Tornado Warning 19, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
939 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 1996

RW/TRW CONTINUE OVER COASTAL WATERS THIS MORN WITH EARLIER REPORTS OF
A WATERSPOUT OFF THE CAPE AND G38. MOST ACTIVITY THAT WAS ONSHORE
COASTAL AREAS HAS DIMINISHED OVER CWA DURING PAST HOUR. 5H LOW/VORT
LOBE PROGGED TO SINK SW OVER GULF COAST AREA INTO MON. TEMPS AT 500
MB HAVE COOLED MOST AREAS THIS MORN...PLENTY OF SUNSHINE INLAND AREAS
THIS MORN WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD DAYTIME HEATING AND COMBINATION OF
SEABREEZE BOUNDARIES AND OUTFLOWS FROM TRW OFFSHORE BOTH COASTS WILL
AID IN LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. CURRENT ZONES ALREADY PLAYING UP TRW
AND LOOK ON TRACK.

GLITTO

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-161130-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
605 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 1996

...AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY WITH STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER GEORGIA WILL SLIDE SOUTH
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. COLDER THAN NORMAL UPPER LEVEL
TEMPERATURES COUPLED WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN A HIGHLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS THIS AFTERNOON.

AS THE EAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZES DEVELOP AND MOVE INLAND EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM ALONG EACH
BOUNDARY. DURING THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON...THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE INTERIOR COUNTIES AS
ADDITIONAL INTERACTION BETWEEN THE SEA BREEZES AND THUNDERSTORM
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES OCCURS.

STORMS TODAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES PER HOUR...DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND POSSIBLE HAIL. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT TO
THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...AND MOVE TO
A SAFE PLACE INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING WEATHER.

SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND HAM RADIO OPERATORS SHOULD MONITOR NOAA WEATHER
RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON POSSIBLE ACTIVATION LATER TODAY. ANY
REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD BE RELAYED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE IN MELBOURNE.

MARINE OUTLOOK...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH MID MORNING.
THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT THE INTRACOASTAL WATERS...
MAINLY NORTH OF MELBOURNE. A FEW STORMS MAY DEVELOP NEAR THE
INTRCOASTAL WATER\WAY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL MOVE INLAND
SHORTLY THEREAFTER. STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS AND
DEADLY CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS TODAY.

CRISTALDI

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-161630-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1054 AM EDT SUN JUN 16 1996

...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WITH SEVERE STORMS
POSSIBLE...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER GEORGIA WILL DRIFT SOUTHWEST
ALONG THE GULF COAST INTO MONDAY. AS COOLER THAN NORMAL MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON HEATING AND ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON.

STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG SEABREEZE BOUNDARIES MIDDAY WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE THROUGH THE MID AND LATE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
INLAND SECTIONS AS SEABREEZE BOUNDARIES AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
INTERACT.

A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
LARGE HAIL. ADDITIONALLY ANY STORMS MAY PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES OF TWO TO THREE INCHES PER HOUR RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLOODING
...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PERSONS SHOULD KEEP INFORMED
OF THE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON...AND MOVE TO A SAFE PLACE INDOORS AT
THE FIRST SIGN OF A STORM.

SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND HAM RADIO OPERATORS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
POSSIBLE ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON. RELAY REPORTS OF SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MELBOURNE.

MARINE OUTLOOK...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
NORTH AT 15 MPH OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW STORMS
MAY ALSO DEVELOP OVER THE INTRACOASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY ROUGH SEAS AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO WATER LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS TODAY...ALSO A FEW
WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

GLITTO