Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2010

EF3 tornado, Notrees, Texas, May 14, 2010

This EF3 tornado ran 4.3 miles across Ector County on May 14, 2010, touching down at 1:15 PM CDT and reaching 500 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $100,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mphthis tornado

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF3
Date
May 14, 2010
Touchdown
1:15 PM CDT (18:15 UTC)
Lifted
1:28 PM CDT (18:28 UTC)
On the ground
13 minutes
Path length
4.3 miles (6.9 km)
Path width
500 yards (457 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$100,000
County
Ector County
Touchdown point
31.834, -102.730
Lift-off point
31.896, -102.731
Record number
1005141215-01

What the Weather Service recorded

During the late morning hours, an upper level disturbance slowly progressed over the area. At the surface, abundant low level moisture was available due to southeasterly to easterly winds. A nearly stationary frontal boundary across the Permian basin provided a focus for rapid thunderstorm development. Several supercell thunderstorms resulted in widespread severe weather in the form of tornadoes, flash flooding and large hail across the Texas Permian Basin. The supercell thunderstorms eventually diminished during the late evening hours across the southern Permian Basin.

At 12:15 pm CST, members of the TWISTEX research group confirmed the formation of a tornado approximately 6.5 miles south of Notrees. This tornado progressed northeastward around 20 mph, first causing damage to power poles around from 12:16 to 12:17 pm CST. As it continued to track to the northeast, the tornado caused significant damage to oil equipment from 12:19 to 12:22 pm CST. Two type 320 pump jacks, each weighing 71,000 pounds including the concrete base, were blown over. The tornado then began to weaken at 12:27 pm CST, and dissipated at 12:28 pm CST approximately 2 miles southeast of Notrees, TX.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

8 minutes of warning. NWS MAF issued a tornado warning for this county at 18:07 UTC, 8 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 18:45 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 17:47 UTC and running to 01:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
17:47 UTC01:00 UTCTornado WatchMAF
17:52 UTC19:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
18:07 UTC18:45 UTCTornado WarningMAF
18:11 UTC18:45 UTCTornado WarningMAF
18:43 UTC19:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
19:13 UTC22:15 UTCFlash Flood WarningMAF
19:20 UTC20:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
19:40 UTC20:15 UTCTornado WarningMAF
20:15 UTC21:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
20:21 UTC21:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
21:08 UTC22:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
21:56 UTC23:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
22:16 UTC02:45 UTCFlash Flood WatchMAF

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:02 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), 12:00Z

6.3 hours before the tornado, 51 km from the path. May 14, 2010.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2010-05-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1514 joules per kilogram, CIN -42, lifted condensation level 482 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2010-05-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 267 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 31 knots.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1514 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-42 J/kg
Surface CAPE
432 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
482 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
267 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
325 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
8.7
0-3 km lapse rate
4.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 52 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 18:14 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
18:26 UTCHAIL 1.55 Ene NotreesEctor, TX
19:05 UTCHAIL 1GoldsmithEctor, TXQUARTER SIZE HAIL IN GOLDSMITH.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2010 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 14, 2010

5 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 1410:50 AM MDTEF0Lincoln, NM0.4120$2,000
May 1412:56 PM CDTEF0Winkler, TX3.0100
May 141:32 PM CDTEF0Ector, TX1.375
May 142:15 PM CDTEF0Midland, TX0.550
May 146:35 PM CDTEF0Reagan, TX0.775

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.