Flash Flood Warning 49, NWS New York, NY

NYZ067>081-501-502-508-NJZ002>006-011-CTZ005>012-191500

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT AND
WEATHER MAP DISCUSSION FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK...
NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1013 AM EDT SAT OCT 19 1996

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED THE FOLLOWING WARNINGS AND
WATCHES...

...A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR SECTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW
YORK...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AT TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...
...A GALE WARNING FOR THE COASTAL WATERS...LONG ISLAND SOUND AND
NEW YORK HARBOR...
...A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW
YORK...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT LATE TODAY
THROUGH SUNDAY...
...A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE TRI-STATE AREA FOR LATER
TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
...A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE TRI-STATE AREA FOR LATER TODAY
THROUGH SUNDAY...

A LOW PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPING OVER THE DELMARVA AREA THIS MORNING
WILL INTENSIFY RAPIDLY AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THIS LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL CAUSE AN ARRAY OF PROBLEMS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE TRI-STATE
THIS WEEKEND. STRONG ONSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP AND LEAD TO COASTAL
FLOODING AS TIDES RISE IN RESPONSE TO WATER PILING UP ALONG THE
COAST.

HIGH TIDES THIS AFTERNOON WILL PRODUCE ANYWHERE FROM MINOR TO
MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. TONIGHT HIGH TIDES WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 5
FEET ABOVE NORMAL...PRODUCING WATER LEVELS ONLY ABOUT 2 FEET LESS
THAN THOSE PRODUCED BY THE GREAT DECEMBER NOREASTER OF '92. PLEASE
PREPARE FOR MODERATE TO MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING OVERNIGHT.

WIND SWEPT RAIN WILL ALSO CAUSE A VARIETY OF PROBLEMS. SMALL
STREAM...URBAN AND HIGHWAY FLOODING IS POSSIBLE FROM LATER TODAY
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING WHEN THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME HEAVY.
AT THIS TIME WE ARE LOOKING AT RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 2 AND 5
INCHES ACROSS THE REGION BEFORE THE STORM FINALLY PULLS AWAY. THIS
COULD EVEN CAUSE SOME OF THE LARGER RIVERS ESPECIALLY IN THE PASSAIC
BASIN...WHICH INCLUDE THE SADDLE RIVER AT LODI AND THE RAMAPO RIVER
AT MAHWAH...TO GO OVER THEIR BANKS. LOW LYING ROADS AND PARKWAYS
ACROSS THE METROPOLITAN AREA WILL SEE SOME PONDING TOO.

THE HIGH WINDS SHOULD ALSO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO BRING DOWN LARGE LIMBS
WHICH IN TURN WILL DOWN SOME POWER LINES. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO OCCUR THIS EVENING THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF
SUNDAY. NEAR THE COAST...WINDS COULD REACH TO NEARLY 60 MPH AT TIMES
DURING THIS TIME FRAME. FURTHER INLAND THEY WILL NOT BE QUITE AS
STRONG BUT NEVER THE LESS WILL CAUSE PROBLEMS HERE AS WELL.

THIS LOW WILL BE A SLOW MOVER SO THE BULK OF THE WEEKEND IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN WINDY AND RAINY. BEFORE |YOU ASK ABOUT GAME ONE OF THE WORLD
SERIES...A 90 PERCENT PROBABILITY OF A WASHOUT.

WOOLDRIDGE