Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2015

EF1 tornado, Kildare to Bancker, Texas, December 27, 2015

From Kildare to Bancker, this EF1 tornado ran 1.3 miles across Cass County on December 27, 2015, touching down at 5:09 PM CST and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
December 27, 2015
Touchdown
5:09 PM CST (23:09 UTC)
Lifted
5:11 PM CST (23:11 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
1.3 miles (2.0 km)
Path width
200 yards (183 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Cass County
Touchdown point
32.905, -94.220
Lift-off point
32.922, -94.213
Record number
1512271709-01

The damage survey

10 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS SHV, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 122 mph.

  • tin from roof blown for at least a quarter mile north
  • numerous trees snapped, several homes with roof damage

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A strong negatively tilted upper level trough slowly moved into the Central and Southern Plains during the morning of December 27th. This trough of low pressure was accompanied by a strong subtropical jet stream which provided abundant lift necessary for the development of widespread showers and thunderstorms. The trough was able to draw up not only Gulf of Mexico moisture but also Eastern Pacific moisture and with a very slow movement to the activity once it developed, the end result was widespread flooding across a large portion of Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, Southwest Arkansas and Northwest Louisiana. A very unstable airmass for late December was present across the region with a very strongly wind sheared environment. Discrete storms developed across the region ahead of an eventual line of strong to severe thunderstorms. Some of these discrete storms produced tornadoes across the region with several storms producing strong and damaging wind gusts as well. For the month of December, 2015, the city of Tyler, Texas recorded 9.77 inches of rain which was their 3rd wettest December on record. At the conclusion of December, the city of Tyler, Texas also recorded their all time wettest year on record with a total of 68.05 inches for the year. For the city of Longview, Texas ,the city recorded their 5th wettest year on record with a total of 68.02 inches.

A NWS Storm Survey Team concluded that damage in southeast Cass County was consistent with that of a brief EF-1 tornado touchdown. This tornado touchdown was mainly across more rural areas of Cass County and uprooted and/or snapped several trees along its short track along FM. 125.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

8 minutes of warning. NWS SHV issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:01 UTC, 8 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:30 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:50 UTC and running to 04:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
11:42 UTC06:00 UTCLake Wind AdvisorySHV
15:12 UTC20:50 UTCTornado WatchSHV
20:50 UTC04:00 UTCTornado WatchSHV
21:20 UTC06:15 UTCFlash Flood WarningSHV
22:17 UTC23:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHV
22:46 UTC23:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHV
23:01 UTC23:30 UTCTornado WarningSHV
23:22 UTC23:45 UTCTornado WarningSHV
23:42 UTC00:08 UTCTornado WarningSHV
01:25 UTC02:00 UTCTornado WarningSHV

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 20:01 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), 12:00Z

11.2 hours before the tornado, 65 km from the path. December 27, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2015-12-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 625 joules per kilogram, CIN -20, lifted condensation level 707 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2015-12-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 350 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 42 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
625 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1092 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
707 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
350 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
426 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.1
Supercell composite
8.3
0-3 km lapse rate
5.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), 00:00Z

0.8 hours after it, 65 km from the path. December 28, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2015-12-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 692 joules per kilogram, CIN -10, lifted condensation level 1047 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2015-12-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 360 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 61 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
692 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-10 J/kg
Surface CAPE
827 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1047 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
360 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
462 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.9
Supercell composite
9.3
0-3 km lapse rate
6.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Marshall (ASL), 45 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
21:15 UTC75.266.56160° 9 kt141001
21:35 UTC75.266.2140° 11 kt161001
21:55 UTC75.266.2150° 8 kt141001
22:15 UTC75.266.2140° 3 kt1000.3
22:35 UTC75.265.3170° 15 kt181000.7
22:55 UTC7166.38250° 5 kt161001
23:15 UTC7067150° 3 kt1001.4
23:35 UTC7066.56160° 7 kt1001.4
23:55 UTC7066.560° 0 kt1001
00:15 UTC7066.38120° 3 kt1000.7
00:35 UTC7066.2140° 9 kt18999.3
00:55 UTC7066220° 3 kt1000.7

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 62 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:09 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:39 UTCTORNADO6 Nne MarshallHarrison, TXAN EF2 TORNADO BEGAN ALONG SUBURBAN ACRES ROAD...AND THEN MOVED NORTH WHERE IT DAMAGED SEVERAL HOMES AND OUTBUILDINGS ALONG FM1793. TWO MOBILE HOMES WERE COMPLETELY DESTROYED ALONG FM1793. SEVERAL MORE HOMES AND OUTBUILD
22:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG8 Ne MarshallHarrison, TX8 TO 10 DAMAGED HOMES ON FM-1793 NORTH OF MARSHALL. SOME DIRECTLY DAMAGED FROM STORMS AND SOME FROM TREES.
22:40 UTCTORNADO6 N MarshallHarrison, TXTORNADO DETECTION SIGNATURE NOTED ON KSHV RADAR. TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN UNDER A LARGE RAPIDLY ROTATING WALL CLOUD.
23:09 UTCTORNADO9 Se LindenCass, TXA WEAK EF-1 TORNADO SNAPPED AND UPROOTED SEVERAL TREES ALONG FM 125 IN SOUTHEAST CASS COUNTY. THE PATH LENGTH WAS 1.3 MILES...THE MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH WAS 200 YARDS...AND THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WINDS WERE 85-95 MPH.
23:45 UTCTSTM WND DMGN JeffersonMarion, TXFM 1793 TO FM 134

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 27, 2015

12 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 273:06 PM CSTEF0Bowie, TX2.975$15,000
December 273:24 PM CSTEF1Upshur, TX8.01,338$45,000
December 273:32 PM CSTEF1Calhoun, AR7.1100$150,000
December 273:36 PM CSTEF1Hempstead, AR0.8350$15,000
December 273:56 PM CSTEF1Calhoun, AR7.2400$50,000
December 274:36 PM CSTEF1Nevada, AR3.9353$100,000
December 274:39 PM CSTEF2Harrison, TX7.8300$300,000
December 275:06 PM CSTEF1Bradley, AR7.1200$75,000
December 276:06 PM CSTEF1Drew, AR5.7150$50,000
December 278:10 PM CSTEF1Caddo Parish, LA0.141$5,000
December 278:16 PM CSTEF1Caddo Parish, LA2.3144$250,000
December 2711:10 PM CSTEF1Claiborne Parish, LA0.221

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.