Alert archive / New Jersey / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1998

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 119, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

July 17, 1998Hunterdon County, Warren County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 17, 1998, 7:25 PM EDT for Hunterdon County, Warren County, New Jersey. It was in force for 60 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 17, 1998, 7:25 PM EDT (23:25 UTC)
Expired
Jul 17, 1998, 8:25 PM EDT
In force
60 min
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Whole counties

Counties Hunterdon County, NJ, Warren County, NJ

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 1998-07-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 256 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 1998-07-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
256 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-59 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
942 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

845 
WUUS1 KPHL 172326 RRA
SVRPHL
NJC019-041-180025-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
725 PM EDT FRI JUL 17 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN WARREN COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY
  WESTERN HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY

* UNTIL 825 PM EDT

* AT 721 PM EDT... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS INDICATED 5 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF EASTON PENNSYLVANIA...BY NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR... MOVING EAST NORTHEAST 15 MPH.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. MOVE INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND DO
NOT STAND NEAR WINDOWS. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR CAR WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER
MAY BE DEEPER THAN YOU THINK. IF CAUGHT IN RISING FLOOD WATERS...
ABANDON YOUR CAR QUICKLY AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

FOR THE LATEST STORM INFORMATION...PLEASE TUNE TO NOAA WEATHER
RADIO...YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION OUTLET.

MR/NPC

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 17, 2:07 PM EDT, 5 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 17, 2:07 PM EDT, 5 hours 18 minutes before
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
207 PM EDT FRI JUL 17 1998

...ZONES TO BE SENT TO PIT/PHL VIA ADMCTP BY 230 PM...

...DISCUSSION...

MAIN FCST PROBLM...HOW TO DEAL W/PCPN TONIGHT.

SCT TSRA POPPING ATTM ACRS CENT MTNS. STRMS FEEDING ON UPR 60S AND
LWR 70S DWPTS...AND GOOD DRY AIR INTRUSION AT MID LVLS. SPEED
MAX/JET STREAK EVIDENT ON WV LOOP FM SW TO NE DIRECTLY OVR CENT PA
ATTM...AS FNT ANALYZED EARLIER ON SFC ANALYSIS IN OH/WRN PA HAS
MOVD E. FNT SHWS UP BEST IN SFC WND FIELD.

SFC DRY AIR OVR CENT OH EARLIER HAS NOT YET MADE IT INTO WRN PA. WV
ALSO DEPICTS STRONG VORT MAX OVR GRT LKS MOVG ESE INTO SRN ONT.
ALL PROGGED TO PUSH ACRS PA THIS AFT/EVE. GETTING PETTY ON THE
TIMING MAY NOT BE EASY...SO WL PROB LEAVE TIMING OUT IN NRN ZNS.
SRN ZNS WL LIKELY HAVE DISTINCT END...AS GRT LKS S/W ENERGY STAYS TO
N OF THOSE CTYS.

LIKED ETA SOLN BETTER TDY...AS BIG THREE MODELS INITIALIZED
SIMILARLY. BUT...NGM PUMPS OUT PCPN DURING THE DAY SAT OVR WRN PA.
ETA POOLS THTE ARND BWI/LWR SUSQ IN ERLY PDS. THIS SEEMS VERY LIKELY
AS FNT DRAGS E/W LATER TNGHT S OF MASON/DIXON LN.

COOLER...BUT NOT MUCH...ON SAT AND HUMIDITIES MUCH LWR. TRAJECTORIES
FOR SAT COMING DOWN FM LK SUP/E WISCONSIN!  LCL CU RULE INDICATES
VERY STABLE LWR LYRS ON SAT OVER FA W/SCT CU AT BEST. MO SUNNY WRDNG
BEST. TEMPS W/SS WILL RISE WELL. MDL SNDG FOR UNV GIVES MAX IN LWR
80S (HIER THAN FWC). SAME DEAL FOR IPT GIVES BARELY COOLER VALUES
THAN DO FWC/FAN THO. WL LIKELY GO W/FAN AS STRONG JULY SS FACTORS
BIG. POPS UNLIKELY IN LAST THREE PDS...BUT LIKELY TO NEARLY CAT IN
FIRST PD.

AGREE W/PITS SFD COMMENT ON LEAVING OUT POPS FOR SUNDAY ATTM...BUT
MOIST RETURN FLOW IS RAPID. THIS DRY SHOT WILL BE SHORT-LIVED.

.CTP...NONE

DANGELO

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 17, 2:15 PM EDT, 5 hours 10 minutes before
NJZ020-021-172200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - HEAVY RAINFALL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
215 PM EDT FRI JUL 17 1998

AT 200 PM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND SATELLITE DATA INDICATE
HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC AND OCEAN COUNTIES.
THESE STORMS ARE VERY SLOW MOVING AND LIKELY HAVE PRODUCED RAINFALL IN
EXCESS OF THREE INCHES.  ONE AFFECTED LOCATION IS OVER SOUTHERN
ATLANTIC COUNTY IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY MAYS LANDING...ESTELL
MANOR...AND OCEAN CITY.  HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO OCCURRING OVER SOUTHERN
OCEAN COUNTY IN AN AREA ALONG THE GARDEN STATE PARKWAY BETWEEN EXITS
58 AND 63...OR BETWEEN TUCKERTON...WARREN GROVE AND WARETOWN.

IF THIS HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES SOME FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND
ROADWAYS IS POSSIBLE. AT THE LEAST...MOTORIST SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
SUDDEN REDUCED VISIBILITY AND PONDING OF WATER ON STREETS.

FOR THE LATEST WEATHER CONDITIONS...FORECASTS...AND ANY WARNINGS
WHICH MAY BE ISSUED...STAY TUN:ED TO YOUR LOCAL NOAA WEATHER RADIO
STATION. WEATHER INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR INTERNET HOME
PAGE AT www.nws.noaa.gov/er/phi

AMC/MR
Special weather statement, Jul 17, 2:15 PM EDT, 5 hours 10 minutes before
NJZ020-021-172200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT - HEAVY RAINFALL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
215 PM EDT FRI JUL 17 1998

AT 200 PM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR AND SATELLITE DATA INDICATE
HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC AND OCEAN COUNTIES.
THESE STORMS ARE VERY SLOW MOVING AND LIKELY HAVE PRODUCED RAINFALL IN
EXCESS OF THREE INCHES.  ONE AFFECTED LOCATION IS OVER SOUTHERN
ATLANTIC COUNTY IN AN AREA BOUNDED BY MAYS LANDING...ESTELL
MANOR...AND OCEAN CITY.  HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO OCCURRING OVER SOUTHERN
OCEAN COUNTY IN AN AREA ALONG THE GARDEN STATE PARKWAY BETWEEN EXITS
58 AND 63...OR BETWEEN TUCKERTON...WARREN GROVE AND WARETOWN.

IF THIS HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES SOME FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND
ROADWAYS IS POSSIBLE. AT THE LEAST...MOTORIST SHOULD BE ALERT FOR
SUDDEN REDUCED VISIBILITY AND PONDING OF WATER ON STREETS.

FOR THE LATEST WEATHER CONDITIONS...FORECASTS...AND ANY WARNINGS
WHICH MAY BE ISSUED...STAY TUN:ED TO YOUR LOCAL NOAA WEATHER RADIO
STATION. WEATHER INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR INTERNET HOME
PAGE AT www.nws.noaa.gov/er/phi

AMC/MR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 17, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington34 min
Jul 17, 5:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICamden31 min
Jul 17, 5:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Jersey, 1998Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.