Alert archive / Colorado / Larimer County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Larimer County, Colorado

395 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Larimer County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
395
Busiest year
202325 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
10over 41 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 66% of hail, wind and damage reports in Larimer County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 17 minutes before, and 45% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
20089633%1844%20 min
2009141029%2467%21 min
20107443%1070%15 min
201113746%2875%16 min
20124250%250%30 min
201310730%2391%20 min
201420955%3746%10 min
201511645%1644%12 min
20166433%560%16 min
20177357%1155%11 min
2018211148%3358%17 min
2019161225%2492%16 min
2020131115%1267%24 min
20215260%450%29 min
20227357%1675%21 min
2023251252%2167%11 min
20247271%989%14 min
202515473%683%20 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 6, 10:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOU38 min
Aug 27, 2:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOU33 min
Aug 26, 4:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOU25 min
Aug 26, 3:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOU22 min
Aug 26, 3:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOU42 min
Jul 28, 1:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOU26 min
Jul 22, 12:02 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOU17 min
Jul 21, 6:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOU23 min
Jun 25, 5:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOU50 min
Jun 24, 7:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOU32 min
Jun 1, 3:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBOU18 min
Jun 1, 3:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBOU38 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.