Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2015
EF1 tornado, Kildare to Bancker, Texas, December 27, 2015
From Kildare to Bancker, this EF1 tornado ran 1.3 miles across Cass County on December 27, 2015, touching down at 5:09 PM CST and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- December 27, 2015
- Touchdown
- 5:09 PM CST (23:09 UTC)
- Lifted
- 5:11 PM CST (23:11 UTC)
- On the ground
- 2 minutes
- Path length
- 1.3 miles (2.0 km)
- Path width
- 200 yards (183 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Cass County
- Touchdown point
- 32.905, -94.220
- Lift-off point
- 32.922, -94.213
- Record number
- 1512271709-01
The damage survey
10 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS SHV, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 122 mph.
- tin from roof blown for at least a quarter mile north
- numerous trees snapped, several homes with roof damage
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A strong negatively tilted upper level trough slowly moved into the Central and Southern Plains during the morning of December 27th. This trough of low pressure was accompanied by a strong subtropical jet stream which provided abundant lift necessary for the development of widespread showers and thunderstorms. The trough was able to draw up not only Gulf of Mexico moisture but also Eastern Pacific moisture and with a very slow movement to the activity once it developed, the end result was widespread flooding across a large portion of Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, Southwest Arkansas and Northwest Louisiana. A very unstable airmass for late December was present across the region with a very strongly wind sheared environment. Discrete storms developed across the region ahead of an eventual line of strong to severe thunderstorms. Some of these discrete storms produced tornadoes across the region with several storms producing strong and damaging wind gusts as well. For the month of December, 2015, the city of Tyler, Texas recorded 9.77 inches of rain which was their 3rd wettest December on record. At the conclusion of December, the city of Tyler, Texas also recorded their all time wettest year on record with a total of 68.05 inches for the year. For the city of Longview, Texas ,the city recorded their 5th wettest year on record with a total of 68.02 inches.
A NWS Storm Survey Team concluded that damage in southeast Cass County was consistent with that of a brief EF-1 tornado touchdown. This tornado touchdown was mainly across more rural areas of Cass County and uprooted and/or snapped several trees along its short track along FM. 125.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
8 minutes of warning. NWS SHV issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:01 UTC, 8 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:30 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:50 UTC and running to 04:00 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:42 UTC | 06:00 UTC | Lake Wind Advisory | SHV |
| 15:12 UTC | 20:50 UTC | Tornado Watch | SHV |
| 20:50 UTC | 04:00 UTC | Tornado Watch | SHV |
| 21:20 UTC | 06:15 UTC | Flash Flood Warning | SHV |
| 22:17 UTC | 23:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV |
| 22:46 UTC | 23:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV |
| 23:01 UTC | 23:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | SHV |
| 23:22 UTC | 23:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | SHV |
| 23:42 UTC | 00:08 UTC | Tornado Warning | SHV |
| 01:25 UTC | 02:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | SHV |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 20:01 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Shreveport, LA (KBAD), 12:00Z
11.2 hours before the tornado, 65 km from the path. December 27, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 625 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -20 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 1092 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 707 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 350 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 426 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.1
- Supercell composite
- 8.3
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.3 K/km
Shreveport, LA (KBAD), 00:00Z
0.8 hours after it, 65 km from the path. December 28, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 692 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -10 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 827 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1047 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 360 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 462 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.9
- Supercell composite
- 9.3
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.6 K/km
The surface observations
Marshall (ASL), 45 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:15 UTC | 75.2 | 66.56 | 160° 9 kt | 14 | 1001 | |
| 21:35 UTC | 75.2 | 66.2 | 140° 11 kt | 16 | 1001 | |
| 21:55 UTC | 75.2 | 66.2 | 150° 8 kt | 14 | 1001 | |
| 22:15 UTC | 75.2 | 66.2 | 140° 3 kt | 1000.3 | ||
| 22:35 UTC | 75.2 | 65.3 | 170° 15 kt | 18 | 1000.7 | |
| 22:55 UTC | 71 | 66.38 | 250° 5 kt | 16 | 1001 | |
| 23:15 UTC | 70 | 67 | 150° 3 kt | 1001.4 | ||
| 23:35 UTC | 70 | 66.56 | 160° 7 kt | 1001.4 | ||
| 23:55 UTC | 70 | 66.56 | 0° 0 kt | 1001 | ||
| 00:15 UTC | 70 | 66.38 | 120° 3 kt | 1000.7 | ||
| 00:35 UTC | 70 | 66.2 | 140° 9 kt | 18 | 999.3 | |
| 00:55 UTC | 70 | 66 | 220° 3 kt | 1000.7 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 62 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:09 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:39 UTC | TORNADO | 6 Nne Marshall | Harrison, TX | AN EF2 TORNADO BEGAN ALONG SUBURBAN ACRES ROAD...AND THEN MOVED NORTH WHERE IT DAMAGED SEVERAL HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS ALONG FM1793. TWO MOBILE HOMES WERE COMPLETELY DESTROYED ALONG FM1793. SEVERAL MORE HOMES AND OUTBUILD |
| 22:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 8 Ne Marshall | Harrison, TX | 8 TO 10 DAMAGED HOMES ON FM-1793 NORTH OF MARSHALL. SOME DIRECTLY DAMAGED FROM STORMS AND SOME FROM TREES. |
| 22:40 UTC | TORNADO | 6 N Marshall | Harrison, TX | TORNADO DETECTION SIGNATURE NOTED ON KSHV RADAR. TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN UNDER A LARGE RAPIDLY ROTATING WALL CLOUD. |
| 23:09 UTC | TORNADO | 9 Se Linden | Cass, TX | A WEAK EF-1 TORNADO SNAPPED AND UPROOTED SEVERAL TREES ALONG FM 125 IN SOUTHEAST CASS COUNTY. THE PATH LENGTH WAS 1.3 MILES...THE MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH WAS 200 YARDS...AND THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WINDS WERE 85-95 MPH. |
| 23:45 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | N Jefferson | Marion, TX | FM 1793 TO FM 134 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of December 27, 2015
12 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 27 | 3:06 PM CST | EF0 | Bowie, TX | 2.9 | 75 | $15,000 | ||
| December 27 | 3:24 PM CST | EF1 | Upshur, TX | 8.0 | 1,338 | $45,000 | ||
| December 27 | 3:32 PM CST | EF1 | Calhoun, AR | 7.1 | 100 | $150,000 | ||
| December 27 | 3:36 PM CST | EF1 | Hempstead, AR | 0.8 | 350 | $15,000 | ||
| December 27 | 3:56 PM CST | EF1 | Calhoun, AR | 7.2 | 400 | $50,000 | ||
| December 27 | 4:36 PM CST | EF1 | Nevada, AR | 3.9 | 353 | $100,000 | ||
| December 27 | 4:39 PM CST | EF2 | Harrison, TX | 7.8 | 300 | $300,000 | ||
| December 27 | 5:06 PM CST | EF1 | Bradley, AR | 7.1 | 200 | $75,000 | ||
| December 27 | 6:06 PM CST | EF1 | Drew, AR | 5.7 | 150 | $50,000 | ||
| December 27 | 8:10 PM CST | EF1 | Caddo Parish, LA | 0.1 | 41 | $5,000 | ||
| December 27 | 8:16 PM CST | EF1 | Caddo Parish, LA | 2.3 | 144 | $250,000 | ||
| December 27 | 11:10 PM CST | EF1 | Claiborne Parish, LA | 0.2 | 21 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.