Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2015

EF2 tornado, Floresville to Labatt, Texas, October 30, 2015

From Floresville to Labatt, this EF2 tornado ran 5.3 miles across Wilson County on October 30, 2015, touching down at 6:02 AM CDT and reaching 440 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $1.5 million of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
October 30, 2015
Touchdown
6:02 AM CDT (11:02 UTC)
Lifted
6:11 AM CDT (11:11 UTC)
On the ground
9 minutes
Path length
5.3 miles (8.5 km)
Path width
440 yards (402 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1.5 million
County
Wilson County
Touchdown point
29.127, -98.155
Lift-off point
29.203, -98.150
Record number
1510300502-01

What the Weather Service recorded

A warm front combined with an upper level trough and deep moisture produced heavy rainfall and severe thunderstorms across much of South Central Texas on October 30th and 31st. Damage surveys confirmed four tornadoes. Along with the severe weather, excessive rainfall resulted in widespread flash flooding along the Interstate 35 corridor Friday morning. Rainfall rates on the order of 5-7 inches per hour fell from San Marcos up through South Austin. Historic rainfall totals fell at the Austin Airport where over 1 foot of rain fell within a few hours time. 12.49 inches of rain for Oct 30 was the most ever in one day for Austin. Other daily rainfall totals exceeded 15 inches. Record flooding occurred in southern Travis County and portions of Hays County. River and creek flooding was extensive across Hays, Travis, Bastrop, Caldwell, and Comal Counties. Many areas, especially in San Marcos, compared this flooding to the record flooding of Oct 1998. Estimates of 2000 homes were flooded in or near this I-35 corridor, many of them destroyed or sustained Major damage. Estimates of insured losses were not available as of this writing, but the counties experienced monetary losses in the tens of millions.

A tornado touched down near Hickory Circle about 0.5 miles south of Floresville. The tornado produced tree and minor roof damage across several city streets as it moved north. The damage increased in coverage and intensity as it approached Hwy 181. Just east of the intersection of Hwys 181 and 97, substantial roof damage was observed to a few homes as well as businesses along Hwy 181. This included several campers and recreational vehicles that were destroyed. One 5th wheel camper was thrown on top of a local hotel. One large billboard metal sign and structure was destroyed along with multiple power poles. The damage peaked at Floresville high school. A large two story classroom building on campus had the upper story wall collapse inward which appears to have caused a partial roof collapse of the building. The other side of the building had its wall blown out toward Hwy 97. Winds were estimated to be 120 mph. Other minor window damage and impact damage was observed at the school. The tornado weakened as it continued north of the high |school and west of Hwy 97, producing minor roof, shingle, and tree damage. City damage is estimated at 1.5 million dollars, this does not include insured losses and damage to the High School.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

4 minutes of warning. NWS EWX issued a tornado warning for this county at 10:58 UTC, 4 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 11:10 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
09:39 UTC15:00 UTCFlash Flood WatchEWX
10:31 UTC14:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningEWX
10:34 UTC11:00 UTCTornado WarningEWX
10:58 UTC11:10 UTCTornado WarningEWX
11:07 UTC17:00 UTCTornado WatchEWX
11:13 UTC11:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWX
11:22 UTC12:00 UTCTornado WarningEWX
20:22 UTC15:06 UTCFlood WarningEWX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 05:27 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), 00:00Z

11.0 hours before the tornado, 178 km from the path. October 30, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-10-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1304 joules per kilogram, CIN -7, lifted condensation level 735 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-10-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 90 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 43 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1304 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2061 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
735 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
5.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), 12:00Z

1.0 hours after it, 178 km from the path. October 30, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-10-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1894 joules per kilogram, CIN -8, lifted condensation level 648 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-10-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 138 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 27 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1894 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2329 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
648 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
262 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
5.2
0-3 km lapse rate
5.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 61 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 11:01 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
11:05 UTCTSTM WND DMGFloresvilleWilson, TXEM REPORTS DAMAGE ON THE NW SIDE OF FLORESVILLE. TIN SCATTERED ABOUT PARKING LOTS. A CHAINLINK FENCE HAS BEEN BLOWN OVER. NO STRUCTURAL DAMAGE OBSERVED. POWER IS OUT ACROSS THE TOWN. MOST OF THE DAMAGE IS NEAR HWY 181 AN
11:05 UTCTSTM WND DMGFloresvilleWilson, TXSOCIAL MEDIA AND THE EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS DAMAGE TO THE HIGH SCHOOL IN FLORESVILLE. PICTURES SHOW A HOLE IN THE WALL WITH DAMAGE WHERE THE ROOF MEETS THE WALLS.
11:18 UTCFLASH FLOODLeon ValleyBexar, TXHUEBNER CREEK IS OVER EVERS AND POSS ROAD. 2.75 INCHES OF RAIN SO FAR.
11:30 UTCFLASH FLOODSan AntonioBexar, TXAT LEAST 10 STREETS CLOSED ACROSS THE CITY OF SAN ANTONIO DUE TO FLOODING
12:02 UTCTORNADO1 S FloresvilleWilson, TXEF-2 DAMAGE...TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN BETWEEN 602 AM AND 611 AM CDT...5.25 MILE PATH LENGTH...0.25 MILE MAX PATH WIDTH...120 MPH MAX WIND SPEED.
12:16 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 S GeronimoGuadalupe, TXSEVERAL PICTURES ON SOCIAL MEDIA OF STRUCTURE AND ROOF DAMAGE IN THE GERONIMO AND SEGUIN AREA ALONG HUBER RD.
13:11 UTCTORNADO3 Ssw GeronimoGuadalupe, TX*** 2 INJ *** EF-2 DAMAGE...TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN BETWEEN 711-730 AM CDT...8.25 MILE PATH LENGTH...0.25 MILES MAX WIDTH...111-120 MPH MAX WIND SPEED.
13:11 UTCTORNADO3 Ssw GeronimoGuadalupe, TXEF-2 DAMAGE...TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN BETWEEN 711-730 AM CDT...8.25 MILE PATH LENGTH...0.25 MILES MAX WIDTH...111-120 MPH MAX WIND SPEED.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of October 30, 2015

6 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
October 304:00 AM CDTEF0Medina, TX2.8100$250,000
October 306:36 AM CDTEF1Willacy, TX0.725$50,000
October 306:50 AM CDTEF0Willacy, TX1.6251$50,000
October 307:11 AM CDTEF2Guadalupe, TX8.3440
October 307:28 AM CDTEF1Guadalupe, TX1.4440
October 307:28 AM CDTEF1Hays, TX0.9440

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.