Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2023

EF1 tornado, Appleby to Holly Spgs, Texas, March 2, 2023

From Appleby to Holly Spgs, this EF1 tornado ran 3.1 miles across Nacogdoches County on March 2, 2023, touching down at 10:51 PM CST and reaching 1,000 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
March 2, 2023
Touchdown
10:51 PM CST (04:51 UTC)
Lifted
10:58 PM CST (04:58 UTC)
On the ground
7 minutes
Path length
3.1 miles (5.0 km)
Path width
1,000 yards (914 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Nacogdoches County
Touchdown point
31.723, -94.640
Lift-off point
31.740, -94.591
Record number
2303022251-01

The damage survey

12 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS SHV, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 100 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A potent upper-level trough progressed from the Four-Corners Region into the Texas Panhandle by late in the afternoon on March 2nd. Strong warm and moist air advection was ongoing in advance of the trough earlier in the morning. This resulted in scattered convection, but this had little effect on increasing instability through the afternoon as temperatures warmed into the mid and upper 70s to lower and mid 80s. Additionally, backing surface winds also promoted increasing low-level shear as well as deep-layer shear with a 50-60 knot low-level jet surging east ahead of the trough and advancing cold front. This environment was supportive of several supercells that developed by late afternoon into the early evening hours, producing several tornadoes in addition to large hail and damaging wind gusts. As the cold front surged east of I-35 by early in the evening, the storm mode eventually became more linear with an increasing threat of more widespread damaging winds along the complex of storms while the threats of large hail and isolated tornadoes continued through the end of the event.

An EF-1 tornado with estimated maximum winds near 100 mph touched down about 8 miles to the north northeast of Nacogdoches near the Appleby community. Damage to trees was seen along FM Road 2864 along and north of County Road 106 where large trees were either uprooted or snapped at their trunks. From there, the tornado tracked to the northeast where additional damage was found near County Road 125 and County Road 127 just north of US Highway 59. The tornado caused some additional tree damage off Hidden Valley Drive just to the south and east of US Highway 59 before lifting shortly thereafter.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

17 minutes of warning. NWS SHV issued a tornado warning for this county at 04:34 UTC, 17 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 05:15 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 01:56 UTC and running to 05:52 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
18:00 UTC18:00 UTCWind AdvisorySHV
01:56 UTC05:52 UTCTornado WatchSHV
03:54 UTC05:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHV
04:34 UTC05:15 UTCTornado WarningSHV
04:52 UTC05:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHV
05:10 UTC05:24 UTCTornado WarningSHV
05:41 UTC06:20 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHV

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 01:00 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), 00:00Z

4.9 hours before the tornado, 116 km from the path. March 3, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2023-03-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 937 joules per kilogram, CIN -4, lifted condensation level 801 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2023-03-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 321 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 71 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
937 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1779 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
801 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
71 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
321 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
466 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.9
Supercell composite
16.6
0-3 km lapse rate
5.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), 12:00Z

