Tornadoes · United States · Virginia · 2004
F2 tornado, Dale City to Yorkshire, Virginia, September 17, 2004
From Dale City to Yorkshire, this F2 tornado ran 4.0 miles across Prince William County on September 17, 2004, touching down at 5:26 PM EDT and reaching 250 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $1.0 million of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
F040 to 72 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
F173 to 112 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
F2113 to 157 mphthis tornado
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
F3158 to 206 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
F4207 to 260 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
F5261 to 318 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- F2
- Date
- September 17, 2004
- Touchdown
- 5:26 PM EDT (21:26 UTC)
- Path length
- 4.0 miles (6.4 km)
- Path width
- 250 yards (229 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $1.0 million
- County
- Prince William County
- Touchdown point
- 38.620, -77.420
- Lift-off point
- 38.580, -77.430
- Record number
- 1755
What the Weather Service recorded
A tornadic thunderstorm moved through central Prince William County. This is the same storm that produced damage earlier in Stafford County. The initial touchdown in Prince William County was west of Dale City, near Independent Hill and Dumfries Road. The storm snapped or uprooted many large hardwood trees. Some of the trees fell on houses and other structures. The storm lifted and then reformed for the second touchdown in Manassas. Several homes suffered roof and shingle damage. An automobile was moved several feet. Damaged also occurred in Manassas Park and in Yorkshire Village. This tornado continued north into Fairfax County.
A tornado touched down on the east side of the City of Manassas. It produced structural damage and tree damage and then continued on to Manassas Park. The tornado damaged several dwellings before lifting in the Yorkshire Subdivision. This complex track left Manassas City, crossed into Prince William County, then crossed into Manassas Park City, crossing back into Prince William County, then finally crossing into Fairfax County.
A tornado touched down on the east side of the City of Manassas. It produced structural damage and tree damage and then continued on to Manassas Park. The tornado damaged several dwellings before lifting in the Yorkshire Subdivision. This complex track left Manassas City, crossed into Prince William County, then crossed into Manassas Park City, crossing back into Prince William County, then finally crossing into Fairfax County.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
42 minutes of warning. NWS LWX issued a tornado warning for this county at 20:44 UTC, 42 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 21:45 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20:44 UTC | 21:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | LWX |
| 21:44 UTC | 22:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | LWX |
| 23:11 UTC | 00:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | LWX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.15 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:53 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), 12:00Z
9.4 hours before the tornado, 39 km from the path. September 17, 2004.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 105 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -89 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 687 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 15 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 74 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 150 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.7 K/km
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), 00:00Z
