Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 1997

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS Tulsa, OK

February 20, 1997Crawford County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Feb 20, 1997, 8:08 PM CST for Crawford County, Arkansas. It was in force for 52 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 20, 1997, 8:08 PM CST (02:08 UTC)
Expired
Feb 20, 1997, 9:00 PM CST
In force
52 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Whole counties

County Crawford County, AR

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 20, 8:10 PM CSTThunderstorm WindCedarville, AR

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Feb 20, 6:00 PM CSTTornado WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 2.1 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 1997-02-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 267 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 1997-02-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 221 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
267 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-14 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
593 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
221 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
270 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KTUL 210209 RRA
SVRTUL
ARC033-210300-
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
808 PM CST THU FEB 20 1997
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL  900 PM CST
FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION...
 
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
 
   ...CRAWFORD COUNTY
 
AT 806 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM NEAR VAN BUREN TO LEVACA. THESE STORMS WERE
MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 40 MILES AN HOUR...AND WILL PASS NEAR ALMA AND
CEDARVILLE.
 
A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA.  REMEMBER...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH
LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.  REMAIN CALM BUT BE ALERT TO RAPIDLY
CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.
 
DAMAGING WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH WILL OCCUR WITH THIS LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.  IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS SEEK SHE>LTER
IMMEDIATELY IN THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR BUILDING OR HOME.  STAY
AWAY FROM OUTSIDE WALLS AND WINDOWS.  IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME
YOU SHOULD MOVE TO A MORE SUBSTANTIAL STRUCTURE IF ONE IS NEARBY.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Feb 20, 3:47 PM CST, 4 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 3:47 PM CST, 4 hours 21 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
345 PM CST THU FEB 20 1997

ANOTHER INTERESTING FCST TODAY. PREFER THE AVN MODEL WHICH HAS BEEN
MOST CONSISTENT THE PAST COUPLE DAYS WITH THIS SYSTEM. ALSO THE 24 HOUR
AVN FCST VALID 12Z FRIDAY IS A VIRTUAL CARBON COPY OF THE 48 HOUR ECMWF
FCST VALID AT THE SAME TIME. THE ETA WEAKENS THE UPPER SYSTEM TOO
QUICKLY WHILE THE NGM APPEARS TOO SLOW. THE SFC LOW IS DEEPER THAN FCST
CURRENTLY WITH STRONG PRESSURE FALLS OCCURRING AHEAD OF IT SO A
STRENGTH BETWEEN THE NGM AND AVN MAY BE BEST.

SATELLITE CLEARLY SHOWS THE UPPER SYSTEM HEADING NORTHEAST AND IT WILL
TRACK RIGHT ACROSS THE FCST AREA TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE MOVING
BACK INTO THE AREA ATTM AND PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. THUS WILL EXTEND THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THE ENTIRE NIGHT. THE RAIN CHANCES SHOULD
DECREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT IN THE SRN PART OF THE AREA BUT RAINS WILL
CONTINUE ALL NIGHT NORTH OF THE SFC LOW AND VORT MAX TRACKS. SEVERE
WEATHER REMAINS A THREAT TONIGHT MAINLY FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

AS THE SFC LOW MOVES EAST OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT...STRONG NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL DRAW COLDER AIR SOUTH INTO THE AREA. THE TIMING AND EXTENT
OF THE COLD AIR WILL BE CRITICAL IN DETERMINING THE POTENTIAL FOR
ACCUMULATING SNOW. ALL MODELS APPEAR WAY TOO SLOW ON COOLING SFC TEMPS
LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING AS DYNAMIC COOLING SHOULD AID IN
COOLING SFC TEMPS IN NE OK AND NW AR. SO THE RAIN MAY CHANGE TO SNOW
TOWARDS MORNING IN THE FAR NW PART OF THE FCST AREA AND BEFORE MIDDAY
ACROSS ADJACENT PORTIONS OF NE OK AND NW AR. DRY SLOT FURTHER SOUTH
SHOULD LIMIT PRECIP CHANCES THERE AFTER TONIGHT.

