Severe Thunderstorm Warning 68, NWS Dodge City, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
332 PM CDT SAT MAY 24 1997

NOT MUCH TIME FOR DISC TDY DUE MANY HEADLINES AND SHORT STAFFING. IN
SHORT TERM MAIN QSTN IS XTNT AND TYPE CNVCTN TNGT.  PER DISC W SPC
STORMS FIRING OVER SE COLO AND PNHNDLS WL REACH XTRM SW ZNS SHORTLY
WHILE SFC BNDRY E/W THRU DDC ALSO STARTING TO FIRE UP.  LKG AT WND
FIELDS AND HIGH CAPES XPCT MAIN THREAT WL BE HAIL...WINDS AND
TORRENTIAL RAINS AS THE CLUSTER TYPE CNVCTN TURNS MCS N OF THE SFC
BNDRY LATE TNGT.  END RESULT IS FFW N OF THE SFC BNDRY IN THOSE ZONES
WHERE FFG IS GENERALLY AOB 3 INCHES.  COORD WITH SPC ON SVR TSTM W IN
MY SW ZNS.

IN LTR PDS GENERALLY FOLLOWED ETA.  TSTMS AND MCS TNGT WL DEEPEN
BNDRY LYR COLD DOME WITH RAIN COOLING AND CONSIDERABLE MSTR THUS SFC
LOW MOVG OUT OF COLO SHD STAY MUCH FARTHER SOUTH THAN NGM SLTN. AVN
IS A COMPROMISE POSITIONING, BUT I DOUBT EVEN ETA HAS ADJUSTED ENUF
FOR THE RAIN COOLING...ETC SO WL CONSIDERABLY UNDERCUT FWC NUMBERS
FOR HIGH TEMPS THRU MEMORIAL DAY. WL ALSO HV TO BRING IN LOTS MORE
CLOUD AND BETTER CHCS FOR PCPN.  AVN H5 FEATURES LOOK BEST FOR LTR
PDS THUS WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE IN BNDRY LYR...W TO SW FLOW ALOFT
...LOTS OF LIFT AND MSTR WL GO WITH CLOUDY AND COOL SUN NGT AND MON
AND PCPN SHD BE MAINLY OVRRNG RAIN.

.DDC...FFW 030-031-043>046-063-064.
       SVR TSTM WTCH 061>068-074>078-084>088.

DDC 058/077 052/077 052 742
GCK 057/076 050/076 050 742
EHA 058/078 054/078 054 420
LBL 060/079 055/079 055 420
HYS 056/074 056/074 053 853
P28 063/080 056/080 055 532

JOHNSON

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-250600-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1113 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 1997

SYNOPSIS:  WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER MOST OF KANSAS
TODAY WILL BE FURTHER ENHANCED BY A DEVELOPING TROF OF LOWW PRESSURE
IN THE LEE SLOPES OF THE ROCKIES.  MEANWHILE A PACIFIC FRONT MOVING
ACROSS THE ROCKIES WILL PUSH OUT INTO THE PLAINS TONIGHT AND SHOULD
TRIGGER AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS FROM WYOMING SOUTH THROUGH COLORADO
INTO NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.  THESE STORMS WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS TONIGHT FEEDING ON THE UNSTABLE AIR OVER WEST
KANSAS.  SOME OF THE STORMS ARE APT TO BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO.  SINCE THE STORMS WILL BUILD INTO
CLUSTERS...LATE NIGHT OR EARLY MORNING COULD WELL SEE TORRENTIAL
RAINS AND POSSIBLE PROBLEMS WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING.

SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

JOHNSON

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-250600-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1113 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 1997

SYNOPSIS:  WARM...MOIST AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER MOST OF KANSAS
TODAY WILL BE FURTHER ENHANCED BY A DEVELOPING TROF OF LOWW PRESSURE
IN THE LEE SLOPES OF THE ROCKIES.  MEANWHILE A PACIFIC FRONT MOVING
ACROSS THE ROCKIES WILL PUSH OUT INTO THE PLAINS TONIGHT AND SHOULD
TRIGGER AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS FROM WYOMING SOUTH THROUGH COLORADO
INTO NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.  THESE STORMS WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS TONIGHT FEEDING ON THE UNSTABLE AIR OVER WEST
KANSAS.  SOME OF THE STORMS ARE APT TO BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO.  SINCE THE STORMS WILL BUILD INTO
CLUSTERS...LATE NIGHT OR EARLY MORNING COULD WELL SEE TORRENTIAL
RAINS AND POSSIBLE PROBLEMS WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING.

SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

JOHNSON