7.1 hours after it, 116 km from the path. March 3, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2023-03-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -86556, lifted condensation level 694 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2023-03-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -272 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 106 knots.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-86556 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
694 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
106 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-272 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-301 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Nacogdoches (Awos) (OCH), 19 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
02:55 UTC180° 9 kt995.9
02:56 UTC7472170° 9 kt995.9
03:00 UTC180° 10 kt16995.9
03:05 UTC180° 11 kt995.6
03:10 UTC170° 9 kt995.6
03:15 UTC170° 10 kt16995.6
03:20 UTC160° 10 kt995.6
03:25 UTC160° 11 kt995.3
03:30 UTC160° 9 kt995.3
03:35 UTC160° 11 kt995.3
03:40 UTC150° 11 kt994.9
03:45 UTC150° 10 kt994.9
03:50 UTC160° 11 kt994.9
03:55 UTC160° 13 kt994.6
03:56 UTC7472160° 14 kt17994.6
04:00 UTC150° 11 kt16994.2
04:05 UTC160° 11 kt16994.2
04:10 UTC150° 13 kt993.9
04:15 UTC150° 15 kt21993.6
04:20 UTC160° 15 kt993.6
04:25 UTC160° 10 kt993.6
04:30 UTC160° 13 kt993.9
04:35 UTC180° 9 kt994.6
04:39 UTC73.471.6190° 14 kt19994.6VCTS
04:40 UTC 13 kt994.6
04:45 UTC200° 11 kt994.6
04:50 UTC220° 10 kt994.9
04:55 UTC 34995.3
04:56 UTC7469300° 26 kt34995.9TS HZ
05:00 UTC 17 kt995.9BR
05:02 UTC64.464.4300° 21 kt34995.6TS BR
05:05 UTC280° 16 kt997.3BR
05:10 UTC62.662.6280° 13 kt28997.3TS BR
05:10 UTC280° 13 kt997.3BR
05:15 UTC270° 11 kt997.3BR
05:20 UTC300° 9 kt997.3BR
05:22 UTC62.662.6300° 7 kt997.3TS
05:25 UTC310° 7 kt997.3
05:30 UTC300° 5 kt997
05:35 UTC330° 7 kt997
05:40 UTC330° 5 kt997
05:45 UTC340° 7 kt997
05:50 UTC260° 4 kt997.3
05:51 UTC60.860.8 3 kt997
05:55 UTC0° 0 kt997
05:56 UTC6161 3 kt996.6
06:00 UTC80° 4 kt996.3
06:05 UTC0° 0 kt996.6
06:10 UTC0° 0 kt996.6
06:14 UTC60.860.8310° 3 kt996.6
06:15 UTC320° 2 kt996.3
06:20 UTC320° 5 kt996.3
06:25 UTC310° 4 kt996.6
06:30 UTC250° 4 kt997
06:35 UTC280° 5 kt997
06:40 UTC290° 4 kt997
06:45 UTC290° 4 kt996.6
06:50 UTC300° 5 kt996.3

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 108 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 04:51 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
03:58 UTCTSTM WND DMG12 N KennardHouston, TXPICTURE RECEIVED FROM COUNTY EM SHOWING ROOF DAMAGE TO A HOME NEAR WECHES, TX. TIME IS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
04:24 UTCTSTM WND DMGAltoCherokee, TXNUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWNED ACROSS THE ENTIRE COUNTY.
04:36 UTCTSTM WND DMG8 Nw Mount EnterpriseRusk, TXSEVERAL TREES DOWNED NEAR FM 1798 AND COUNTY ROAD 2174 NEAR LANEVILLE, TEXAS.
04:51 UTCTSTM WND GST 604 Nw ApplebyNacogdoches, TXRECORDED AT REMOTE AUTOMATIC WEATHER STATION (RAWS) LMJT2, JUST NORTH OF NACOGDOCHES, TX.
04:51 UTCTORNADO2 W ApplebyNacogdoches, TXA BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE APPLEBY COMMUNITY. DAMAGE CONSISTED OF MOSTLY TREES SNAPPED AND/OR UPROOTED. TORNADO LIFTED APPROXIMATELY 10:58 PM WITH ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS OF 100 MPH, A PATH LENGTH OF 3.1 MILES AN
05:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N NacogdochesNacogdoches, TXNUMEROUS TREES DOWNED ACROSS THE ENTIRE COUNTY. ONE TREE WAS DOWNED ON A HOME ON FM 2609 NEAR NACOGDOCHES, TEXAS.
05:13 UTCTSTM WND DMGTimpsonShelby, TXNUMEROUS TREES DOWNED ACROSS THE ENTIRE COUNTY. THE ROOF WAS REMOVED FROM A LOCAL ACE HARDWARE STORE IN TIMPSON, TEXAS. TREES WERE DOWNED ON FM 947, 414 AND 699.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2023 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 2, 2023

10 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 26:55 AM ESTEF0Hamilton, TN2.2100
March 26:16 AM CSTEF0Marion, TN0.3100
March 24:20 PM CSTEF1Hopkins, TX8.275
March 25:00 PM CSTEF0Franklin, TX5.4100
March 25:05 PM CSTEF1Marion, TX3.3400$25,000
March 25:34 PM CSTEF1Cass, TX1.2475$25,000
March 25:35 PM CSTEF1Caddo Parish, LA4.81002$50 million
March 25:58 PM CSTEF1Miller, AR1.8475$25,000
March 29:05 PM CSTEF1McCurtain, OK4.8390$10,000
March 210:50 PM CSTEF2Pike, AR1.83005

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.