOME SLICK AREAS. SNOW WILL DIMINISH TO FLURRIES BY MID TO LATE
MORNING.

FLOOD WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 715 THIS MORNING FOR AREAS SOUTH
AND EAST OF A JOPLIN TO SPRINGFIELD AND WARSAW LINE AS FLOODING
CONTINUES IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS FROM
YESTERDAYS HEAVY RAINFALL.

ALLOW YOURSELF SOME EXTRA TRAVEL TIME THIS MORNING IN ORDER TO GET TO
WORK OR SCHOOL SAFELY AND ON TIME.

LINDENBERG

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-201630-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
430 AM CST FRI MAR 20 1998

...THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT...
...FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE UNTIL 715 AM...

THE SNOW ADVISORY WHICH HAD BEEN IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

THE STORM SYSTEM WHICH BROUGHT RECORD RAINFALL TO THE OZARKS
YESTERDAY AND THEN SNOW OVERNIGHT WAS LOCATED ACROSS KENTUCKY THIS
MORNING.  LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW CONTINUES ACROSS A PORTION OF THE
OZARKS WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING.
THIS MAY MAKE MORNING RUSH HOUR TRAVEL SLOW GOING AS ROADS MAY HAVE
SOME SLICK AREAS. SNOW WILL DIMINISH TO FLURRIES BY MID TO LATE
MORNING.

FLOOD WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 715 THIS MORNING FOR AREAS SOUTH
AND EAST OF A JOPLIN TO SPRINGFIELD AND WARSAW LINE AS FLOODING
CONTINUES IN LOW LYING AREAS AND ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS FROM
YESTERDAYS HEAVY RAINFALL.

ALLOW YOURSELF SOME EXTRA TRAVEL TIME THIS MORNING IN ORDER TO GET TO
WORK OR SCHOOL SAFELY AND ON TIME.

LINDENBERG