Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2023

EF1 tornado, Ft Stockton to Baldridge, Texas, June 2, 2023

From Ft Stockton to Baldridge, this EF1 tornado ran 2.3 miles across Pecos County on June 2, 2023, touching down at 1:57 PM CDT and reaching 125 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
June 2, 2023
Touchdown
1:57 PM CDT (18:57 UTC)
Lifted
2:15 PM CDT (19:15 UTC)
On the ground
18 minutes
Path length
2.3 miles (3.6 km)
Path width
125 yards (114 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Pecos County
Touchdown point
30.870, -102.660
Lift-off point
30.850, -102.630
Record number
2306021257-01

The damage survey

12 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MAF, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 104 mph.

  • Point to indicate width, soto plant displaced
  • Point used to mark width/less vegetation damage.
  • Smaller mesquite uprooted nearby
  • Clear convergence of vegetation

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A large closed upper-low was located over the northern Great Plains with a shortwave trough to the south within the sub-tropical jet stream. These features helped bring rich moisture and instability into the region. Widespread strong to severe thunderstorms developed across much of the region. The Permian Basin and the Stockton Plateau were the two main areas of note. Severe winds, large hail. and a brief tornado was observed in this northern complex. To the south, several long-track, cyclic supercells produced tornadoes and very large hail over rural portions of Pecos and Terrell Counties.

A few storm chasers reported a tornado northeast of Fort Stockton that lifted within a few minutes after they spotted it. Their videos and photos were used in conjunction with radar to determine the approximate path and time of this tornado. Due to the rural location and lack of damage indicators, no damage was found and the tornado was rated EF-Unknown. Path width is also estimated.

A tornado began near the I-10 and Hwy 67 junction east of Fort Stockton in Pecos County. Damage indicators show that the tornado began as an EF-0 before growing in width and strengthening to an EF-1 about 5 minutes after it began. The tornado continued in a southeast direction as an EF-1 before dropping to an EF-0 just before lifting around 20 minutes after it began.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

12 minutes of warning. NWS MAF issued a tornado warning for this county at 18:45 UTC, 12 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 19:30 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 16:57 UTC and running to 01:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
16:57 UTC01:00 UTCTornado WatchMAF
17:17 UTC18:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
17:57 UTC19:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
18:16 UTC18:45 UTCTornado WarningMAF
18:45 UTC19:30 UTCTornado WarningMAF
19:19 UTC20:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
19:23 UTC19:45 UTCTornado WarningMAF
19:44 UTC20:30 UTCTornado WarningMAF
19:58 UTC21:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
20:07 UTC22:15 UTCFlash Flood WarningMAF
20:18 UTC22:15 UTCFlash Flood WarningMAF
20:27 UTC21:15 UTCTornado WarningMAF
20:57 UTC22:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
21:01 UTC23:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningMAF
21:13 UTC22:00 UTCTornado WarningMAF
21:49 UTC22:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
22:06 UTC22:45 UTCTornado WarningMAF
22:23 UTC22:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
22:32 UTC00:30 UTCFlash Flood WarningMAF
22:42 UTC23:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 15:56 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), 12:00Z

7.0 hours before the tornado, 128 km from the path. June 2, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2023-06-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1081 joules per kilogram, CIN -204, lifted condensation level 975 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2023-06-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 162 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 54 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1081 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-204 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1367 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
975 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
162 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2
0-3 km lapse rate
5.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), 00:00Z

5.0 hours after it, 128 km from the path. June 3, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2023-06-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 894 joules per kilogram, CIN -69, lifted condensation level 1528 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2023-06-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 117 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 53 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
894 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-69 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2086 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1528 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
117 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
349 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
14.6
0-3 km lapse rate
8.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Fort Stockton (FST), 27 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
16:30 UTC170° 5 kt1012.5
16:35 UTC200° 7 kt1012.5
16:40 UTC210° 5 kt1012.5
16:45 UTC160° 2 kt1012.2
16:50 UTC 1012.2
16:53 UTC8264 1012.2
16:55 UTC160° 11 kt1012.2
17:00 UTC120° 11 kt1012.2
17:05 UTC100° 10 kt1012.2
17:10 UTC100° 11 kt1011.9
17:15 UTC110° 14 kt1011.9
17:20 UTC110° 11 kt1011.5
17:25 UTC 1011.5
17:30 UTC60° 5 kt1011.2
17:35 UTC140° 13 kt211010.5
17:40 UTC160° 11 kt1011.2
17:45 UTC170° 11 kt1011.2
17:48 UTC82.460.8150° 10 kt181011.2VCTS
17:50 UTC160° 10 kt151010.8
17:53 UTC8362160° 12 kt191010.8VCTS
17:55 UTC 181010.8
18:00 UTC160° 11 kt1010.2
18:05 UTC 1010.2
18:10 UTC 1012.2
18:12 UTC7359300° 16 kt321011.5TS
18:15 UTC 241011.2
18:20 UTC 281010.5-RA
18:21 UTC6860290° 20 kt301011.2-TSRA
18:25 UTC 241011.5-RA
18:30 UTC 231011.5
18:35 UTC 311010.8
18:40 UTC330° 9 kt1010.8
18:45 UTC 1010.8
18:50 UTC20° 10 kt1011.2
18:53 UTC735930° 10 kt181011.2TS
18:55 UTC40° 11 kt1011.2
19:00 UTC746040° 15 kt1011.2VCTS
19:00 UTC40° 14 kt1011.2
19:05 UTC50° 14 kt1011.2
19:10 UTC50° 13 kt1010.8
19:15 UTC50° 15 kt1010.5
19:20 UTC80° 15 kt1010.5
19:25 UTC80° 14 kt1010.5
19:27 UTC756580° 15 kt1010.2
19:30 UTC70° 17 kt1010.2
19:35 UTC70° 16 kt1010.2
19:40 UTC70° 15 kt1009.8
19:45 UTC80° 17 kt1009.8
19:50 UTC80° 15 kt1009.8
19:53 UTC806280° 16 kt1009.8
19:55 UTC80° 14 kt1009.8
20:00 UTC100° 13 kt1010.2
20:05 UTC100° 22 kt1010.2
20:10 UTC100° 18 kt241009.8
20:15 UTC110° 19 kt1009.5
20:20 UTC100° 18 kt1009.5
20:25 UTC 1009.5

