Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS Grand Forks, ND

FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
230 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 1997

FEATURES COMING TOGETHER FOR TSRA/SHRA ACRS CWA NEXT 12 HR.  IN NEAR
TERM...THREAT OF SVR WEATHER IS FOCUSED ACRS NE ND AND XTRM NW MN. SFC
THTE ACRS THE AREA FROM 325 TO 340 AND WITH A FEW MORE HOURS OF
WARMING...MOST AREAS SHUD BE ABV 330 K.  SFC RUC SHOWS BEST MCONV AND
FRONTOGENESIS IN FROM W OF DVL TO BIS.  WITH LI/S THROUGH THIS EVENING
EXPECTED TO BE FROM -4 TO -8 AND CAPES AOA 2000...MORE TSRA SHUD FORM
ACROSS NE ND AND BUILD SOUTH TOWARD VALLEY CITY.  ENUF ENERGY FOR LARGE
HAIL THROUGH EVENING.  FINALLY WV IMAGERY SHOWS JET DIVING TOWARD INTL
BORDER.  SO WUD PUT CHC SVR INTO EVENING FORECAST FOR NE AND NW MN...W
OF ROX...TVF.  FOR SE ND AND REMAINDER OF NW MN...LOOKS LIKE A BREAK
BETWEEN SHRA LEFTOVER FROM SD MCS AND CONVECTION FARTHER W.  IN WC
MN...DISTANCE FROM SFC FRNT AND SLOW MOVEMENT OF STORMS...WL MEAN THAT
CONVECTION WL LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL TOMORROW WHEN HEATING AND
DYNAMICS...ALOFT AND SFC...ARE IN PLACE.  WITH TIMING AFTER SUNSET AND
COOLER TEMPS FROM CLDS...SVR UNLIKELY. HOWEVER...FOR ENTIRE CWA...WITH
SLOW MOVING STORMS AND PW GREATER THAN AN INCH...HEAVY RAIN LIKELY WITH
THESE STORMS.

AS FOR TEMPS...ACROSS XTRM ERN ND AND WC MN...DEW POINTS IN U50S TO L60S
AND LIGHT WINDS WL MEAN TEMPS STAYING AROUND 60.  DVL AREA WHERE WNDS
WL SWITCH AND DRIER AIR GETS IN...XPCT LOWS IN M50S.

SUGGESTIONS...
DVL/LANGDON/PEMBINA...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM EARLY.
A FEW MAY BE SEVERE.  LOW IN THE MID 50S.  WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 5
TO 10 MPH.
GFK/MVX/GRAFTON/CKN...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
A FEW MAY BE SEVERE THIS EVENING.  LOW AROUND 60.  WIND SOUTH AT 5 TO
15. CHANCE OF RAIN IS 60 PERCENT
FAR/BWP...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LOW AROUND 60.  WIND SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  CHANCE OF RAIN IS 40
PERCENT.
HCO/ROX/TVF...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.  A FEW
STORMS MAY BE SEVERE THIS EVENING.   LOW IN THE UPPER 50S.  WIND SOUTH
AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  CHANCE OF RAIN IS 60 PERCENT.
BDE/BJI/FSE...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS.  LOW 55 TO
60.  WIND SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  CHANCE OF RAIN IS 30 PERCENT.
DTL...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM LATE.  LOW IN THE
UPPER 50S.  WIND SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  CHANCE OF RAIN IS 30 PERCENT.
FFM/PKD...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM LATE.
LOW IN THE UPPER 50S. WIND SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  CHANCE OF RAIN IS 20
PERCENT.

ANY COMMENTS...QUESTIONS...PLEASE CALL.

SCHUMACHER

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052-053-041200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
635 AM CDT THU MAY 29 1997

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS NORTHEAST NORTH
DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN RED
RIVER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF
DEVILS LAKE...LANGDON...GRAND FORKS...HALLOCK...THIEF RIVER FALLS AND
ROSEAU.

A STATIONARY BOUNDARY REMAINS SITUATED ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS
AFTERNOON.  ACROSS NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND EXTREME NORTHWEST
MINNESOTA...SKIES HAVE BECOME PARTLY SUNNY ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
WARM INTO THE MID 70S BY 1 PM.  WITH THE HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO THIN THROUGH MIDAFTERNOON...MORE SUN WILL HELP TEMPERATURES
TO WARM TO 80 DEGREES.  DEW POINTS ACROSS THIS SAME AREA ARE IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.  THIS WILL COMBINE TO DESTABILIZE THE
ATMOSPHERE AS THE FRONT STRENGTHENS AND MOVES TOWARDS THE RED RIVER
VALLEY.  FARTHER TO THE SOUTH AND EAST...CLOUDS AND INTERMITTENT
SHOWERS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES COOLER AND THE ATMOSPHERE MORE STABLE.

STORMS WILL DEVELOP NORTH AND WEST OF DEVILS LAKE DURING THE MID
AFTERNOON.  THESE STORMS WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EAST REACHING THE RED
RIVER BETWEEN 5 AND 7 PM.  THE STORMS WILL THEN MOVE INTO NORTHWEST
MIN(NESOTA DURING THE EVENING.  THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IN
LARGE HAIL.  AN ISOLATED GUST TO 60 MPH IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO...TELEVESION...OR CABLE FOR FUTURE STATEMENTS
OR WARNINGS.

SCHUMACHER

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052-053-041200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED...CORRECTED DATE...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1250 PM CDT THU JUN 04 1997

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS NORTHEAST NORTH
DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN RED
RIVER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF
DEVILS LAKE...LANGDON...GRAND FORKS...HALLOCK...THIEF RIVER FALLS AND
ROSEAU.

A STATIONARY BOUNDARY REMAINS SITUATED ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS
AFTERNOON.  ACROSS NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND EXTREME NORTHWEST
MINNESOTA...SKIES HAVE BECOME PARTLY SUNNY ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
WARM INTO THE MID 70S BY 1 PM.  WITH THE HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO THIN THROUGH MIDAFTERNOON...MORE SUN WILL HELP TEMPERATURES
TO WARM TO 80 DEGREES.  DEW POINTS ACROSS THIS SAME AREA ARE IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.  THIS WILL COMBINE TO DESTABILIZE THE
ATMOSPHERE AS THE FRONT STRENGTHENS AND MOVES TOWARDS THE RED RIVER
VALLEY.  FARTHER TO THE SOUTH AND EAST...CLOUDS AND INTERMITTENT
SHOWERS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES COOLER AND THE ATMOSPHERE MORE STABLE.

STORMS WILL DEVELOP NORTH AND WEST OF DEVILS LAKE DURING THE MID
AFTERNOON.  THESE STORMS WILL GRADUALLY MOVE EAST REACHING THE RED
RIVER BETWEEN 5 AND 7 PM.  THE STORMS WILL THEN MOVE I*NTO NORTHWEST
MINNESOTA DURING THE EVENING.  THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IN
LARGE HAIL.  AN ISOLATED GUST TO 60 MPH IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO...TELEVESION...OR CABLE FOR FUTURE STATEMENTS
OR WARNINGS.

SCHUMACHER