Tornado Warning 41, NWS Amarillo, TX

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1010 AM CDT THU JUN 08 1995

14Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED STRONG QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT POSITIONED
FROM EXTREME SERN KS...ACROSS THE NRN TX PNHNDL...THRU THE NERN PLAINS
OF NM. DRYLINE EXTENDS FROM THE FRONT FROM JUST S OF DHT...SWD THRU THE WRN
TX PNHNDL...W OF AMA...LBB...AND REE/.  AIRMASS E OF THE DRYLINE AND S OF
FRONT IS ALREADY VERY UNSTABLE WITH SURFACE LIFTED INDICES BETWEEN
MINUS 6 AND MINUS 10...AS TEMPS ARE WELL INTO THE 70S AND DWPTS ARE RICH
IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.  TEMPS ARE IN THE 50S N OF THE FRONT.  ALSO
NOTED GOOD MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AT THE SFC AND 850 MB IN THE VICINITY OF
THE FRONTAL BNDRY AND E OF THE DRYLINE.

EXPECTING THE STATIONARY FRONT TO LINGER IN THE FAR NRN PORTIONS OF THE
FCST AREA THIS PM AS I THINK THE AIR IS COOL ENOUGH N OF THE BNDRY TO
PREVENT MUCH OF A NWD RETREAT THIS PM OR EVE. MAY ADJUST TEMPS DOWN SOME
NEAR THE FRONT THIS PM...WHILE BOOSTING TEMPS SOME IN THE SRN 2 ZONES.
WILL PROBABLY TRIM WIND SPEED DOWN IN ZONES OF CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE
FRONT.  I DO NOT PLAN TO ADJUST POPS ATTM.  I AM THINKING THAT THE
THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT AND E OF THE
DRYLINE...ALONG WITH GROWING INSTABILITY IN THIS AREA FROM GOOD SFC
HTG AND ALREADY EXISTING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...MAY ALLOW FOR STRONG TO
SVR CONVECTIVE DVLPMNT EARLY THIS PM AS OPPOSED TO WAITING UNTIL LATE PM
OR EVE.

.AMA...NONE.
.OK...NONE.

CARUSO

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>026-090500-

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
100 PM CDT THU JUN 08 1995

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FOR ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE NORTHEAST HALF OF
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS GENERALLY ALONG AND
EAST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM CLAYTON NEW MEXICO TO AMARILLO TEXAS TO
CHILDRESS TEXAS. THE REMAINDER OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE IS UNDER A
SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT WAS DRAPED OVER THE FAR NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE DRYLINE WAS ALSO
LOCATED IN THE FAR WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THE
ATMOSPHERE OVER THE PANHANDLES EAST OF THE DRYLINE WILL REMAIN VERY
MOIST AND UNSTABLE. IN ADDITION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO BRUSH THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ALL THESE INGREDIENTS WILL COMBINE TO RESULT IN THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH FORM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE...
WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY LARGE HAIL EXPECTED. ATMOSPHERIC WIND
PROFILES ARE ALSO FORECAST TO BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES...PARTICULARLY IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...AND ALL RESIDENTS OF THE
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO REVIEW
SEVERE STORM SAFETY RULES.

SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ACROSS THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND BE READY FOR LIKELY
ACTIVATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

ANDRADE

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>026-090500-

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
100 PM CDT THU JUN 08 1995

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FOR ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE NORTHEAST HALF OF
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS GENERALLY ALONG AND
EAST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM CLAYTON NEW MEXICO TO AMARILLO TEXAS TO
CHILDRESS TEXAS. THE REMAINDER OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE IS UNDER A
SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT WAS DRAPED OVER THE FAR NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE DRYLINE WAS ALSO
LOCATED IN THE FAR WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THE
ATMOSPHERE OVER THE PANHANDLES EAST OF THE DRYLINE WILL REMAIN VERY
MOIST AND UNSTABLE. IN ADDITION...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO BRUSH THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ALL THESE INGREDIENTS WILL COMBINE TO RESULT IN THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH FORM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE...
WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY LARGE HAIL EXPECTED. ATMOSPHERIC WIND
PROFILES ARE ALSO FORECAST TO BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES...PARTICULARLY IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...AND ALL RESIDENTS OF THE
TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO REVIEW
SEVERE STORM SAFETY RULES.

SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ACROSS THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND BE READY FOR LIKELY
ACTIVATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

ANDRADE