Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2015

EF2 tornado, Willis, Texas, December 12, 2015

This EF2 tornado ran 2.2 miles across Montgomery County on December 12, 2015, touching down at 3:54 PM CST and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
December 12, 2015
Touchdown
3:54 PM CST (21:54 UTC)
Lifted
4:00 PM CST (22:00 UTC)
On the ground
6 minutes
Path length
2.2 miles (3.6 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Montgomery County
Touchdown point
30.456, -95.499
Lift-off point
30.488, -95.492
Record number
1512121554-01

The damage survey

20 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS HGX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 120 mph.

  • Tornado crosses freeway near here.
  • Trees snapped. Also minor damage to metal storage building.
  • View looking roughly north.
  • Debris scattered every direction.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Low-topped showers and thunderstorms developed ahead of a strong storm system. Activity moved northward across the area, and multiple cells began to rotate. One of the storms produced an EF-2 tornado that damaged an area in Willis (Montgomery County).

This tornado touched down near Calvary Road around Robertson Park where tree trunks were snapped. Damage became more continuous just to the north near Pollard Road on the west side of Interstate 45 where large strands of pine trees were snapped. The tornado appeared to cross Interstate 45 near Exit 97 where it hit a large metal industrial building. Damage to this structure warranted the EF-2 rating.|The tornado then appeared to run parallel to Route 75 where it caused significant tree damage and flipped and destroyed multiple RVs at an RV park.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
22:37 UTC23:00 UTCTornado WarningHGX
23:01 UTC23:09 UTCTornado WarningHGX
00:00 UTC00:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGX
03:02 UTC16:13 UTCFlash Flood WatchHGX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:36 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), 12:00Z

9.9 hours before the tornado, 224 km from the path. December 12, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2015-12-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 351 joules per kilogram, CIN -34, lifted condensation level 540 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2015-12-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 204 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 32 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
351 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-34 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
540 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
204 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
295 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.6
0-3 km lapse rate
3.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), 00:00Z

2.1 hours after it, 224 km from the path. December 13, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2015-12-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 298 joules per kilogram, CIN -6, lifted condensation level 656 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2015-12-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 204 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 54 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
298 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-6 J/kg
Surface CAPE
412 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
656 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
204 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
221 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
1.7
0-3 km lapse rate
6.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 118 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:52 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:53 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Nnw WillisMontgomery, TXUPROOTED TREES AND DAMAGE TO ONE BUSINESS REPORTED AT INTERSTATE 45 AND SHEPHERD HILL ROAD. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
21:53 UTCTORNADO4 Nnw WillisMontgomery, TXUPROOTED TREES AND DAMAGE TO ONE BUSINESS REPORTED AT INTERSTATE 45 AND SHEPHERD HILL ROAD. DAMAGE TO SEVERAL RV NEARBY TO BUSINESS. DAMAGE RATING PENDING ASSESSMENT.
21:56 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD4 Ene WillisMontgomery, TXFUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED ON THE FM-1097 BRIDGE AT CANEY CREEK.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 12, 2015

7 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 122:25 PM CSTEF2Smith, TX1.8150
December 124:18 PM CSTEF0Franklin, TX5.37752$2.0 million
December 124:59 PM CSTEF1Red River, TX1.0187$35,000
December 125:14 PM CSTEF1Red River, TX0.150$10,000
December 125:53 PM CSTEF0Gray, TX0.050
December 126:03 PM CSTEF1Choctaw, OK3.3250
December 127:17 PM CSTEF2McCurtain, OK7.36003$2.0 million

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.