Tornadoes · United States · Wisconsin · 2002

F2 tornado, Tomahawk, Wisconsin, September 30, 2002

This F2 tornado ran 3.0 miles across Lincoln County on September 30, 2002, touching down at 7:30 PM CDT and reaching 250 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $70,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. F040 to 72 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. F173 to 112 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. F2113 to 157 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. F3158 to 206 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. F4207 to 260 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. F5261 to 318 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
F2
Date
September 30, 2002
Touchdown
7:30 PM CDT (00:30 UTC)
Path length
3.0 miles (4.8 km)
Path width
250 yards (229 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$70,000
County
Lincoln County
Touchdown point
45.470, -89.900
Lift-off point
45.470, -89.830
Record number
854

What the Weather Service recorded

Severe thunderstorms developed in unstable air in the vicinity of an east to west warm front that stretched across northern Wisconsin. These storms produced large hail, wind damage and two tornadoes. Hail to golf ball size covered the ground in the Minocqua area (Oneida co.) and golf ball to tennis ball size hail fell from Arbor Vitae (Vilas co.) to St. Germain (Vilas co.). The most significant wind damage was in southern Oneida county. In the Woodboro area (Oneida co.) a tree that was downed by high winds smashed a pickup truck.A tornado touched down in southeast Florence county. It destroyed a pole barn, a garage that was under construction and 6 to 10 outbuildings in its path. It caused minor damage to a farm home and downed 150 to 250 trees and power lines, causing numerous power outages. The tornado tracked east-northeast across the Menominee river into upper Michigan where it continued to do damage.Another tornado that touched down 8 miles west of Tomahawk (Lincoln co.) did significant damage, uprooting or snapping off thousands of trees along its path. A house in the path of the tornado sustained major structural damage. All outbuildings on the property were destroyed, a camping trailer was thrown 300 feet and a car was thrown into a tree, coming to rest at least 15 feet above the ground. Two barns were also destroyed.The storms knocked out power to around 3,000 customers in the Tomahawk area (Lincoln co.) and about 600 customers in the Rhinelander and Crandon areas.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

36 minutes of warning. NWS GRB issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:54 UTC, 36 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 00:45 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
23:54 UTC00:45 UTCTornado WarningGRB
00:43 UTC01:15 UTCTornado WarningGRB
01:15 UTC02:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRB
01:15 UTC02:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRB

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:47 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), 00:00Z

0.5 hours before the tornado, 177 km from the path. October 1, 2002.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2002-10-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 322 joules per kilogram, CIN -170, lifted condensation level 1725 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 00:00Z on 2002-10-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 129 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 45 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
322 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-170 J/kg
Surface CAPE
635 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1725 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
237 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4
0-3 km lapse rate
6.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), 12:00Z

11.5 hours after it, 177 km from the path. October 1, 2002.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2002-10-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 208 joules per kilogram, CIN -200, lifted condensation level 1282 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2002-10-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 164 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 43 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
208 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-200 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1282 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
164 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
209 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Merrill (RRL), 32 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
22:42 UTC73.466.20° 0 kt1005.4
22:59 UTC71.664.40° 0 kt1005.8
23:19 UTC73.462.6200° 7 kt1005.8VCTS
23:40 UTC71.662.6200° 8 kt1005.4VCTS
00:04 UTC71.662.6200° 5 kt1005.4VCTS
00:19 UTC71.662.6190° 8 kt1005.1VCTS
00:44 UTC71.660.8200° 9 kt201005.1TS
01:00 UTC71.660.8210° 9 kt161005.4TS
01:20 UTC71.662.6210° 8 kt191005.8
01:39 UTC69.860.8220° 7 kt1005.8
02:01 UTC69.862.6210° 5 kt1006.1
02:19 UTC69.862.6210° 5 kt1006.1

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 175 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:30 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2002 tornado in WisconsinEvery tornado in Wisconsin since 1950Warnings in force in Wisconsin nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of September 30, 2002

5 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
September 306:45 PM CDTF0Taylor, WI0.5100$20,000
September 307:02 PM CDTF0Clark, WI0.250
September 307:10 PM CDTF1Dickinson, WI to MI5.2400$7.0 million
September 307:19 PM CDTF0Dickinson, MI3.0100
September 307:25 PM CDTF0Dickinson, MI0.8100

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.