Alert archive / Michigan / Tornado Warnings in 1998

Tornado Warning 61, NWS Northern Indiana

July 3, 1998Berrien County, Michigan

NWS Northern Indiana issued this tornado warning at Jul 3, 1998, 9:49 PM EDT for Berrien County, Michigan. It was in force for 46 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 1998, 9:49 PM EDT (01:49 UTC)
Expired
Jul 3, 1998, 10:35 PM EDT
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Northern Indiana
Area
Whole counties

County Berrien County, MI

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 3, 10:25 PM EDTThunderstorm Wind 50Sawyer, MIPOWERS LINE DOWN IN SAWYER AND ACROSS COUNTY.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 262 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 1998-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 1998-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 69 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-51 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1779 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
69 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KFWA 040149 RRA
TORFWA
MIC021-040235-

BULLETIN- EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
849 PM EST (849 PM CDT) FRI JUL 3 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  BERRIEN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN

* UNTIL 1035 PM EDT (935 PM EST)

* AT 946 PM EDT... DOPPLER RADAR AT NORTH WEBSTER INDICATED A
  DEVELOPING TORNADO 18 MILES WEST OF BENTON HARBOR OR 13 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF BRIDGMAN MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO ARE...
  SHOREHAM
  HARBERT
  BRIDGMAN
  ST JOSEPH
  SAWYER

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF A TORNADO... THE SAFEST PLACE IS A
BASEMENT. IF NO BASEMENXT IS AVAILABLE... SEEK SAFETY IN AN
INTERIOR ROOM AND AVOID WINDOWS.

TEH/JLA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jul 3, 8:57 PM EDT, 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 8:57 PM EDT, 52 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
757 PM EST FRI JUL 3 1998

00Z MESO ANALYSIS SHOWING CURRENT CONVECTION ACRS N IL AND S LM IN
RESPONSE TO SW ENERGY INVOF NE IA SW WI AND SFC COLD FRONT.  LOOKS
LIKE FAIR PUSH WITH FRONT GIVEN LARGE 3HR PRESSURE FALLS.  BEST
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND HIGHER THETA-E NOW WORKING INTO NW IN.
ADAS PUTS FRONT FROM NORTH OF ORD TO OMA WITH BEST INSTABILITY
SPREADING EASTWARD.

00Z RAOBS FROM ILX AND DVN INDICATE CAPES 2-3K J/KG.  HEAVY RAIN A
GOOD BET BASED ON DVN DEEP LYR MOISTURE WITH PW OVER 2 INCHES. SVR
WX THREAT WOULD SEEM SLIGHT GIVEN UNIMPRESSIVE SHEAR VALUES BUT
MODIFIED NSHARP DOES SHOW MUCH HIGHER SREH VALUES WITH
SOUTHEASTWARD MOVING STORMS.  THIS INDEED THE CASE WITH CURRENT
SEVERE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER NEAR ORD.

EXTRAPOLATION OF CURRENT LEADING PRECIP EDGE WOULD PUT IT INTO NW OH
COUNTIES CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT.  CURRENT FORECAST LOOK TO HAVE PRETTY
GOOD HANDLE ON THINGS OTHERWISE.

.IWX...NONE.

TEH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 10:35 PM EDTTornado WarningIWXCass50 min
Jul 3, 11:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXSaint Joseph46 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Michigan, 1998Every tornado warning in 1998Tornadoes in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.