Tornado Warning 65, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KNOXVILLE/TRI-CITIES TN
213 PM EDT WED JUN 10 1998

...MAIN CONCERNS FFW POTENTIAL..SVR POTENTIAL..PRECIP IN LATER
PERIODS..RECOMMEND FFW FOR ALL AREAS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...

...CORRECTED FFW PERIOD AS TSRA ALREADY FIRING IN KY...
..THANKS MEM FOR COORD. CALL...

HAVE GONE W/ THE ETA SOLUTION AS IT HAD THE BEST HANDLE ON THIS AFTNS
MCS OVER SW KY..N AND SE TN.  PRECIP AMNTS ARND 3 IN. IN AN HOUR
PRODUCING NUMEROUS REPORTS OF FLOODING ACROSS THE CWA.  CAPES ARND
4000 AND LIS ARND -10...K INDICES 45-50..AND PWS 1.5-2.0 INCHES.
HEAVY RAIN A DEFINITE POTENTIAL THIS EVENING.

RIDGE SFC AND ALOFT IS WEAK AND ALLOWING PRECIP TO MOVE SE ACRS CWA.
THICKNESS PATTERNS STAY NW THROUGH F36 HOURS SO ANYTHING THAT DEVELOPS
IN OK..KS..MO..IA..KY WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AND SOME COULD PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER.  UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE ONCE AGAIN
NOTICED ACROSS W TN AND MOST OF MO..TOWARDS 12Z THU MORNING.
ATMOSPHERE REMAINS UNSTABLE THROUGH F48...SURFACE WARM FRONT REMAINS
IN THE AREA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH LINGERING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES...POPS WARRENTED THROUGH FORECAST PERIOD.  WITH HIGH PWS
STAYING IN THE AREA...HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE MOST AREAS THROUGH THE
EVENING UPDATE..WOULD LIKE TO GO WITH A FFW FOR THIS EVENING ALL
AREAS..AS THE PRECIP WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA WITH AN AREA OF
SUBSIDENCE BEHIND IT...THEN FIRE UP AGAIN AROUND 3 AM.

AFTER THESE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA...SHOULD SEE A
BREAK AND HAVE REDEVELOPMENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.

RECOMMEND...
FOR CRW...MEM...RDU (ALL AREAS)...GO A CAT COOLER ON TEMPS IN MTNS.
..FLASH FLOOD WATCH THIS EVENING..

THIS EVENING...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE. SOME
MAY BE SEVERE.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WIND.
.THURSDAY...CONTINUED CLOUDY AND MUGGY WITH A GOOD
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSOTRMS. HIGH AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE FOR RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE
MID 60S. CHANCE FOR RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH
IN THE LOWER 80S. CHANCE FOR RAIN 30 PERCENT.

THANKS...PDK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KNOXVILLE/TRI-CITIES TN
840 AM EDT WED JUN 10 1998

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

250 AM     LEBANON                   VA   WIND DAMAGE
06/10/98   RUSSELL                        TREES REPORTED DOWN IN THE
                                          LEBANON AREA BY EMA

320 AM     IN GLADE SPRINGS          VA   0.75 INCH HAIL
06/10/98   WASHINGTON                     DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN
                                          THE TOWN OF GLADE SPRINGS.
                                          REPORTED BY GLADE SPRINGS
                                          POLICE DEPARTMENT AND
                                          RECEIVED FROM THE SHERIFFS
                                          DISPATCH.

545 AM     LEBANON                   VA   WIND DAMAGE
06/10/98   RUSSELL                        NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN
                                          LEBANON