Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2019

Unrated tornado, Millers Creek Res Dam, Texas, May 1, 2019

This Unrated tornado ran 1.3 miles across Baylor County on May 1, 2019, touching down at 2:01 PM CDT and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unratedthis tornado

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
Unrated
Date
May 1, 2019
Touchdown
2:01 PM CDT (19:01 UTC)
Lifted
2:24 PM CDT (19:24 UTC)
On the ground
23 minutes
Path length
1.3 miles (2.1 km)
Path width
200 yards (183 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Baylor County
Touchdown point
33.402, -99.217
Lift-off point
33.414, -99.199
Record number
1905011301-01

What the Weather Service recorded

Outflow boundaries from previous days storms provided focus for thunderstorm development with a variety of severe weather on the 1st.

A number of storm chasers observed a highly-visible slow-moving tornado that moved northeast in far southern Baylor County. The tornado developed just west of US-183/283 less than one-quarter of a mile north of the Throckmorton County line and moved northeast crossing US-183/283 and eventually dissipating approximately a mile east of the the highway. The tornado moved through open rangeland hitting no damage indicators.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

15 minutes of warning. NWS OUN issued a tornado warning for this county at 18:46 UTC, 15 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 19:15 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 18:00 UTC and running to 00:44 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
16:16 UTC12:00 UTCFlood WatchOUN
18:00 UTC00:44 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchOUN
18:18 UTC19:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN
18:46 UTC19:15 UTCTornado WarningOUN
18:58 UTC19:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN
19:08 UTC20:00 UTCTornado WarningOUN
19:22 UTC20:00 UTCTornado WarningOUN
22:04 UTC01:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryOUN

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:16 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), 12:00Z

7.0 hours before the tornado, 190 km from the path. May 1, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2019-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2939 joules per kilogram, CIN -33, lifted condensation level 632 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2019-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 242 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 33 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2939 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-33 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3137 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
632 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
242 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
218 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.3
Supercell composite
11.1
0-3 km lapse rate
5.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), 00:00Z

5.0 hours after it, 190 km from the path. May 2, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-05-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2332 joules per kilogram, CIN -5, lifted condensation level 775 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-05-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 239 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 39 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2332 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2946 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
775 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
239 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
270 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.7
Supercell composite
14.6
0-3 km lapse rate
5.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Graham_muni_arpt (RPH), 69 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
17:15 UTC8272170° 7 kt1012.5
17:35 UTC79.370.2150° 5 kt1012.2
17:55 UTC80.670.7130° 6 kt1011.9
18:15 UTC79.570150° 9 kt141011.9
18:35 UTC82.671150° 9 kt141011.5
18:50 UTC80.670.5130° 9 kt1010.8
19:15 UTC80.271140° 9 kt1010.5
19:35 UTC79.270.5140° 8 kt1010.2
19:55 UTC7870.3120° 4 kt1010.2
20:15 UTC77.769.4130° 6 kt1009.5
20:35 UTC77.469.8150° 4 kt1010.5
20:55 UTC77.269.8110° 3 kt1009.5

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 97 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 19:01 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
18:39 UTCTORNADO11 N ThrockmortonThrockmorton, TX
18:59 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD3 N HaskellHaskell, TXFUNNEL CLOUD W/NW OF HASKELL.
19:03 UTCTORNADO13 S SeymourBaylor, TXTORNADO WAS OBSERVED BY MULTIPLE STORM CHASERS SLOWLY MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST CROSSING US-183. TORNADO WAS OBSERVED FOR AT LEAST 10 MINUTES BEFORE BECOMING WRAPPED IN RAIN.
19:05 UTCHAIL 1.25SeymourBaylor, TX
19:35 UTCHAIL 2.5MegargelArcher, TX
19:40 UTCHAIL 3.53 Sw MegargelBaylor, TXCORRECTED REPORT, REPORT IN CHAT/PICTURE ON TWITTER.
19:51 UTCHAIL 0.755 W HollidayArcher, TX
20:27 UTCHAIL 1.75OlneyYoung, TXGOLFBALL SIZE HAIL IN OLNEY
20:37 UTCHAIL 1.51 Nne OlneyYoung, TXPING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL 1 MILE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF OLNEY
21:13 UTCHAIL 0.88ThrockmortonThrockmorton, TX

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 1, 2019

9 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 16:08 AM CDTEF1Ballard, KY0.685$35,000
May 11:26 PM CDTUnratedJefferson, OK0.520
May 11:30 PM CDTUnratedThrockmorton, TX2.675
May 12:08 PM CDTUnratedJefferson, OK0.230
May 14:21 PM CDTEF0Love, OK3.250$3,000
May 14:46 PM CDTEF0Love, OK0.830$2,000
May 15:17 PM CDTEF1Love, OK6.8150$50,000
May 15:46 PM CDTUnratedHaskell, TX0.030
May 18:23 PM CDTUnratedCoryell, TX0.010

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.