Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2015

EF2 tornado, Copeville to Pike, Texas, December 26, 2015

From Copeville to Pike, this EF2 tornado ran 5.3 miles across Collin County on December 26, 2015, touching down at 7:09 PM CST and reaching 300 yards wide. It killed 2 people and injured 119, and did $1.4 million of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
December 26, 2015
Touchdown
7:09 PM CST (01:09 UTC)
Lifted
7:15 PM CST (01:15 UTC)
On the ground
6 minutes
Path length
5.3 miles (8.5 km)
Path width
300 yards (274 m)
Deaths
2
Injuries
119
Property damage
$1.4 million
County
Collin County
Touchdown point
33.061, -96.434
Lift-off point
33.132, -96.402
Record number
1512261909-01

The damage survey

70 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS FWD, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF3. The highest wind the damage implies is 155 mph.

  • small brick building at base of water tower. roof lifted but walls still standing.
  • Also note roof damage but small porch is intact.
  • All walls standing but entire roof collapsed.
  • debris blown across CR 549

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A potent storm system brought deadly tornadoes and severe weather to North Texas on the 26th followed by waves of heavy rainfall that resulted in significant flooding across parts of North and Central Texas. Twelve tornadoes were confirmed on the afternoon and evening of the 26th, killing 13 and injuring over 300. The strongest tornado was an EF-4 that struck the Garland and Rowlett areas of Dallas and Rockwall County and where most of the fatalities occurred. Then the waves of heavy rain persisted through the night of the 27th until the upper level low moved past the region. The heaviest rainfall and thus most significant flooding was along and east of Interstate 35 where an average of 3-6+ of rain fell.

A National Weather Service damage survey team found damage consistent with an EF-2 tornado in and near Copeville. The damage began in a residential area, damaging over 30 homes. The strongest part of the storm was along State Highway 78, where several businesses were destroyed, including a gas station / convenience store at SH 78 and FM 1778, where two people were killed. The tornado had a serpentine path, going on both sides of SH 78, before lifting in an open field about halfway between Copeville and Farmersville.

The National Weather Service damage survey crew found damage that began near U.S 380 and traveled north, just on the northwest side of Farmersville. Several homes, including six mobile homes in close proximity, were either damaged or destroyed.

A National Weather Service damage survey crew found evidence of an EF-1 tornado for the last tornado of 2015. This tornado produced a fairly wide, serpentine path as it moved through northeastern Collin County. As the tornado was ending, it hit a cluster of mobile homes to the northeast of Blue Ridge, killing a two day old baby.

The deaths

3 direct deaths are recorded for this tornado, each with what Storm Data knows of it.

AgeSexWhereKind
49MBusinessDirect
65MBusinessDirect
0FMobile/Trailer HomeDirect

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

30 minutes of warning. NWS FWD issued a tornado warning for this county at 00:39 UTC, 30 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 01:30 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 18:36 UTC and running to 03:45 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
12:00 UTC09:50 UTCFlash Flood WatchFWD
18:36 UTC03:45 UTCTornado WatchFWD
23:56 UTC00:14 UTCTornado WarningFWD
00:39 UTC01:30 UTCTornado WarningFWD
00:59 UTC04:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningFWD
01:13 UTC01:45 UTCTornado WarningFWD
01:34 UTC01:53 UTCTornado WarningFWD
01:47 UTC02:15 UTCTornado WarningFWD
11:38 UTC01:21 UTCFlood WarningFWD
17:30 UTC22:02 UTCWind AdvisoryFWD

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:47 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), 00:00Z

1.2 hours before the tornado, 87 km from the path. December 27, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-12-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1659 joules per kilogram, CIN 0, lifted condensation level 775 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-12-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 233 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 57 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1659 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2934 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
775 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
233 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
229 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.6
Supercell composite
13.7
0-3 km lapse rate
7.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 101 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 01:09 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
00:46 UTCTORNADO3 Nw SunnyvaleDallas, TXOFF BOBTOWN RD ON THE NW SIDE OF SUNNYVALE
01:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Se RowlettDallas, TXNUMEROUS POWER LINES DOWN, TREES DOWN, BUILDING DAMAGE AND ROOFS MISSING.
01:28 UTCTSTM WND DMGCopevilleCollin, TXPEOPLE TRAPPED UNDERNEATH COLLAPSED BUILDING NEAR FM546 AND HWY 78. SEVERAL BUILDINGS DAMAGED.
01:37 UTCTSTM WND DMGNevadaCollin, TXHWY 78 NEAR FM 1778 GAS STATION DESTROYED. WELDING SHOP NEXT DOOR DAMAGED. 6-8 INCH TREE LIMBS ON ROAD.
01:57 UTCFLASH FLOODDallasDallas, TXNUMEROUS REPORTS OF FLASH FLOODING ONGOING IN DALLAS CO---NOTABLY NEAR MOCKINGBIRD LANE AND HERB KELLEHER WAY...LEMMON AVE AND UNIVERSITY BLVD. AND HILLCREST AND ROYAL LN.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 26, 2015

12 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 261:57 PM CSTEF0McClain, OK0.120
December 262:03 PM CSTEF0Hill, TX2.850
December 262:44 PM CSTEF0Henderson, TX0.940
December 263:38 PM CSTEF0Rains, TX0.775
December 265:10 PM CSTEF0Hill, TX1.680
December 265:33 PM CSTEF0Hopkins, TX0.425
December 265:43 PM CSTEF0Ellis, TX1.650
December 266:01 PM CSTEF3Ellis, TX8.512546$9.7 million
December 266:46 PM CSTEF4Garland–Rowlett tornado, TX13.055010468$27 million
December 267:00 PM CSTEF0Ellis, TX5.1150$40,000
December 267:17 PM CSTEF1Collin, TX4.5300$1.5 million
December 267:33 PM CSTEF1Collin, TX5.210012$600,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.