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 128 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 18:57 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
18:20 UTCTSTM WND DMG9 N Fort StocktonPecos, TXPower poles down along SH18. Time estimated from radar.
18:20 UTCTSTM WND DMG9 N Fort StocktonPecos, TXPower poles down along SH18. Time estimated from radar.
18:24 UTCHAIL 1.759 N Fort StocktonPecos, TXGolf ball sized hail observed along SH18 north of Ft Stockton.
18:24 UTCHAIL 1.759 N Fort StocktonPecos, TXGolf ball sized hail observed along SH18 north of Ft Stockton.
18:29 UTCTORNADO6 Ne Fort StocktonPecos, TXA few storm chasers reported a tornado northeast of Fort Stockton that lifted within a few minutes after they spotted it. Their videos and photos were used in conjunction with radar to determine an approximate path and t
18:34 UTCTORNADO6 Ne Fort StocktonPecos, TXTornado observed/photographed 6NE Fort Stockton. Time estimated from radar.
18:34 UTCTORNADO6 Ne Fort StocktonPecos, TXTornado observed/photographed 6NE Fort Stockton. Time estimated from radar.
18:52 UTCTORNADO11 E Fort StocktonPecos, TXTornado observed crossing I-10 just before the junction with US385. Time estimated from radar/chaser report.
18:52 UTCTORNADO11 E Fort StocktonPecos, TXTornado observed crossing I-10 just before the junction with US385. Time estimated from radar/chaser report.
18:57 UTCTORNADO13 E Fort StocktonPecos, TXA tornado began near the I-10 and Hwy 67 junction east of Fort Stockton in Pecos County. Damage indicators show that the tornado began as a EF-0 before growing in width and strengthening to an EF-1 about 5 minutes after
19:32 UTCHAIL 1.7518 Wsw BakersfieldPecos, TXEM also reports broken power poles.
19:32 UTCHAIL 1.7518 Wsw BakersfieldPecos, TXEM also reports broken power poles. 5 miles south of I-10 on FM 2023.
19:32 UTCHAIL 1.7518 Wsw BakersfieldPecos, TXEM also reports broken power poles. 5 miles south of I-10 on FM 2023.
19:42 UTCHAIL 2.517 Sw BakersfieldPecos, TXEM reports tennis ball sized hail 10 miles south of I-10 on FM 2023.
19:42 UTCHAIL 2.517 Sw BakersfieldPecos, TXEM reports tennis ball sized hail 10 miles south of I-10 on FM 2023.
19:55 UTCHAIL 1.7517 Sw BakersfieldPecos, TXEM reports golf ball size hail on FM 2023 south of I-10.
19:55 UTCHAIL 1.7517 Sw BakersfieldPecos, TXEM reports golf ball size hail on FM 2023 south of I-10.
20:41 UTCTORNADO18 S BakersfieldPecos, TXOne eyewitness captured a tornado likely in the dissipating stage roughly 10 miles southwest of Sheffield. It is possible the tornado lasted shorter or longer than the estimated time and may have lifted and touched down
20:53 UTCHAIL 2.7518 Sse BakersfieldPecos, TXAlong Harral rd. just west of S St. Hwy 2886.
20:53 UTCHAIL 2.7518 Sse BakersfieldPecos, TXAlong Harral rd. just west of S St. Hwy 2886.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2023 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of June 2, 2023

7 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
June 21:29 PM CDTUnratedPecos, TX4.425
June 21:29 PM CDTUnratedGaines, TX0.350
June 23:41 PM CDTUnratedPecos, TX20.525
June 24:09 PM CDTUnratedHamilton, NE4.940
June 24:29 PM CDTUnratedHamilton, NE1.440
June 24:53 PM CDTEF0Merrick, NE4.240$400,000
June 26:45 PM CDTUnratedTerrell, TX21.2200

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.