2.6 hours after it, 39 km from the path. September 18, 2004.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1144 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -3 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 1256 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 556 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 168 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 235 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.8
- Supercell composite
- 4.2
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.8 K/km
The radar
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 42 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:26 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:52 UTC | TORNADO | Culpeper | Culpeper, VA | SIGHTED |
| 19:52 UTC | TORNADO | Culpeper | Culpeper, VA | SIGHTED |
| 20:25 UTC | TORNADO | Warrenton | Fauquier, VA | TORNADO REPORTED ON GROUND IN WARRENTON. |
| 20:25 UTC | TORNADO | Warrenton | Fauquier, VA | TORNADO REPORTED ON GROUND IN WARRENTON. |
| 20:29 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Ne Massaponax | Spotsylvania, VA | TORNADO REPORTED ON GROUND IN NEWCREST AREA. |
| 20:29 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Ne Massaponax | Spotsylvania, VA | TORNADO REPORTED ON GROUND IN NEWCREST AREA. |
| 20:38 UTC | TORNADO | Fredericksburg | City of Fredericks, VA | SIGHTED AT DIXON ST. AND RIVER |
| 20:42 UTC | TORNADO | Stones Corner | Stafford, VA | TORNADO ON GROUND CHAPEL GREEN ROAD AND PERRYWINKLE LANE. |
| 20:42 UTC | TORNADO | Stones Corner | Stafford, VA | TORNADO ON GROUND CHAPEL GREEN ROAD AND PERRYWINKLE LANE. |
| 21:10 UTC | TORNADO | Stafford | Stafford, VA | LARGE TORNADO SIGHTED ON GROUND NEAR I-95 AND EXIT 140 PARKRIDGE SECTION |
| 21:10 UTC | TORNADO | Stafford | Stafford, VA | LARGE TORNADO SIGHTED ON GROUND NEAR I-95 AND EXIT 140 PARKRIDGE SECTION |
| 21:29 UTC | TORNADO | Woodbridge | Prince William, VA | TORNADO REPORTED ON GROUND TRAVELLING NORTH-NORTHWEST. HOADLEY ROAD AND ROUTE 234. |
| 21:29 UTC | TORNADO | Woodbridge | Prince William, VA | TORNADO REPORTED ON GROUND TRAVELLING NORTH-NORTHWEST. HOADLEY ROAD AND ROUTE 234. |
| 21:35 UTC | TORNADO | Hughesville | Loudoun, VA | TORNADO ON GROUND NEAR HARMONY CHURCH ROAD. |
| 21:35 UTC | TORNADO | Hughesville | Loudoun, VA | TORNADO ON GROUND NEAR HARMONY CHURCH ROAD. |
| 21:35 UTC | TORNADO | Rhoadesville | Orange, VA | AROUND ROUTE 20 AND 621. 1 SHED DESTROYED. HORSE TRAILER. 2 SILOS. TREE THROUGH HOUSE. |
| 21:35 UTC | TORNADO | Rhoadesville | Orange, VA | AROUND ROUTE 20 AND 621. 1 SHED DESTROYED. HORSE TRAILER. 2 SILOS. TREE THROUGH HOUSE. |
| 21:40 UTC | TORNADO | 2 S Manassas | Prince William, VA | |
| 21:40 UTC | TORNADO | 2 S Manassas | Prince William, VA | |
| 21:44 UTC | TORNADO | 2 S Manassas | Prince William, VA | |
| 21:44 UTC | TORNADO | 2 S Manassas | Prince William, VA | |
| 21:55 UTC | TORNADO | Centreville | Fairfax, VA | 1-66 AND ROUTE 28. |
| 21:55 UTC | TORNADO | Centreville | Fairfax, VA | 1-66 AND ROUTE 28. |
| 21:56 UTC | TORNADO | Unionville | Orange, VA | HUNDEREDS OF TREES DOWN. STRUCTURE DAMAGE. |
| 21:56 UTC | TORNADO | Unionville | Orange, VA | HUNDEREDS OF TREES DOWN. STRUCTURE DAMAGE. |
| 22:12 UTC | TORNADO | Dulles International Ai | Loudoun, VA | ON GROUND. |
| 22:12 UTC | TORNADO | Dulles International Ai | Loudoun, VA | ON GROUND. |
| 22:38 UTC | TORNADO | Fairview Beach | King George, VA | ROUTE 218. TORNADO TOUCHDOWN. |
| 22:38 UTC | TORNADO | Fairview Beach | King George, VA | ROUTE 218. TORNADO TOUCHDOWN. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2004 tornado in VirginiaEvery tornado in Virginia since 1950Warnings in force in Virginia nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of September 17, 2004
57 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 17 | 6:05 AM EDT | F0 | Cleveland, NC | 0.9 | 40 | $50,000 | ||
| September 17 | 11:09 AM EDT | F1 | Guilford, NC | 15.3 | 100 | |||
| September 17 | 12:04 PM EDT | F2 | Henry, VA | 8.8 | 440 | 4 | $54 million | |
| September 17 | 12:55 PM EDT | F0 | Moore, NC | 0.5 | 25 | |||