SOME SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY NEAR THE KS AND MO
BORDERS BUT WILL NOT ISSUE ANY HEADLINES ATTM SINCE SFC TEMPS WILL BE
IN THE 30S AND UNSURE IF AMOUNTS EVEN ON GRASSY AREAS WILL REACH 4
INCHES. OBVIOUSLY A QUICKER THAN EXPECTED CHANGEOVER WILL INCREASE THE
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW. MAGIC CHART FROM THE NGM SUGGESTS 4-6 INCHES
POSSIBLE IN EXTREME NE OK AND NW AR BUT AVN DOES NOT LOOK QUITE AS
OMINOUS. IN ANY EVENT...IT LOOKS LIKE A DRIVER FRIENDLY SNOW AS MOST
PAVEMENTS WILL REMAIN WET.

ANY LINGERING SNOWFALL FRIDAY EVENING WILL END EARLY WITH SKIES
CLEARING OVERNIGHT. AVN HINTS AT QUITE A BIT OF SC AROUND SATURDAY BUT
THIS APPEARS OVERDONE AND WILL GO MOSTLY SUNNY FOR NOW.

COULD BE INTERESTING AGAIN MAINLY IN SE OK BY LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA BUT ATTM PRECIP AMOUNTS
LOOK TO BE LIGHT.

WENT BELOW THE GUIDANCE TEMPS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY BUT GUIDANCE TEMPS
LOOK REASONABLE BEYOND THAT TIME.

TUL 37/39/27/49  +830    FSM 49/52/28/50  +410    MLC 43/46/27/52  +410
BVO 34/36/25/49  +930    FYV 45/47/25/47  +740    IDB 54/57/29/53  +2-0
BYV 47/49/25/47  +740

.TUL...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT FOR ZONES 054>077.
AR..0.FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT FOR ZONES 001-002-010-011-019-029.

PLATE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 20, 5:15 PM CST, 2 hours 53 minutes before
OKZ054>077-ARZ001-002-010-011-019-029-211200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
510 PM CST WED FEB 19 1997

...WINTER WEATHER TO RETURN TO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM MOVING INTO NORTHERN TEXAS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT. AT THE SAME TIME...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL
STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES FROM NEAR WICHITA FALLS TEXAS INTO EXTREME
SOUTHERN MISSOURI BY FRIDAY MORNING.

AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO MISSOURI...STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL DRAW COLDER AIR SOUTH INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW TOWARD MORNING IN
NORTHWEST OSAGE COUNTY AND OVER THE REST OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
EXTREME NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY MIDDAY FRIDAY.

SOME SNOW ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY TO THE NORTH OF A TULSA TO
FAYETTEVILLE LINE WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW
BEING NEAR THE KANSAS AND MISSOURI BORDERS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING SO MOST OF THE SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE ON
GRASSY AREAS AND CARS AND ROOFTOPS.

UNCERTAINTIES DO EXIST CONCERNING THE TIMING OF THE CHANGEOVER TO
SNOW AND THIS MAKES IT DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE POSSIBLE SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS AT THIS TIME. THE BEST ESTIMATE IS THAT 1 TO 3 INCHES
OF SNOW MAY WHITEN THE GROUND NEAR THE KANSAS AND MISSOURI BORDERS BY
FRIDAY EVENING.

ANY LINGERING SNOW WILL END EARLY FRIDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY
DECREASING CLOUDINESS.

PERSONS PLANNING TRAVEL IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA OR EXTREME NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY SHOULD CHECK THE LATEST CONDITIONS
AND FORECASTS BEFORE DEPARTINhG.

STAY TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 20, 7:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSASebastian43 min
Feb 20, 8:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAWashington44 min
Feb 20, 8:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton43 min
Feb 20, 8:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMadison, Washington51 min
Feb 20, 9:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll54 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 1997Every severe thunderstorm warning in 1997

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.