Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2021

EF1 tornado, Cut And Shoot, Texas, December 18, 2021

This EF1 tornado ran 1.6 miles across Montgomery County on December 18, 2021, touching down at 10:47 AM CST and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $200,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
December 18, 2021
Touchdown
10:47 AM CST (16:47 UTC)
Lifted
10:52 AM CST (16:52 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
1.6 miles (2.5 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$200,000
County
Montgomery County
Touchdown point
30.388, -95.307
Lift-off point
30.394, -95.282
Record number
2112181047-01

The damage survey

7 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS HGX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 90 mph.

  • Larger trees uprooted. Some trunks snapped smaller trees.
  • Small area of damage. Trees downed pointing NE. Could be tornadic or more likely RFD winds.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A cold front produced showers and thunderstorms that generated some wind damage and an EF-1 tornado in Montgomery County.

This EF1 morning tornado tracked along a path from East Williams Road across Hillcrest and Magnolia Drives. Numerous large trees were uprooted. Some smaller pines had trunks snapped. A few trees fell on homes.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
16:21 UTC16:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX
16:39 UTC16:59 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX
16:52 UTC17:15 UTCTornado WarningHGX
16:57 UTC17:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX
17:15 UTC19:15 UTCFlood AdvisoryHGX
17:29 UTC17:48 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:25 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), 12:00Z

4.8 hours before the tornado, 203 km from the path. December 18, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-12-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1750 joules per kilogram, CIN -4, lifted condensation level 441 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-12-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 120 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 37 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1750 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Surface CAPE
101 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
441 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
120 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
5.7
0-3 km lapse rate
3.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), 00:00Z

7.2 hours after it, 203 km from the path. December 19, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2021-12-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -18868, lifted condensation level 608 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2021-12-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -131 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 50 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-18868 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
608 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-131 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-84 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Conroe/Montgomery County Airport (CXO), 12 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
14:50 UTC130° 4 kt1014.2BR
14:53 UTC7070140° 4 kt1014.6BR
14:55 UTC130° 5 kt1014.6BR
15:00 UTC130° 5 kt1014.2-RA BR
15:00 UTC7069130° 6 kt1014.2-TSRA BR
15:03 UTC7070140° 7 kt1014.6-TSRA BR
15:05 UTC140° 8 kt1014.6-RA BR
15:10 UTC130° 7 kt1014.2RA BR
15:15 UTC7070120° 7 kt1014.2-RA BR
15:15 UTC120° 7 kt1014.2-RA BR
15:20 UTC110° 5 kt1014.6BR
15:25 UTC110° 4 kt1014.6BR
15:30 UTC100° 4 kt1014.6-RA BR
15:32 UTC707090° 4 kt1014.6-TSRA BR
15:35 UTC90° 4 kt1014.6-RA BR
15:40 UTC100° 8 kt1014.2+RA BR
15:45 UTC130° 9 kt1014.2+RA BR
15:50 UTC140° 9 kt1014.2+RA FG
15:53 UTC7070100° 11 kt1013.9+TSRA FG
15:55 UTC100° 7 kt1013.9+RA FG
16:00 UTC90° 5 kt1013.5+RA FG
16:04 UTC6969 4 kt1013.5+TSRA BR
16:09 UTC6969 3 kt1013.9TSRA BR
16:10 UTC70° 5 kt1013.9RA BR
16:15 UTC60° 4 kt1013.5RA BR
16:20 UTC0° 0 kt1013.2+RA BR
16:25 UTC 1013.2RA BR
16:30 UTC 13 kt211013.2+RA BR
16:34 UTC696840° 17 kt251013.2+TSRA BR
16:35 UTC 11 kt1013.5+RA BR
16:40 UTC300° 10 kt1013.5+RA BR
16:45 UTC6868280° 11 kt191013.9+TSRA BR
16:45 UTC 10 kt1013.9+RA BR
16:48 UTC6868 4 kt191014.2-TSRA BR
16:50 UTC 10 kt171014.6-RA BR
16:53 UTC6767290° 26 kt481014.9+TSRA BR
16:55 UTC330° 421015.6+RA BR
16:55 UTC6665330° 25 kt481015.6+TSRA BR
17:00 UTC 16 kt241016.6+RA FG
17:05 UTC350° 7 kt1016.3+RA FG
17:08 UTC6363340° 11 kt251015.6+TSRA BR
17:10 UTC30° 11 kt171014.9+RA BR
17:15 UTC20° 11 kt231013.9+RA BR
17:16 UTC636320° 11 kt261013.9+TSRA BR
17:20 UTC10° 11 kt1014.2+RA BR
17:25 UTC10° 11 kt1014.2+RA BR
17:26 UTC636310° 10 kt231014.6+TSRA BR
17:30 UTC330° 7 kt1015.6RA BR
17:35 UTC20° 7 kt1015.6RA BR
17:37 UTC6363 5 kt1015.9+TSRA BR
17:40 UTC30° 5 kt1015.9+RA BR
17:45 UTC20° 8 kt1015.2+RA BR
17:50 UTC10° 9 kt1014.6+RA BR
17:53 UTC636310° 6 kt151014.9+TSRA BR
17:55 UTC360° 9 kt1014.9+RA BR
18:00 UTC10° 10 kt1014.9-RA BR
18:05 UTC20° 7 kt1014.9-RA BR
18:10 UTC40° 8 kt1014.9-RA BR
18:11 UTC636240° 7 kt171014.9-TSRA BR
18:15 UTC50° 5 kt1014.6RA BR
18:20 UTC30° 7 kt1014.6-RA BR
18:25 UTC40° 8 kt1014.6-RA
18:30 UTC30° 5 kt1014.6-RA
18:31 UTC6262 6 kt1014.6VCTS -RA
18:35 UTC360° 5 kt1014.6RA
18:39 UTC6261 6 kt1014.6RA BR
18:40 UTC360° 5 kt1014.9RA BR
18:45 UTC350° 8 kt1014.9-RA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 104 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 16:46 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
16:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Se Panorama VillageMontgomery, TXTREES DOWN ON HILLCREST DRIVE.
16:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 Nnw The WoodlandsMontgomery, TXTREES DOWN, MONTGOMERY DRIVE.
16:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 Nnw The WoodlandsMontgomery, TXCORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 6 NNW THE WOODLANDS. TREES DOWN, MONTGOMERY DRIVE. ADJUSTED TIME BASED ON RADAR.
16:47 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Ne Cut And ShootMontgomery, TXTREES DOWN POINTING NE.
16:47 UTCTORNADO5 Ne Cut And ShootMontgomery, TXTORNADO TRACKED FOR AROUND 5 MINUTES FROM 1047 AM TO 1052 AM ACROSS E WILLIAMS RD, HILLCREST AND MAGNOLIA DR IN FAR NE MONTGOMERY COUNTY. UNABLE TO VERIFY DAMAGE ACROSS PEACH CREEK IN SAN JACINTO COUNTY AT THIS TIME BUT
16:52 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nne Cut And ShootMontgomery, TXPOSSIBLE TORNADO. REPORTS OF DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.