| September 17 | 1:12 PM EDT | F2 | Bedford, VA | 3.0 | 300 | |||
| September 17 | 1:25 PM EDT | F0 | Chatham, NC | 0.5 | 25 | |||
| September 17 | 2:24 PM EDT | F0 | Pittsylvania, VA | 0.3 | 25 | |||
| September 17 | 2:54 PM EDT | F1 | Campbell, VA | 1.9 | 100 | |||
| September 17 | 2:59 PM EDT | F1 | Campbell, VA | 3.0 | 75 | |||
| September 17 | 3:44 PM EDT | F0 | Albemarle, VA | 0.3 | 50 | |||
| September 17 | 4:02 PM EDT | F3 | Fauquier, VA | 9.0 | 200 | 2 | $250,000 | |
| September 17 | 4:05 PM EDT | F2 | Greene, VA | 5.0 | 100 | 3 | $3.0 million | |
| September 17 | 4:08 PM EDT | F1 | Amelia, VA | 1.5 | 60 | $10,000 | ||
| September 17 | 4:10 PM EDT | F0 | Warren, VA | 0.5 | 50 | |||
| September 17 | 4:12 PM EDT | F2 | Madison, VA | 8.0 | 400 | $200,000 | ||
| September 17 | 4:12 PM EDT | F2 | Fauquier, VA | 8.0 | 150 | $500,000 | ||
| September 17 | 4:15 PM EDT | F1 | Caroline, VA | 1.5 | 200 | $30,000 | ||
| September 17 | 4:24 PM EDT | F2 | Fauquier, VA | 13.0 | 200 | $750,000 | ||
| September 17 | 4:29 PM EDT | F0 | Spotsylvania, VA | 2.0 | 75 | |||
| September 17 | 4:36 PM EDT | F0 | City of Fredericksburg, VA | 0.5 | 50 | |||
| September 17 | 4:39 PM EDT | F2 | Frederick, VA | 5.0 | 125 | $250,000 | ||
| September 17 | 4:42 PM EDT | F1 | Stafford, VA | 6.0 | 100 | $10,000 | ||
| September 17 | 4:50 PM EDT | F1 | Goochland, VA | 1.0 | 100 | $3,000 | ||
| September 17 | 4:56 PM EDT | F1 | Louisa, VA | 1.5 | 50 | $20,000 | ||
| September 17 | 4:59 PM EDT | F0 | Henrico, VA | 0.5 | 150 | $10,000 | ||
| September 17 | 5:05 PM EDT | F0 | Spotsylvania, VA | 0.1 | 50 | |||
| September 17 | 5:15 PM EDT | F1 | Orange, VA | 3.0 | 100 | $150,000 | ||
| September 17 | 5:20 PM EDT | F1 | Loudoun, VA | 12.0 | 200 | $500,000 | ||
| September 17 | 5:28 PM EDT | F2 | Orange, VA | 7.0 | 100 | $70,000 | ||
| September 17 | 5:30 PM EDT | F1 | Fulton, PA | 0.5 | 40 | |||
| September 17 | 5:36 PM EDT | F1 | Culpeper, VA | 0.5 | 75 | $850,000 | ||
| September 17 | 5:37 PM EDT | F1 | Frederick, VA | 9.0 | 250 | 2 | $1.0 million | |
| September 17 | 5:40 PM EDT | F0 | Hanover, VA | 1.0 | 50 | $2,000 | ||
| September 17 | 5:40 PM EDT | F1 | City of Manassas, VA | 3.5 | 75 | $500,000 | ||
| September 17 | 5:42 PM EDT | F0 | Caroline, VA | 1.0 | 50 | $2,000 | ||
| September 17 | 5:50 PM EDT | F1 | Culpeper, VA | 0.1 | 75 | $150,000 | ||
| September 17 | 4:55 PM CDT | F2 | Fairfax, VA to MD | 15.0 | 200 | 1 | $2.5 million | |
| September 17 | 6:10 PM EDT | F1 | Frederick, MD | 4.0 | 150 | $320,000 | ||
| September 17 | 6:11 PM EDT | F1 | Caroline, VA | 1.5 | 60 | $10,000 | ||
| September 17 | 6:23 PM EDT | F1 | Caroline, VA | 2.0 | 150 | $10,000 | ||
| September 17 | 6:25 PM EDT | F1 | King George, VA | 7.0 | 250 | $500,000 | ||
| September 17 | 6:34 PM EDT | F1 | Goochland, VA | 0.2 | 40 | $10,000 | ||
| September 17 | 6:35 PM EDT | F0 | Greensville, VA | 0.8 | 100 | $10,000 | ||
| September 17 | 6:42 PM EDT | F0 | Charles, MD | 3.0 | 100 | $10,000 | ||
| September 17 | 6:54 PM EDT | F1 | Frederick, MD | 7.0 | 100 | $50,000 | ||
| September 17 | 7:14 PM EDT | F1 | Franklin, PA | 2.0 | 30 | |||
| September 17 | 7:28 PM EDT | F1 | Franklin, PA | 2.5 | 50 | |||
| September 17 | 7:40 PM EDT | F1 | Jefferson, WV | 2.0 | 100 | $250,000 | ||
| September 17 | 7:50 PM EDT | F2 | Frederick, MD | 3.0 | 200 | $10,000 | ||
| September 17 | 7:50 PM EDT | F2 | Berkeley, WV | 2.0 | 100 | 6 | $30,000 | |
| September 17 | 8:18 PM EDT | F1 | Franklin, PA | 1.5 | 100 | |||
| September 17 | 8:30 PM EDT | F1 | Bedford, PA | 3.5 | 100 | |||
| September 17 | 7:30 PM CDT | F0 | Morgan, WV to MD | 1.0 | 100 | $30,000 | ||
| September 17 | 8:40 PM EDT | F1 | Bedford, PA | 2.3 | 50 | |||
| September 17 | 8:55 PM EDT | F1 | Cumberland, PA | 2.0 | 50 | |||
| September 17 | 9:05 PM EDT | F1 | Juniata, PA | 1.0 | 75 | |||
| September 17 | 9:10 PM EDT | F1 | Juniata, PA | 4.5 | 100 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.