Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2015
EF2 tornado, Willis, Texas, December 12, 2015
This EF2 tornado ran 2.2 miles across Montgomery County on December 12, 2015, touching down at 3:54 PM CST and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF2
- Date
- December 12, 2015
- Touchdown
- 3:54 PM CST (21:54 UTC)
- Lifted
- 4:00 PM CST (22:00 UTC)
- On the ground
- 6 minutes
- Path length
- 2.2 miles (3.6 km)
- Path width
- 100 yards (91 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Montgomery County
- Touchdown point
- 30.456, -95.499
- Lift-off point
- 30.488, -95.492
- Record number
- 1512121554-01
The damage survey
20 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS HGX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 120 mph.
- Tornado crosses freeway near here.
- Trees snapped. Also minor damage to metal storage building.
- View looking roughly north.
- Debris scattered every direction.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
Low-topped showers and thunderstorms developed ahead of a strong storm system. Activity moved northward across the area, and multiple cells began to rotate. One of the storms produced an EF-2 tornado that damaged an area in Willis (Montgomery County).
This tornado touched down near Calvary Road around Robertson Park where tree trunks were snapped. Damage became more continuous just to the north near Pollard Road on the west side of Interstate 45 where large strands of pine trees were snapped. The tornado appeared to cross Interstate 45 near Exit 97 where it hit a large metal industrial building. Damage to this structure warranted the EF-2 rating.|The tornado then appeared to run parallel to Route 75 where it caused significant tree damage and flipped and destroyed multiple RVs at an RV park.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22:37 UTC | 23:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | HGX |
| 23:01 UTC | 23:09 UTC | Tornado Warning | HGX |
| 00:00 UTC | 00:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX |
| 03:02 UTC | 16:13 UTC | Flash Flood Watch | HGX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:36 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), 12:00Z
9.9 hours before the tornado, 224 km from the path. December 12, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 351 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -34 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 540 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 204 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 295 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.6
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.0 K/km
Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), 00:00Z
2.1 hours after it, 224 km from the path. December 13, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 298 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -6 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 412 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 656 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 204 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 221 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 1.7
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.5 K/km
The radar
The Houston radar (KHGX), 118 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:52 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:53 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Nnw Willis | Montgomery, TX | UPROOTED TREES AND DAMAGE TO ONE BUSINESS REPORTED AT INTERSTATE 45 AND SHEPHERD HILL ROAD. POSSIBLE TORNADO. |
| 21:53 UTC | TORNADO | 4 Nnw Willis | Montgomery, TX | UPROOTED TREES AND DAMAGE TO ONE BUSINESS REPORTED AT INTERSTATE 45 AND SHEPHERD HILL ROAD. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL RV NEARBY TO BUSINESS. DAMAGE RATING PENDING ASSESSMENT. |
| 21:56 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 4 Ene Willis | Montgomery, TX | FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED ON THE FM-1097 BRIDGE AT CANEY CREEK. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of December 12, 2015
7 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 12 | 2:25 PM CST | EF2 | Smith, TX | 1.8 | 150 | |||
| December 12 | 4:18 PM CST | EF0 | Franklin, TX | 5.3 | 775 | 2 | $2.0 million | |
| December 12 | 4:59 PM CST | EF1 | Red River, TX | 1.0 | 187 | $35,000 | ||
| December 12 | 5:14 PM CST | EF1 | Red River, TX | 0.1 | 50 | $10,000 | ||
| December 12 | 5:53 PM CST | EF0 | Gray, TX | 0.0 | 50 | |||
| December 12 | 6:03 PM CST | EF1 | Choctaw, OK | 3.3 | 250 | |||
| December 12 | 7:17 PM CST | EF2 | McCurtain, OK | 7.3 | 600 | 3 | $2.0 million |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.