Tornado Warning 3, NWS Lubbock, TX

TXZ021>044-262000-

AREA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1138 AM CDT SUN APR 26 1998

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH
PLAINS AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE FAVORED AREA FOR THESE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SOUTH OF A CROSBYTON-GUTHRIE LINE AND EAST
OF THE CAPROCK. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP WITH A FEW STORMS APPROACHING SEVERE LEVELS.

A STRONG DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO WILL
MOVE INTO THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT WILL VERY SLOWLY SINK
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS AND LOW ROLLING
PLAINS.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH
PLAINS AND SOUTHERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

TECHNICAL DISCUSSION

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN AND MOVE EASTWARD ALONG A
COLD FRONT THAT WAS DRAPED ACROSS THE CENTRAL SOUTH PLAINS.  THIS
LOW WILL DRAG A DRYLINE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SOUTH PLAINS WITH THE
TRIPLE POINT EXPECTED IN THE ABOVE FAVORED AREA BY 21Z. LI'S AS LOW
AS -8 AND CAPES UP TO 1500 JOULES ARE EXPECTED WHERE MAXIMUM HEATING
CAN BE REALIZED.