Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2020

Unrated tornado, Wright Patman Lake to Redwater, Texas, May 16, 2020

From Wright Patman Lake to Redwater, this Unrated tornado ran 2.6 miles across Cass and Bowie counties on May 16, 2020, touching down at 3:37 PM CDT and reaching 40 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unratedthis tornado

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
Unrated
Date
May 16, 2020
Touchdown
3:37 PM CDT (20:37 UTC)
Lifted
3:39 PM CDT (20:39 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
2.6 miles (4.2 km)
Path width
40 yards (37 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Counties
Cass and Bowie counties
Touchdown point
33.278, -94.186
Lift-off point
33.311, -94.210
Record number
2005161437-01

The damage survey

6 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS SHV, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 95 mph.

  • A waterspout was captured on video by a game warden and remained over water.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A slow moving upper level low pressure system drifted east across Central and Eastern Texas during the daytime hours of May 16th. Meanwhile, the attendant surface low pressure system over East Central Texas drifted east into Northeast Texas during the afternoon, with a southerly low level jet allowing for a warm front to mix north into East Texas, extreme Northern Louisiana, into Southern Arkansas through the evening. Although daytime heating was limited due to extensive cloud cover and periods of showers, large scale forcing and adequate low level wind shear contributed to the development of numerous low-topped supercell showers and a few thunderstorms, several of which spawned tornadoes and wall clouds across portions of extreme Northeast Texas, Southwest Arkansas, and Southeast Oklahoma throughout the afternoon and evening. As drier air began to entrain ahead of this upper low pressure system, and the warm front had shifted north into the northern sections of Southwest Arkansas by mid-evening, the tornado threat subsided considerably.

A waterspout was documented by video by a game warden on Lake Wright Patman in extreme Northern Cass County. This waterspout then moved northwest into extreme Southern Bowie County across the lake. This waterspout was rated an EF-Unknown due to the lack of damage indicators on the lake.

This is the continuation of the EF-Unknown tornado (waterspout) on Lake Wright Patman from extreme Northern Cass County. This waterspout was documented on video by a game warden moving northwest across the lake, before lifting prior to reaching the land areas. Due to the lack of damage indicators on the lake, this waterspout was rated as EF-Unknown, with a total path length across Cass and Bowie Counties of 2.63 miles.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

29 minutes of warning. NWS SHV issued a tornado warning for this county at 20:08 UTC, 29 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 20:45 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:27 UTC and running to 02:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
19:11 UTC19:18 UTCTornado WarningSHV
20:08 UTC20:45 UTCTornado WarningSHV
20:27 UTC02:00 UTCTornado WatchSHV
20:36 UTC20:48 UTCTornado WarningSHV
21:27 UTC21:46 UTCTornado WarningSHV
21:37 UTC12:00 UTCFlash Flood WatchSHV

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 20:00 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), 12:00Z

8.6 hours before the tornado, 100 km from the path. May 16, 2020.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2020-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 144 joules per kilogram, CIN -88, lifted condensation level 699 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2020-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 20 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 10 knots.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
144 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-88 J/kg
Surface CAPE
632 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
699 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), 00:00Z

3.4 hours after it, 100 km from the path. May 17, 2020.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2020-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 81 joules per kilogram, CIN -18, lifted condensation level 991 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2020-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 97 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 32 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
81 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-18 J/kg
Surface CAPE
300 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
991 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 100 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 20:38 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
20:26 UTCTORNADO8 Ne De KalbBowie, TXSTORM CHASER RECORDED VIDEO OF A TORNADO WEST OF HWY 41 BETWEEN FOREMAN AND NEW BOSTON.
20:37 UTCTORNADO5 Se RedwaterBowie, TXTORNADO DOCUMENTED BY VIDEO BY A GAME WARDEN. RATED EF-U AS NO DAMAGE COULD BE RATED WITH THE TORNADO TOUCHING DOWN AS A WATERSPOUT ON THE LAKE. PATH WIDTH IS ESTIMATED TO BE 40 YARDS WITH A LENGTH OF 2.63 MILES.
20:42 UTCTORNADO5 Se RedwaterBowie, TXGAME WARDEN REPORTS LARGE TORNADO ON LAKE WRIGHT PATMAN.
21:32 UTCTORNADO7 N New BostonBowie, TXSTORM CHASER REPORTS TORNADO ON THE GROUND ALONG HWY 8 NEAR THE RED RIVER.
22:05 UTCTORNADO3 Ne LearyBowie, TXAN EF-1 TORNADO WITH ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 95 MPH BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN NEAR A LARGE HOME ON CLEM RANCH ROAD AND TRACKED NORTHWEST ADJACENT TO A POND TO AKINS ROAD. THE TORNADO TORE PORTIONS OF THE ROOF OFF OF A SI
22:05 UTCTORNADO3 Ne LearyBowie, TXDAMAGE TO A HOME NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF AKIN ROAD AND OAK RIDGE RD IN THE RED LICK COMMUNITY. THERE IS ALSO VIDEO OF THE TORNADO AS IT MOVED THROUGH THAT AREA.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2020 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 16, 2020

12 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 166:48 AM CDTEF1Orange, TX4.525$10,000
May 1612:36 PM CDTEF0Henderson, TX1.0150$50,000
May 161:33 PM CDTEF0Franklin, TX0.630$25,000
May 161:47 PM CDTEF0Van Zandt, TX2.2250$20,000
May 162:35 PM CDTUnratedLittle River, AR to OK2.220
May 165:05 PM CDTEF1Bowie, TX0.230$20,000
May 165:16 PM CDTEF1Miller, AR2.230$50,000
May 165:20 PM CDTEF0McCurtain, OK0.120
May 165:36 PM CDTEF0Little River, AR0.120$2,000
May 165:39 PM CDTEF1Columbia, AR2.650$25,000
May 165:56 PM CDTEF1Nevada, AR1.940$50,000
May 166:46 PM CDTEF0Hempstead, AR0.520

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.