Tornadoes · United States · Virginia · 1998

F0 tornado, Lovettsville, Virginia, June 16, 1998

This F0 tornado ran 0.5 miles across Loudoun County on June 16, 1998, touching down at 5:55 PM EDT and reaching 80 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $10,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. F040 to 72 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. F173 to 112 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. F2113 to 157 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. F3158 to 206 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. F4207 to 260 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. F5261 to 318 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
F0
Date
June 16, 1998
Touchdown
5:55 PM EDT (21:55 UTC)
Path length
0.5 miles (0.8 km)
Path width
80 yards (73 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$10,000
County
Loudoun County
Touchdown point
39.270, -77.630
Lift-off point
39.270, -77.630
Record number
1205

What the Weather Service recorded

Like a broken record, severe weather erupted again in northern and western Virginia - exactly one day after thunderstorms pounded many of the same areas. This time around, a cold front aided in triggering the episode, though upper-level wind shear was a major player in destabilizing the atmosphere much like it had done the previous day. Incredibly, the 16th would be the third out of four afternoons that severe weather had occurred in some portion of northern and western Virginia.A comma-shaped line of thunderstorms - indicative of a mesoscale low pressure system - developed by the middle of the afternoon. The comma "head" curled from eastern West Virginia into western Maryland, then formed a line through western and central Virginia. Several tornadoes touched down in the vicinity of the comma head, from extreme northwestern Virginia through eastern West Virginia and northern and western Maryland; along the comma tail, individual cells produced large hail with some damaging wind gusts.Damage to trees and wires occurred in many areas but, overall, was not quite as substantial when compared to that of the 13th. Nevertheless, several trees were uprooted, including one which fell onto an automobile, between Harrisonburg and Broadway (Rockingham Co). Numerous trees were reported down near Craigsville (Augusta Co). Farther east, trees were down in portions of Fauquier, Loudoun, and Prince William Cos. A late storm produced damaging winds across much of Highland Co; numerous trees and wires were knocked down.A small tornado struck in and northeast of Clear Brook (northeast Frederick Co), uprooting at least 7 maple trees, smashing a storm window, flattening a barn, and snapping or uprooting 24 additional trees along Grace Church Road. The parent thunderstorm would continue into eastern West Virginia and western Maryland, producing additional tornadoes. Allegheny Power reported 2300 customers lost electricity in Frederick Co alone. Another small tornado touched down in Lovettsville, causing structural damage at one residence and felling numerous trees in a 200-300 ft. wide path. Straight-line wind damage (mainly to trees) was also noted in other areas of northwestern Loudoun Co.The main severe weather culprit this day was large hail. Hailstones the size of baseballs dented cars, broke vehicle windows, and stripped paint and siding in portions of Madison, Augusta, Albemarle, Greene, and Culpeper Cos. In general, hail ranged from 1 to 2.75 inches in diameter. There were likely dozens of crop fields which sustained losses; a few residential gardens were wiped out by the large hail, which lasted 5 minutes or more in some locations.Lightning also caused some damage. A home was set afire in Loudoun Co, causing an estimated $200 thousand in damage. A security guard at Fort Belvoir (southern Fairfax Co) was shocked while opening a metal door; he was treated and released from the Army community hospital after slight numbness ensued. Other lightning damage was noted in Fredericksburg; one home was struck, sustaining minor damage; there were several instances of personal electronics equipment failures (as reported by a local repair shop).Power outages were widespread; in all, Virginia Power reported approximately 64,000 customers without electricity in northern and western Virginia; Allegheny Power and several rural electric co-operatives reported at least 3,000 additional outages.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
21:27 UTC22:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 11:03 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), 12:00Z

9.9 hours before the tornado, 41 km from the path. June 16, 1998.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 1998-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 5 joules per kilogram, CIN -115, lifted condensation level 1062 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 1998-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 118 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 42 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-115 J/kg
Surface CAPE
39 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1062 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
118 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), 00:00Z

2.1 hours after it, 41 km from the path. June 17, 1998.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 1998-06-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2 joules per kilogram, CIN -374, lifted condensation level 1742 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 1998-06-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 314 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 23 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-374 J/kg
Surface CAPE
385 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1742 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
314 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
349 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
5.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Leesburg/Godfrey (JYO), 22 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
19:58 UTC89.664.4260° 5 kt1004.7
20:18 UTC89.662.6270° 5 kt1004.7
20:38 UTC89.662.60° 0 kt1005.1
20:58 UTC87.864.4170° 7 kt1005.1
21:18 UTC82.469.8150° 5 kt1004.7
21:40 UTC78.869.8170° 9 kt151004.7
21:57 UTC71.662.6250° 26 kt371006.8
22:17 UTC6864.4250° 5 kt211007.8
22:37 UTC69.866.20° 0 kt1007.5
22:56 UTC69.866.2140° 6 kt1005.4
23:17 UTC69.866.2340° 5 kt1006.8
23:37 UTC69.866.2330° 6 kt1007.1

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 35 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:55 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 1998 tornado in VirginiaEvery tornado in Virginia since 1950Warnings in force in Virginia nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of June 16, 1998

14 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
June 1610:15 AM MDTF0Butte, ID0.130
June 163:00 PM CDTF0Freeborn, MN0.550
June 164:00 PM CDTF0Waushara, WI0.130
June 165:28 PM EDTF0Westmoreland, PA0.250$10,000
June 164:35 PM CDTF1Frederick, VA to WV3.5100$100,000
June 166:05 PM EDTF1Cambria, PA0.2100
June 166:08 PM EDTF1Berkeley, WV1.0150$100,000
June 166:12 PM EDTF1Washington, MD3.02001$200,000
June 166:21 PM EDTF1Washington, MD5.0100$200,000
June 166:30 PM EDTF1Washington, MD2.080$10,000
June 166:35 PM EDTF0Frederick, MD0.550$10,000
June 166:38 PM EDTF0Carroll, MD0.550$20,000
June 166:50 PM EDTF1Lycoming, PA2.0250
June 167:50 PM EDTF1Lycoming, PA0.230

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.