Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Tornado Warnings in 1998

Tornado Warning 56, NWS State College, PA

September 27, 1998McKean County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this tornado warning at Sep 27, 1998, 4:48 PM EDT for McKean County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 32 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Sep 27, 1998, 4:48 PM EDT (20:48 UTC)
Expired
Sep 27, 1998, 5:20 PM EDT
In force
32 min
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Area
Whole counties

County McKean County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Sep 27, 5:15 PM EDTThunderstorm Wind 51Lafayette, PATrees down in Lafayette Township.

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 27, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 125 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 1998-09-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 1998-09-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 196 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-339 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1619 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
252 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

464 
WFUS01 KCTP 272048 RRA
TORCTP
PAC083-272120-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
448 PM EDT SUN SEP 27 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  MCKEAN COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA

* UNTIL 520 PM EDT

* AT 446 PM EDT...STATE COLLEGE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO
  17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BRADFORD OR 6 MILES WEST OF MOUNT
  JEWETT...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
  MOUNT JEWETT AT 450 PM EDT
  BRADFORD REGIONAL AIRPORT AT 455 PM EDT
  SMETHPORT AT 505 PM EDT
  NORWICH TOWNSHIP AT 510 PM EDT
  PORT ALLEGANY AT 515 PM EDT

GO TO THE BASEMENT OR A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR

OSTUNO/JUNG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Sep 27, 2:50 PM EDT, 1 hour 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 27, 2:50 PM EDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
250 PM EDT SUN SEP 27 1998

...WRKZNS SENT TO PHL AND PIT VIA ADMCTP AROUND 240 PM...

A FEW COMPUTER PROBLEMS SO WILL BE BRIEF.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS NY STATE JUST NORTH OF CWA. NOSE
OF A 35KT 8H JET APPEARS TO BE FEEDING THE MOISTURE THE
THUNDERSTORMS NEED. FURTHER SOUTH AND WEST ACTIVITY MUCH MORE WIDELY
SCATTERED ON PBZ RADAR SCOPE. CURRENT LAPS DATA SHOWS A RATHER
STABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL PA. HOWEVER... WILL WATCH
ACTIVITY INCREASING ON PBZ RADAR SCOPE.

WENT WITH CHC POPS THIS EVE (40 NORTH/30 SOUTH). CORE OF 3H JET SAGS
SOUTH OF AREA BY 12Z MON WITH STRONG NVA SLIDING INTO REGION. WOULD
HAVE GONE MOSTLY SUNNY FOR MONDAY BUT NOTICED A FAIRLY STRONG
INVERSION AT 8H WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE TRAPPED JUST BELOW THIS
LEVEL. PARTLY SUNNY SHOULD COVER ALL AREAS EXCEPT ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTH WHERE MO SUNNY SKIES SHOULD SUFFICE.

SFC HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO CENTRAL PA LATE MONDAY NIGHT. LIGHT
WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES LEAD ME TO GO BELOW MOS VALUES AND WENT CLOSER
TO AVN FCST LOWS.

BRIGHT SUNSHINE FOR TUESDAY.

SPC JUST ISSUED SVR TSTM WATCH FOR AREAS N/W OF FCST/A. SO FAR SO
GOOD.

.CTP...NONE.

WINTHER

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 27, 4:02 PM EDT, 46 minutes before
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063>066-280150-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT-SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
402 PM EDT SUN SEP 27 1998

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH FOR ALL OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INCLUDING THE SUSQUEHANNA
VALLEY UNTIL 10 PM EDT...

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

WARREN... MCKEAN... POTTER... ELK... CAMERON...
NORTHERN CLINTON... CLEARFIELD... NORTHERN CENTRE... SOUTHERN
CENTRE... CAMBRIA... BLAIR... HUNTINGDON... MIFFLIN... JUNIATA...
SOMERSET... BEDFORD... FULTON... FRANKLIN... TIOGA... NORTHERN
LYCOMING... SULLIVAN... SOUTHERN CLINTON... SOUTHERN LYCOMING...
UNION... SNYDER... NORTHUMBERLAND... MONTOUR... COLUMBIA...
SCHUYLKILL... PERRY... DAUPHIN... LEBANON... CUMBERLAND... ADAMS...
YORK... LANCASTER...

...FORECAST DETAILS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THIS
EVENING AND INTERACT WITH UNSEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID AIR ACROSS
PENNSYLVANIA. AS A RESULT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME LOCALLY
SEVERE...WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND MOVE
RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

THE GREATEST THREAT FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.  FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.  HEAVY RAINS
FLOOD
ROADS QUICKLY.  DON'T DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE A POSSIBILITY... NOT A CERTAINTY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
PRODUCES WINDS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR HAIL 3/4 INCH OR LARGER.

WINTHER
Special weather statement, Sep 27, 4:02 PM EDT, 46 minutes before
PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-063>066-280150-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT-SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
402 PM EDT SUN SEP 27 1998

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH FOR ALL OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA INCLUDING THE SUSQUEHANNA
VALLEY UNTIL 10 PM EDT...

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

WARREN... MCKEAN... POTTER... ELK... CAMERON...
NORTHERN CLINTON... CLEARFIELD... NORTHERN CENTRE... SOUTHERN
CENTRE... CAMBRIA... BLAIR... HUNTINGDON... MIFFLIN... JUNIATA...
SOMERSET... BEDFORD... FULTON... FRANKLIN... TIOGA... NORTHERN
LYCOMING... SULLIVAN... SOUTHERN CLINTON... SOUTHERN LYCOMING...
UNION... SNYDER... NORTHUMBERLAND... MONTOUR... COLUMBIA...
SCHUYLKILL... PERRY... DAUPHIN... LEBANON... CUMBERLAND... ADAMS...
YORK... LANCASTER...

...FORECAST DETAILS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THIS
EVENING AND INTERACT WITH UNSEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID AIR ACROSS
PENNSYLVANIA. AS A RESULT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME LOCALLY
SEVERE...WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND MOVE
RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

THE GREATEST THREAT FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.  FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.  HEAVY RAINS
FLOOD
ROADS QUICKLY.  DON'T DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE A POSSIBILITY... NOT A CERTAINTY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
PRODUCES WINDS OF 58 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR HAIL 3/4 INCH OR LARGER.

WINTHER

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 27, 4:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPElk61 min
Sep 27, 4:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPClearfield63 min
Sep 27, 4:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPMcKean, Warren62 min
Sep 27, 4:59 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPClearfield31 min
Sep 27, 5:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Potter60 min
Sep 27, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre34 min
Sep 27, 6:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPClinton, Lycoming45 min
Sep 27, 6:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCambria49 min
Sep 27, 6:16 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPUnion34 min
Sep 27, 6:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPMontour, Northumberland48 min
Sep 27, 6:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBlair49 min
Sep 27, 6:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia36 min
Sep 27, 7:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPHuntingdon48 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Pennsylvania, 1998Every tornado warning in 1998Tornadoes in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.